@Brett_Pats Yea feels like our year tbh. Seattle is the favorite, they have a good but below elite level qb. Our defense is playing lights out. Weather will be non factor and Maye is due for a good game. Seattle’s D is good no doubt. But Pats are def the more battle tested team.

@mpan95 @Brett_Pats ”Maye is due for a good game“. Lol. You've acknowledged that he's been playing poorly the entire playoffs against good defenses, and now he's about to play the hardest defense he's faced. What a weird way to spin it.

@someRandomDev5 @Brett_Pats Disagree I don’t think he’s played poorly in the context of playing 3 straight top 5 defenses and 2 in poor weather conditions. It’s literally only the turnovers. Chargers game wasn’t poor. He can play better is my point. He hasn’t had a Sam Darnold vs pats in 2019 game…

@mpan95 @Brett_Pats For reference, Seattle has the #1 defense, and Matthew Stafford just put up 27 points against them. Drake Maye set the record for postseason turnovers in the second playoff game. I don't know why you would expect him to play better than he has against a better defense lol.

@mpan95 @Brett_Pats For reference for those who have only watched Patriots games this season, this is what the Patriots' playoff opponents look like, generally speaking.

@mpan95 @Brett_Pats Note: Chargers played without Omarion Hampton, Joe Alt, etc. (Their offense was a run-first Greg Roman scheme). Texans played without Nico Collins, lost 2nd target mid game. (Their offense was pass-heavy). Broncos played without Bo Nix. Stidham took his first snap in 2 years.

@mpan95 @Brett_Pats If not for the offenses of their opponents being mediocre to begin with (#21, #19, #15) on top of facing significant key injuries going into these games, Drake Maye’s obviously-poor play would have been severely punished, and the Patriots would have been blown out much sooner.

@mpan95 @Brett_Pats It's pretty interesting that Patriots fans have genuinely convinced themselves of the delusion that their defense is playing well. In reality, they have a subpar defense that's been playing offenses that have just been “even worse” limping into the playoffs.

@mpan95 @Brett_Pats Fun note: The Patriots are basically an AFC mirror of the 49ers this year. The similarity stat-by-stat across the board is uncanny. And that's a team that the Seahawks nuked 41-6 on their way to the Super Bowl.

@mpan95 @Brett_Pats When you don't ground yourself in an understanding of the universe around you, you put yourself in a situation similar to an astronaut floating in space asking himself, "Which way is up?" You are not the point of reference. Everything is contextually relevant to something else.

@mpan95 @Brett_Pats Anyway, to bring this back after all of this context. If Matthew Stafford can put up 27 points against the league's number one defense, then if Drake Maye is a so-called “MVP candidate”, he should be able to score more than one touchdown against #10 Chargers D and #5 Broncos D.

@someRandomDev5 @Brett_Pats You think anyone was scoring TD’s the second half of that Broncos game?

@mpan95 @Brett_Pats Let me help you.

@mpan95 @Brett_Pats Some more help. Stafford scored mere seconds later, by the way. But that's not caught here, out of respect for screen-shotting the exact same corresponding time on the game clock.

@mpan95 @Brett_Pats In other words, seconds after the exact same corresponding time, each of the two teams involved in this game had scored more points than the "JV game" had combined across both teams. Drake Maye did about as good as a career back-up did.

@mpan95 @Brett_Pats Of course, you have to give Drake Maye a little bit of credit. He is better than a career backup. Stidham only had to play against the Patriots' defense, which is a much worse defense than the Broncos' defense.

@mpan95 @Brett_Pats Had the fourth quarter not been snowed out, Drake Maye would have scored a maximum of what… 17 total points for his team? Similar offensive scoring to the Chargers game. That's approx the avg PPG for these defenses. Is that supposed to be impressive for an MVP candidate?

@mpan95 @Brett_Pats And so now we get to the crux of the situation. The only reason that anybody ever overhyped Drake Maye as an MVP candidate is because: 1. The historically easy schedule. Easiest in 26 years and the third easiest in NFL history. 2. Boston is starving for Tom Brady.

@mpan95 @Brett_Pats And if you think you're going to somehow win this game on Sam Darnold turnovers, you should remind yourself that Drake Maye NOT ONLY had the most fumbles in the regular season, but ALSO set a postseason fumbles record (beating CJ Stroud).

@mpan95 @Brett_Pats The Patriots hype bubble is so overblown that it's reached the level of peak NFT hype — Truly and deeply out of touch with fundamentals. It exists only because Patriots fans are accustomed to being a dominant team for two decades straight. The glimpse of hope is overblown.

@mpan95 @Brett_Pats But it's great for us bettors. The Seahawks should be a -500 favorite, but instead they're only -238 because overconfident Patriots fans keep throwing money into the machine. And the spread is crazy. Helps with profitability, I guess. Thanks for remaining confident.

@someRandomDev5 @Brett_Pats Lmaoo.. context matters, Denver is a whole other beast in the playoffs. Stanford faced Seahawks D 3 times that season already. If you trust Sam Darnold more than Drake Maye idk what to say. Sam will always let you down.

@mpan95 @Brett_Pats You just observed Drake Maye let you down three times in a row in the playoffs and watched him get carried by the other team's offensive injuries. And yet for some reason you believe he won't do it a fourth time in a row against a harder defense and an actual offense. Lol.

@mpan95 @Brett_Pats Maybe Drake can score 3 offensive TDs off of 15 possessions again if Sam Darnold manages to throw 5 interceptions like Stroud did. But judging from Seattle's scoreline against the #4 Rams defense, New England's #23 defense probably couldn't make 3 TDs “enough to win” lol.

@mpan95 @Brett_Pats Whenever you end up making it out of residency, and end up helping treat a terminal patient, just remind yourself of your behavior in this X thread as an example of how powerful "willful positive self-delusion" can be in the face of damning circumstances.

@someRandomDev5 @Brett_Pats What hahah.. you are a Seattle fan and quite obvious you’re biased as you should be. We also have no evidence that Sam Darnold won’t melt down and gift us 4 interceptions like he did against the Rams a few weeks ago.

@mpan95 @Brett_Pats I'm a Chargers fan first by choice, and a Seattle fan second by birth. But above both, I'm a profitable bettor. And being profitable has required betting against my own team several times. I'm speaking as one who aims to remain profitable with money staked on outcomes.

@someRandomDev5 @Brett_Pats Hahah, I find it difficult to believe a profitable bettor would bet on Sam Darnold. A Seahawks fan I would get, but an unbiased bettor? It’s got a Sam sees ghosts game written all over it.