
A. Lopes
123 posts










AN AVERAGE OF 26.8 PRA IS HARD TO IGNORE 🎯 🏀 Cason Wallace over 23.5 PRA @ 1.88 (0.75%) #ThunderUp The Thunder will be heavily shorthanded tonight. Among the absences are Shai, JWilliams and Mitchell. As a result, in games where Cason Wallace has not shared the floor with them, his average minutes increase from 27.3 to 32.1. More importantly, his usage rate jumps from 13.9% to 21.6%. I applied a filter for games in which he played between 28 and 42 minutes with a minimum usage rate of 21%, and the result is a 60% hit rate (3/5). While that may not seem overly compelling from a betting standpoint, it’s worth noting that in the games where he failed to clear 23.5 PRA, Wallace shot below 38%, finishing with 21 (vs. Spurs) and 18 (vs. Nets). In other words, the volume was there, but the efficiency was poor. Even so, he still finished close to the line. I’m expecting a high workload for Cason Wallace tonight and am banking on him shooting above 40% from the field. 📊 Affiliate with @propsmadness Code 𝐀𝐁𝐑𝐀 for 25% propsmadness.com/?ref=abraprops #NBAPicks | #GamblingX








CHASING THE 9TH STRAIGHT WIN 😤 🏀 CJ McCollum over 16.5 points @ 1.83 (0.75%) #TrueToAtlanta CJ McCollum has a 63.6% hit rate (7/11) on the over 16.5 points line since joining the Hawks. What’s most interesting is his usage rate with the new team. While CJ was already heavily involved with the Wizards, he’s been even more so with the Hawks, posting an absurd 27.2% usage rate. For tonight, the game total is set at 237.5, which suggests a high-tempo matchup as both teams play at some of the fastest paces in the NBA. With a high-scoring game likely, it's expected that the player with the highest usage on the Hawks will take advantage and account for a large portion of the team's points. Another key factor is that O. Okongwu is OUT. In the last two games without him, McCollum dropped 23 and 18 points. Lezgo for the 9th consecutive NBA win. 🍀 📊 Affiliate with @propsmadness Code 𝐀𝐁𝐑𝐀 for 25% propsmadness.com/?ref=abraprops #NBAPicks | #GamblingX













