evan@id

@DCinvestor market closes, crazy trump comes out, monday open, tones it down a bit

negotiating for 2 days while both sides threatened to destroy key infrastructure in a ridiculous exchange of social media posts over the weekend? yah, imma call bullshit unless others confirm it however, calling off the infrastructure strikes on his side is good and is the thing he can control his negotiation style will be to put this back on the table again if he doesn’t get what he wants

supabase + supabase MCP + vercel is side project mvp god mode

@RyanBethencourt @NousResearch next one is early may <3 raleigh.aitinkerers.org/p/ai-tinkerers…

@evbots @NousResearch I'd love to! When is it? Feel free to DM!

SciRouter.ai Beta is up! Every (eventually) Science Model, One API It's my submission to @NousResearch Hermes Agent Hackathon to allow Hermes to have access to Science tools. First tool pipeline is an mRNA Cancer Vaccine Design Studio for Dogs. Feel free to play, it's buggy!

@RyanBethencourt Hell yeah! Excites to see what you release

Paul's story developing a cancer vaccine for Rosie inspired me. I'm going to build something so that EVERYONE can do the same thing. My dog Lady died of hemagiosarcoma and I wish I'd been able to save her too ETA - hopefully a few days (excluding sequencing and ethics filings)

@SawyerHackett Wasn’t the gov fee broadcasted from the beginning of this idea?

Literally everything they do is corrupt.

@RyanBethencourt Pure software now has zero moat. The moat is now data/hardware/brand/network/etc

Deep diving today on autonomous companies, not just for biotech and Raptor but everything (it's incredible!) SaaS businesses are going to have (thousands?) of competitors being built daily. Most will fail but some won't and the bitter lesson will apply to every software product

@VicVijayakumar in the ai age, all the discussion should be at the spec stage deciding direction, increasingly less on implementation

Just wrapped up and sent out the longest running RFC I've ever written. Wrote a draft and sent it out, got decent feedback. Fleshed it out and sent it out, then it got complicated. Wrote an Excalidraw skill to make it easier to understand. This was good for the brain. Much needed yak shaving. Opened it up to a small group of people for feedback. They blew it up. Handled all comments, got the doc to a good place, met with the architect group. They blew it up. Completely rewrote all of it in 2 days. Finally sent it out again this morning to everyone. All for 7 pages. Now I need a vacation. It might be tempting to dunk on this if you're working at some startup vibe shipping like crazy. Large ships going fast cannot turn on a whim like that because we actually have customers and make lots of money.

This is America. Pick a job and then become the person that does it.

@VicVijayakumar This is why i follow you

why spend $5/mo on a saas subscription when you can instead spend $200 in tokens building a worse saas

@tszzl My executive assistant’s morality is not your concern

admittedly the EAs who believe in an objective non human secular morality can be quite terrifying

Corporate life is realizing your job requires more emotional regulation than technical skill

@engineering_bae Something classic from black&white roasters or bigtrouble from counter culture are my go-tos

@engineering_bae Grinder is everything. I have a manual 1zpresso and a timemore 064s machine. Been happy with both. Fresh beans are just as important. You wont get that crema unless youre in that 3 week window after roasting in my experience. I skew darker with my roast Light roasts are difficult

I just purchased my first espresso machine. What advice would you give me to perfect my cup of joe? I care about low acidity, smooth espresso and I’d like to add milk occasionally.

@DCinvestor @wintonARK China thinks about taiwan on 1k year timeline. Fabs prob not huge factor

good take overall imo i would guess they will 100% blow up the fabs if invaded i'm sure this has been signaled in a variety of ways also, going to be very hard for China to lobby for global hegemon if they invade a liberal democracy right off of its coast i think most of their saber rattling is already counter-productive towards this goal

some probably too simple thoughts on Taiwan x China Taiwan is only strategically useful to China if they can take control of the island while keeping the fabs running. If by invading they destroy the fabs then they have cut themselves off from the US (and perhaps more importantly) European markets, at great military cost, taking on ongoing political liability (since the Taiwanese are likely to remain quite restive), all for a relatively small island that is no longer geostrategically important. If they could take the island and keep the fabs going then they would win an important geostrategic chip, that they could use in all sorts of useful leveragable ways against Western governments. But it's much easier to destroy the fabs than keep them running. Even just cutting off power for any prolonged period would probably cause irreversible damage. A rational Taiwan, knowing this, would signal (and has signalled) that an invasion would destroy the fabs (and if imminent would probably commit to destroying the fabs themselves conditional on an invasion, so as to forestall the attempt.) It's difficult to conduct a kinetic war, without disrupting underlying infrastructure, and Taiwan may even site its military assets alongside the fabs to make it impossible for China to win without losing. Net, a Taiwan invasion for China probably poisons the entire geostrategic logic of doing so. They get all of the downside without materially improving their position. Compare to the Hong Kong strategy--the slow choking embrace--which provides a much cleaner path to winning control of the assets. It's clearly the more strategically optimal path. So then, why all the noise about invading or preparing for an invasion of Taiwan? Three interpretations: 1) the strategically optimal path is not the politically optimal path for Xi vis a vis retaining power. This is the darkest interpretation. A political leader, backed into a corner, makes a move that is disastrous for himself and for the world, because he thinks it will narrowly bridge his way across eroding support. It's hard to see, however, how even an irrational actor would perceive benefit in violently grappling for a chalice that will surely spill in the attempt to wrest it. 2) China thinks it can kinetically occupy Taiwan without disrupting the fabs. I suppose this is a perhaps more catastrophically likely interpretation of their stance, and would be consistent with other vainglorious military interventions that have run against the rocks of reality throughout history. That Taiwan, as a rational actor (or even a minority within Taiwan) could credibly threaten to pre-emptively destroy the fabs before they are taken, seems like it should dampen whatever optimism there is tho. 3) China is posturing for invasion to increase its negotiating leverage on other vectors as well as for internal domestic signalling of strength. Isn't this far and away the most economical explanation for all of the noise? What am I missing?

i'm converting all my medical labs and test results to structured text (md, json, etc) joining my raw DNA file exports to public gene database info feeding that all into LLMs with a health history writeup "construct a unified theory of my health" is giving me insane results 🤯

This take is 🔥

@VicVijayakumar @Winterrose Finally… basically a trust fund

@Winterrose wait how is this different from a 529, I haven’t read anything about it

This is how you keep your children out of the generational underclass You do this and fund the ever loving shit out of it.

This is so true. I've been telling people this for years. Thank God you can now say it openly.

some serious grave dancing going on right now