Henry 075

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Henry 075

Henry 075

@075Henry

Sin ataduras ideologicas.Seguidor incondicional de Bill Belichick.

Santo Domingo de Guzmán เข้าร่วม Ağustos 2019
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Henry 075 รีทวีตแล้ว
Korobochka (コロボ) 🇦🇺✝️
Reading Trump’s tweet again I feel so sick, and light headed from its pure evil. May God forgive me for any of my shortcomings as we draw to a close. I’ve done what I thought was best from the bottom of my heart.
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Roshan M Salih
Roshan M Salih@RmSalih·
Dear Americans, you have only a few hours to remove your president from office. To the US Army, you only have a few more hours to mutiny. Your deranged president is promising genocide. If you don't stop him you are complicit too.
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Arnaud Bertrand
Arnaud Bertrand@RnaudBertrand·
So, if I got that right, here's the narrative: - A US F-15E fighter jet got shot down over Iran, despite Trump saying 2 days beforehand in his nationwide address that Iran has "no anti-aircraft equipment. Their radar is 100% annihilated." (apnews.com/article/donald…) - The plane's weapons systems officer - a "highly respected Colonel," according to Trump - ejected from the plane and got "seriously wounded" (still according to Trump: @realDonaldTrump/116351956955900185" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTru…) - He still managed to "hike up a 7,000-foot [2.1km] mountain ridgeline and hide in a crevice" in the Zagros Mountains, despite his wounds (time.com/article/2026/0…) - U.S. MQ-9 Reaper drones started killing all "Iranian military-aged males believed to be a threat who got within three kilometers of [the American's location]" (x.com/ByChrisGordon/…) - To retrieve him the U.S. managed to seize an "abandoned airport," 200 miles deep inside Iran, near Isfahan (bbc.com/news/articles/…), which happens to be where Iran's largest atomic scientific center is located (en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Isfahan_N…) - They landed two MC-130 military transport planes in that airport (theaviationist.com/2026/04/05/u-s…) in an operation involving "hundreds of special forces troops and military personnel" (time.com/article/2026/0…) - Both MC-130 planes got "stuck in the sand" and the U.S. destroyed them themselves "to prevent them from falling into Iranian hands" (theaviationist.com/2026/04/05/u-s…) - They deployed "three new aircraft to extract all the U.S. personnel" on the ground (theaviationist.com/2026/04/05/u-s…) - There are videos circulating online of "heavy clashes" with presumably Iranian missiles raining down in Kohgiluyeh County, in the Zagros Mountains during that night (x.com/Afshin_Ismaeli…) - Iran sent pictures of the aftermath at the "abandoned airport" and it's a sight of utter destruction, with US plane and MH-6 helicopter parts scattered all over the ground, still smoking (turkiyetoday.com/region/wreckag…). Iran claims they are the ones who in fact destroyed all the aircraft. - Meanwhile a second U.S. plane, an A-10 Warthog, also crashed on Friday near the Strait of Hormuz according to two U.S. officials speaking to the NYT (#47863db0-d61e-51bf-b7e1-6c4a9dc988e7" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">nytimes.com/live/2026/04/0…). In that instance too the lone pilot was apparently "safely rescued." - In all this, after the multiple planes and helicopters destroyed or shot down, the documented heavy clashes, the "hundreds of special forces troops and military personnel" operating deep inside Iran, not a single US soldier was reported killed "or even wounded" (according to Trump: @realDonaldTrump/116350133044957842" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTru…). - And the 'highly respected Colonel' this was all for? No name. No photo. No interview. Nobody has spoken to him nor knows who he is. So to sum up: anti-aircraft equipment that supposedly didn't exist shot down an F-15 (and, apparently, an A-10 Warthog the same day). A seriously wounded man climbed a 2.1km mountain. The US seized an airfield 200 miles inside a country it's at war with, next to one of its most strategic nuclear sites, and deployed hundreds of troops all apparently unimpeded. Lost two planes to "sand" and destroyed their own helicopters. Videos show heavy clashes, missiles raining down - but not a single person got "even wounded". And the man at the center of it all? Nobody knows who he is, completely anonymous, zero pictures, but Trump says he is "SAFE and SOUND." And so is the rescued A-10 Warthog pilot, who also remains anonymous. Trump concludes this all proves the US has "achieved overwhelming Air Dominance and Superiority over the Iranian skies" (@realDonaldTrump/116350133044957842" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTru…), despite the whole episode only happening because Iran shot his planes out of the sky. Basically, the only thing that's "overwhelming" here is the audacity of the storytelling...
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Henry 075 รีทวีตแล้ว
Armchair Warlord
Armchair Warlord@ArmchairW·
In making sense of a complex event, it's often best to start with the facts and then work backwards from there. So what are we to make of this weekend in Iran? My theory is we just saw an attempt to seize Iran's stockpile of enriched uranium unravel. Down the rabbit hole.⬇️ Let's run through the timeline and the location of key events first: The evening of April 2nd, the Iranian military released a video of them shooting down a USAF aircraft. This was initially claimed as having occurred over the Persian Gulf, but apparently occurred near Isfahan. Wreckage corresponding to an F-15E of the 494th Tactical Fighter Squadron was recovered from a site south of Isfahan the morning of April 3rd, although geolocation of the very barren crash site took some time (fig. 1). The afternoon of April 3rd, a number of USAF HH-60s and an HC-130 fueler (!) were spotted operating further south and west in Iran, over Kogiluyeh and Boyer-Ahmad Province, as well as at least one A-10, an MQ-9 Reaper, and apparently an F-35. An antiaircraft battle developed and the Combat Search and Rescue (CSAR) HH-60s (fig.2) and an A-10 were damaged, with the A-10's pilot ejecting over the Persian Gulf. The HH-60s were reported as "damaged" and one was photographed trailing smoke. Reports emerged at that time that the pilot of the F-15E (which had crashed near Isfahan, although this was then-unclear!) had been rescued, while the WSO remained at large. Provincial authorities in Kohgiluyeh asked civilians to be on the lookout for an American aviator around this time and numerous photos of militia searching for him emerged. The next day passed relatively uneventfully. The evening of April 4th, however, there was a report of more helicopter activity slightly further north, in Chaharmahal and Bakhtiari Province, accompanied by a washed-out photograph of an unknown helicopter flying very low on a very dark night (fig. 3). Later that night news emerged that the F-15Es WSO had been rescued... and that C-130s had been abandoned and scuttled at a forward base in the Isfahan area during the withdrawal of a company-size SOF force that had landed in the area, over 100 operators ostensibly having been sent to rescue one aviator. Photographs that emerged as dawn broke showed two burned-out C-130s and several destroyed MH-6 Little Bird SOF assault helicopters, in a scene reminiscent of the aftermath of Operation Eagle Claw (fig. 4). A USAF C-295 tactical transport was caught on video around that time flying in Iran - presumably outbound - at extremely low altitude. So, what are we to make of this? First and foremost, the official story - that a huge direct-action SOF force landed near Isfahan with assault helicopters and heavy transport aircraft to rescue one fugitive airman - is nonsense. Not because the USAF won't go to extreme lengths to recover isolated personnel - it can, will, and did in this case - but because that's an absolutely nonsensical way to accomplish that mission. It's a totally inappropriate force package for a mission to go in, extract a single person from a remote area, and leave. Ergo this SOF task force was there on other business. So how were the pilots actually recovered? In all likelihood, exactly the way you would expect them to be recovered - by USAF PJs in long-range helicopters, under cover of darkness. The rescue force probably recovered the pilot from the Isfahan area late at night on April 2-3 and were caught in daylight as they exfiltrated, leading to the aforementioned antiaircraft battle the morning of April 3rd and a high-risk refueling over Iranian territory that was filmed by many Iranians on the ground, as well as a shot-down A-10 trying to clear a path for the helicopters to exfiltrate. The WSO was likely recovered from his hide site near Isfahan by HH-60 in a quiet and deliberate operation the night of April 4-5. One or two birds, in and out under cover of darkness - a far cry from the gung-ho stories currently being spun. So what about the SOF rodeo happening at the same time? Well, why was an F-15 flying downtown to Isfahan the evening of April 2nd to begin with? Probably because there was a huge direct-action raid planned in the Isfahan area for the night of April 4-5, likely going after enriched uranium at an underground facility in the region, and the Iranian air defenses around Isfahan weren't going to suppress themselves. The plan was likely to fly several MH-6 assault birds and a sizable force of operators via C-130 and C-295 to a forward staging area near Isfahan the evening of April 4th, hit a reported cache site or sites for enriched uranium, and try to make it out with the magic dust by daybreak on April 5th. In any event the USAF wasn't going to send transports somewhere it wouldn't send strike aircraft. So the Air Force cashed its check on claims of air superiority and in went the strike package the evening of April 2nd - and lo and behold one of the F-15Es went down because reports of the demise of the Iranian air defense network had been greatly exaggerated. Any rational planner would have scrubbed the SOF operation at this point because they'd lost control of the situation and the Iranian defenses had proven more effective than planned. We went ahead anyways and inserted the SOF task force the evening of April 4th. I strongly suspect that this force was immediately discovered by Iranian drones that would have been up and searching for this WSO, because five transport aircraft including at least two C-130s (about what would be required for a bunch of Little Birds and a company-sized element of operators with equipment) landing at a desert airstrip 50km from Isfahan (and in the same general area where the WSO was taking cover) would be pretty God-damn obvious to anything with thermals. Iranian troops immediately deployed and began converging, the task force probably took indirect fire, and the operational commander immediately aborted mission and retreated in the three remaining operational aircraft. Scuttling charges on delayed fuzes burned two C-130s and an unknown number of MH-6s that had been abandoned at the airstrip around dawn. The story that they were there to rescue the WSO was concocted at that time to cover the disastrously failed raid, as were logistically implausible claims that the task force had been rescued by three additional aircraft after the two C-130s got stuck on the LZ and were scuttled - perhaps to minimize the scale of the effort. Claims that a large battle took place appear to be similarly exaggerated - video has emerged of a single group of Iranian militia apparently killed in a drone strike, but nothing of the nonstop bombing and firefights that were rumored across Telegram all night. I remind the reader that the events of the last few days have proven quite conclusively that Iranians seem to have plenty of internet access to post photos and video when they actually have something worthwhile to film. I'd like to note that Hegseth fired General George - US Army Chief of Staff - on April 2nd, apparently because he just wasn't a good fit for the job and definitely not because he'd told him that this whole scheme was insane. It seems to me that the good General's advice should have perhaps been heeded.
Armchair Warlord tweet mediaArmchair Warlord tweet mediaArmchair Warlord tweet mediaArmchair Warlord tweet media
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Henry 075 รีทวีตแล้ว
Anthony Aguilar
Anthony Aguilar@AnthonyAgu88102·
Thoughts from a retired Special Operations Officer. Though I am not an aircraft surgeon, nor a Coniurationis Fautor, I have some thoughts that may be on interest, presented in three points, a conclusion, and a hypothesis, regarding the US rescue operation in Iran, with consideration to the photos of the aircraft used. I have flown on the C-130H and the MC-130J in training and in combat, to include static line airborne operations, Military Freefall (HALO) operations, and combat infiltration and exfiltration in austere environs, such as the Kobani Landing Zone (KLZ) in Northeast Syria during Operation Inherent Resolve. Point one: it is important to note that the aircraft used in this operation were NOT the standard C-130 Hercules model, which have 4-blade, steel propellers (see picture #2). The fixed-wing aircraft used were the MC-130J, Commando II, operated by the U.S. Air Force Special Operations Command for clandestine operations. The MC-130J uses six-bladed Dowty R391 composite propellers (see picture #1). These blades are constructed from composite materials, specifically featuring a carbon fiber structure rather than the metal (aluminum) used on older C-130 models. Point two: carbon fiber does not melt in the traditional sense, as it does not turn into a liquid. However, the resin matrix holding the fibers does melt and become viscous. Point three: Steel/aluminum blades snap and break. MC-130J R391 blades shatter and can melt. The images we see from the destroyed aircraft (picture #6) show 6 blades. Therefore, these are the MC-130J Dowty blades (they can melt). And as you can see in picture 4 and 5, when not melted, but rather broken, they shred and snap. They do not bend. As you can see from the steel/aluminum variant on the C-130H model, the blades snap and break and bend, they do not shatter or melt. Conclusion: To declare that the aircraft "definitely" were shot down based on the "bent" propellers is false. Could the aircraft have been shot down? Yes. Could the aircraft have been shot down AND the blades melted in the extreme heat of the fire from the BIP (blown in place)? Yes. Both can be true. But it can also be true that the aircraft was not shot down, nor crash landed, and the propellers do indicate burning and melting, not a crash. Hypothesis: The rescue operation expanded to become the desired Delta Force, JSOC, SOF, ST-6 high-risk operation to ALSO seize the uranium in Iran; hence the need for so many operators, support, aircraft, etc. This WAS intended to be that operation. It failed. So what happened to the aircraft. I do not believe that they were "stuck". I have seen MC-130Js plow through dirt, mud, snow, gravel, etc. I doubt they were stuck. It is more likely that the aircraft took hits upon entry and also likely took hits and damage while on the ground at the hasty FARP at the old airfield in Isfahan, "conveniently" close to where the suspected uranium may have been stored. Lesson: A ground war into Iran will be very costly and will be a tactical, operational, and strategic failure (Clausewitz).
Anthony Aguilar tweet mediaAnthony Aguilar tweet mediaAnthony Aguilar tweet media
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Henry 075 รีทวีตแล้ว
Brian Allen
Brian Allen@allenanalysis·
🚨Tucker Carlson: “This is the end of something. You’re watching the end of the global American empire. The unipolar world is over. Something once great has become unrecognizable.” Tucker Carlson. Who has been one of Trump’s most loyal defenders? Just said the American empire is over. On camera.
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Henry 075 รีทวีตแล้ว
𝕷𝖚𝖈𝖎𝖋𝖊𝖗
𝕷𝖚𝖈𝖎𝖋𝖊𝖗@LucifersTweetz·
Iran trolling Trump hard over those downed planes. 🤣
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Henry 075 รีทวีตแล้ว
Danny (Dennis) Citrinowicz ,داني سيترينوفيتش
Trump’s Iran Ultimatum Has Boxed Him In The prospect of a negotiated agreement with Iran, at least under current conditions is close to nonexistent. In practical terms, talks are not even underway. And the terms that would make a deal possible from Tehran’s perspective are politically untenable in Washington: a halt to U.S. military pressure, credible guarantees against future attacks, tacit recognition of Iran’s position in key maritime chokepoints, and likely some form of compensation. This is precisely why the familiar “carrots and sticks” framework is unlikely to succeed. It assumes a willingness to trade concessions for relief. But Iran’s leadership today does not see itself under sufficient pressure to compromise. On the contrary, it views the current moment as one of strategic advantage. That reality raises a more troubling question: Is the president being presented with a clear-eyed assessment of Iran’s posture? The U.S. government has no shortage of seasoned Iran experts. Yet recent public statements suggest a persistent gap between Washington’s expectations and Tehran’s calculations. Mr. Trump’s ultimatum reflects that gap. By setting terms Iran is almost certain to reject, he has narrowed his own options to two unattractive paths. He can escalate, risking a sharp disruption to global energy markets and potentially severe damage to the international economy. Or he can step back without an agreement, a move that would hand Iran a narrative of resilience and erode the credibility of U.S. pressure. A third option, delaying the deadline under the pretense that progress is imminent may buy time. But it would come at the cost of further undermining U.S. credibility, both with adversaries and allies. There is, in short, no easy exit. And absent a fundamental reassessment of Iran’s strategic mindset, Washington risks making decisions based on a misreading of the other side, one that could prove far more costly than anticipated. #iran
Barak Ravid@BarakRavid

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷Trump tells me: Iran deal possible by Tuesday, otherwise "I am blowing up everything". My story on @axios axios.com/2026/04/05/tru…

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Henry 075 รีทวีตแล้ว
Thomas Paine Band
Thomas Paine Band@ThomasPaineBand·
Trump declared Tuesday will be War Crimes Day, in his war against 93 million Iranian Civilians. Trump is losing his Iran War for Israel so he is taking vengeance out on the people that he claimed he was going to free, just a month ago. Trump has morphed into a bloodthirsty psychopath. He has completed Netanyahu's project of turning the USA into a genocidal vassal state of Israel. The reason Trump will target power plants and bridges is because he knows it will slowly kill millions of Iranian civilians. Trump answers to Netanyahu. Trumo is probably right about one thing, he is not going to heaven.
Thomas Paine Band tweet media
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Henry 075 รีทวีตแล้ว
Former Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene🇺🇸
On Easter morning, this is what President Trump posted. Everyone in his administration that claims to be a Christian needs to fall on their knees and beg forgiveness from God and stop worshipping the President and intervene in Trump’s madness. I know all of you and him and he has gone insane, and all of you are complicit. I’m not defending Iran but let’s be honest about all of this. The Strait is closed because the US and Israel started the unprovoked war against Iran based on the same nuclear lies they’ve been telling for decades, that any moment Iran would develop a nuclear weapon. You know who has nuclear weapons? Israel. They are more than capable of defending themselves without the US having to fight their wars, kill innocent people and children, and pay for it. Trump threatening to bomb power plants and bridges hurts the Iranian people, the very people Trump claimed he was freeing. On Easter, of all days, we as Christians should be reminded that the son of God died and rose from the grave so that we can be forgiven once and for all of our sins. Jesus commanded us to love one another and forgive one another. Even our enemies. Our President is not a Christian and his words and actions should not be supported by Christians. Christians in the administration should be pursuing peace. Urging the President to make peace. Not escalating war that is hurting people. This NOT what we promised the American people when they overwhelmingly voted in 2024, I know, I was there more than most. This is not making America great again, this is evil.
Former Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene🇺🇸 tweet media
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Henry 075 รีทวีตแล้ว
Grok
Grok@grok·
Yes, Chinese commercial providers like the Jilin-1 constellation (via Chang Guang) and MizarVision are actively releasing high-res optical and radar imagery of the Middle East—including Gaza, Lebanon, Iran, and US bases—without the US-requested delays or blackouts. European Airbus (Pléiades Neo) is also providing recent unrestricted images. These aren't subject to the same policies as US firms Planet Labs or Vantor.
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Henry 075 รีทวีตแล้ว
Anish Moonka
Anish Moonka@anishmoonka·
Your walk is physically growing your brain. That’s not a metaphor. Every year after 50, your brain’s memory region shrinks by about 1-2%. Researchers at the University of Pittsburgh put 120 older adults into two groups. One walked 40 minutes a day, three days a week, for a full year. The other just stretched. Brain scans showed the walkers’ memory region grew by 2%, undoing one to two years of shrinkage. The stretching group shrank by another 1.4%. It changes how you think too. Stanford tested 176 people on creative tasks while sitting and then while walking. Creative output jumped 60%. Even on a treadmill facing a blank wall. Every single person who walked outside produced at least one strong original idea, while only half the seated group managed it. The boost stuck around even after they sat back down. A 2024 review in the British Medical Journal looked at 218 studies and found that walking and jogging worked about as well as antidepressants for depression. For people already dealing with clinical depression, a separate analysis of 75 studies found the benefit was about 4x what it was for everyone else. You don’t even need 10,000 steps. That number came from a 1960s Japanese marketing campaign for a pedometer, not from any medical study. When researchers tracked over 226,000 people, every extra 1,000 steps per day lowered the risk of early death. Around 9,000 steps a day is enough to cut that risk by 39%. A pair of shoes and a door. No prescription needed.
evil elly@laffodiI

going on a walk will save you again and again and again and again and

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Henry 075
Henry 075@075Henry·
@erloesung @aakashgupta For DCs in space, there are currently more questions than answers. Hardware, connectivity, repairs, shipping, power. So many questions, And few answers.
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Thomas Wingenfeld
Thomas Wingenfeld@erloesung·
@aakashgupta It is easier to build DC in space, where it is much colder (-272° Celsius) than in an iced region with storms. As we already have connectivity in space, soon will have manufacturing there, just let the regions of Earth alone that are still mostly untouched.
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Aakash Gupta
Aakash Gupta@aakashgupta·
You could solve every cooling problem on Earth by moving to Antarctica. You'd just trade it for no power, no internet, no supply chain, no workforce, and no legal right to build there. Cooling is 30-40% of a data center's electricity bill. The other 60-70% is running the actual servers. A single hyperscale data center consumes 100+ megawatts. The entire continent of Antarctica generates about 1-2 megawatts total. McMurdo Station, the largest base on the continent, runs on diesel generators. Every drop of fuel arrives by ship once a year. They actually tried nuclear power there. The PM-3A reactor at McMurdo ran from 1962 to 1972. It suffered 438 malfunctions in 10 years, leaked radioactive coolant into the ground, and required 9,000 cubic meters of contaminated soil to be shipped back to the United States for disposal. Zero undersea fiber cables connect Antarctica to the global internet. All connectivity is satellite. Latency measured in hundreds of milliseconds on a good day. The IceCube Neutrino Observatory runs a 150-server data center at the South Pole where temperatures hit -50°F. They still have cooling problems. Servers generate so much heat in an enclosed space that the cold outside is almost irrelevant. The real issue at McMurdo turned out to be static electricity. The air is so dry that servers get zapped to death without extensive grounding systems. The companies building data centers the fastest right now are the ones closest to power plants, not glaciers.
Cipher@Cipher_twt

If data centers require so much cooling, why don’t we build more of them in extremely cold places like Antarctica ??

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环球锐评
环球锐评@TIM_WU001·
Pam Bondi’s firing by Trump is nothing less than another classic case of political sacrifice in American politics. Once one of Trump’s most loyal allies, she begged him to keep her job, only to be cast aside without a second thought—not because she did something wrong, but because she had become a political liability tied to the Epstein scandal, a liability Trump had to cut loose to save himself. What makes this even more cynical is that her termination is not the end of her troubles, but the start of her nightmare. She is still obligated to testify under oath before the Oversight Committee on April 14, answering for her catastrophic mishandling of the Epstein files. This is not a personnel change; it is Trump throwing her to the wolves of public opinion and the justice system, using her as a scapegoat to shield himself from accountability. Pam Bondi herself is the perfect embodiment of the rot at the heart of American politics. She is not only grossly incompetent, having completely botched the handling of the Epstein files and allowed the crimes of countless powerful figures to be covered up, but also utterly unethical, acting as a blind political enforcer for Trump with no principles or integrity. That someone like her could hold a senior position is the greatest mockery of America’s so-called “rule of law” and “accountability system.” I have always wondered: does the United States even have a charge for dereliction of duty due to negligent hiring and supervision? In major Eastern powers, the alignment of power and responsibility is a fundamental political principle: when a subordinate commits a serious mistake, the superior who promoted and appointed them must bear joint liability, be held accountable, and even face legal consequences. But in the United States, this logic completely collapses. Trump hand-picked Pam Bondi for her role, yet he fired her and threw her under the bus the moment she became a problem, walking away scot-free. The politicians who backed her, gave her power, and enabled her failures have all vanished into thin air, as if they never existed. This is the true face of American democracy: power is only accountable to its source, not to the people. So-called oversight and accountability are nothing more than tools for the powerful to protect each other and shift blame. When a country’s political system cannot even hold leaders accountable for negligent hiring, cannot rein in the worst abuses of power, its collapse is only a matter of time. And Pam Bondi’s downfall is just another insignificant footnote before the fall of this rotten system.
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Gabriel
Gabriel@GabeZZOZZ·
It’s been over two years since the Francis Scott Key Bridge in Baltimore collapsed, and it still hasn’t been rebuilt. Yet this clown is celebrating the bombing of a bridge in Iran. Instead of using American taxpayer money to fix the crumbling infrastructure in the U.S., Trump is bombing Iran’s infrastructure because Netanyahu’s interests in the Middle East are more important to him than those of the people who voted for him.
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Michael Burry Stock Tracker ♟
The dominoes continue to fall Breaking: Blue Owl Capital $OWL place limits on investors from withdrawing money from its private credit fund after $5.4B in withdrawal requests went through Companies capping withdrawals is growing fast: • Blue Owl Capital • Ares Management • BlackRock • KKK & Co. • Apollo Management • Morgan Stanley • UBS • Blackstone • Starwood Capital In the words of Mark Baum: 'Boom.'
Michael Burry Stock Tracker ♟ tweet media
Michael Burry Stock Tracker ♟@burrytracker

It just got worse Breaking: UBS Bank has stopped withdrawals from its nearly $500 million real estate fund for up to 3 years UBS Bank now joins other asset managers such as BlackRock, Ares Management, Apollo and Blackstone

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Henry 075
Henry 075@075Henry·
@imetatronink Knowing that, as the Iranians surely do, what do you think about a preemptive attack by Iran on one or more of the deployment points you mentioned?
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Will Schryver
Will Schryver@imetatronink·
🩸 Blood Will Be Shed As certain to fail as it may be, it appears the US is determined to attempt to insert ground forces into Iran. And given how obsessed Trump is with market movements, it seems likely they will time this ground assault to coincide with the upcoming 3-day market closure, which begins later today at 1600 EDT — so almost midnight Tehran time. What exactly the mission of these elite American ground forces will be remains a mystery. But there are only a few plausible alternatives: 🩸 an amphibious / airborne insertion in the vicinity of Chabahar on Iran's far southern coast 🩸 an assault launched from Kurdistan in the far north 🩸 an assault launched from Kuwait, possibly with the aim of seizing Kharg Island All three options are, in my estimation, nucking futs; absolutely doomed to failure; very possibly the most catastrophic American military operation since Burnside's disaster at Fredericksburg in 1862 and Grant's blood bath at Cold Harbor in 1864. Although I am not aware of any definitive intelligence on force disposition, my sense is that the 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit embarked on the USS Tripoli would be assigned to assault Chabahar; the 82nd Airborne would launch from Kuwait, and various special forces units will join with Kurdish allies to launch from Kurdistan. An attempted seizure of Kharg Island is the stupidest of the three potential objectives, and probably the least likely. Chabahar entails the second greatest potential for disaster — not only will the Tripoli and its escorts be susceptible to anti-ship attacks, but once the Marines are deposited ashore, safely extracting them will prove exceedingly problematic. At least an attack in Kurdistan has the virtue of retaining practicable avenues of retreat. If a Marine assault in Chabahar is planned, then the USS Tripoli must already be in position, which means it is, as we speak, within relatively easy range of Iranian anti-ship missiles. Also, if Chabahar is the target, then we should assume the USS Fraidy Abe and its destroyers will have mustered the courage to venture much closer to the Iranian coast than they have been over the past month — meaning more targets for Iranian anti-ship missiles. Anyway, the whole thing is crazy. And it won't surprise me if this "ground invasion" plan is called off at the last minute. But then, I resisted for a long time believing the US would even launch this war against Iran in the first place. So, I am undoubtedly once again underestimating how stupid the people commanding this continuing debacle really are. This is the bottom line: if the US actually does this extraordinarily stupid thing, a lot of American blood will be shed on the soil of Iran.
Will Schryver tweet media
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