Tecton
295 posts

Tecton
@0xTecton
Market Observoooor https://t.co/gItTO7MIDC
เข้าร่วม Şubat 2021
514 กำลังติดตาม1.6K ผู้ติดตาม

@0xTecton thats a LOT of names
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Portfolio Update/Names I’m Accumulating on the Dip
AI Infra / Power
$FLNC
$TE
$POWL
$ETN
$CLSK
$CSIQ
Defense & Drones
$KTOS
$AVAV
Semis/Hardware/Photonics
$QCOM
$TXN
$WOLF
$MU
$SNDK
$MRVL
$COHR
Chemicals / AI Materials
$ENTG
$CC
Automation & Sensors
$OUST
$ZBRA
$LPTH
Metals & Scarcity
$SLV
$ERO
$HL
$MP
Space & Aerospace
$RKLB
$LUNR
$RDW
$FLY
$VOYG
Health / Biotech
$LLY
$ABSI
$ABCL
$HIMS
Energy / Inflation Hedge
$XLE
High-Beta / Quantum
$INFQ
$XNDU
Core Crypto Holds
$HYPE
$ZEC
$TIG
$BTC
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@aleabitoreddit $ZBRA, real automation/robotics exposure, Q1 rev +14%, 23% EBITDA margins, > $900M FCF guide, and still only ~11–12x FY26 EPS. prob cheap enough that you don’t need full humanoid mania for it to work.
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Taking foot off the pedal with some of my $MU / $DRAM positioning.
Rotating some capital into a few less-stretched thematics.
Power: $VST $TLN $ETN
Inflation / hard assets: silver, gold, copper, $BTC
Crypto beta (privacy x AI): $ZEC, $TIG
Storage / lithium: $CSIQ, $FLNC (holding)
Strategic materials: $MP $UUUU
Biotech: $ABCL $HIMS
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Dont have a strong opinion on any of them other than $CSIQ.
$TAN would be my go to, as an exposure to the whole industry. But its too US focused, for my taste. Valuation premium over RoW at ATH, which should mean-revert sometime.
$CSIQ gives you exposure to RoW with their China manufacturing arm (remember, RoW gets supplied by China). ~20GWs of Solar PV per year + 10GWh of BESS being sold to 80% Non-US, Non China markets, at commodity market prices.
On module price competition, I believe this to be a cyclical industry, and we are already seeing the shift from oversupply, to margin expansion. This is seen as “China risk”. I see it as a multi-billion global scale business, which is already publicly traded, with an expiring lock-up in a month (first time they’ll be able to monetize it), valued at ~4.5B USD, or ~4x their current US-listed market cap.
On top of that you have the BlackRock-backed project development arm. This is a US-Europe company, that is about to print money. With the current energy situation, Recurrent’s Europe division is getting increasingly attractive, and more meaningful opportunities. This is an energy infrastructure provider, which $BLK valued at $2.5B in early 2024. At least ~2X their current market cap (my expectation is much higher).
The US operations have all kinds of risks, which im aware of. But they are not the sole investment thesis. They are the free call option. More importantly, the most likely catalyst - as their results and impact on financials are imminent.
Cant ask for a broader and wider exposure to the Solar/Renewables/BESS space, at such a ridiculous discount, with so many validating external data points, than $CSIQ
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$CSIQ $EOSE Largest producer of fossil fuels in the world, is building the biggest solar+BESS ever seen. Un-subsidized renewables wining over and over again.
Original project was for 5GW, now expanding to 30GW 🤯
Time to shine ☀️ 🔋
“Is this project (or the broader CFA) subsidized?
No — neither the 5.2 GW RTC project nor the new CFA framework involves direct government subsidies.”
PV-Tech@pv_tech
Masdar, EWEC sign agreement on 30GW solar PV and 8GW storage deployment in UAE dlvr.it/TSNYpm #solar
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Outside of btc/eth/hyp. Feels like $zec has the setup for a major move and already showing some signs. $tig is my one micro moonshot. Interesting concept although still yet to prove itself through a major licensing deal last I checked. But interesting intersection of some of the prominent themes in markets.
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CT friends
What has you excited in the coins this year, if anything?
Shill me the big bets/leading metas.
darran@darran0x
Finding myself really interested in crypto again, fwiw. I'm optimistic that AI pushing everyone into a prototyping mindset could reset the culture. Back to designing and funding the most ambitious ideas at the edge. Believing in something.
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Think solar is a good medium-term bet coming out of Hormuz. Energy independence will
be a sticky narrative. Nuclear fits too but solar is the more immediate play - scales faster, politically clean. Few distressed names at good valuations:
$FSLR -> 7.5x forward. Only US manufacturer at scale.
$SHLS -> EBOS, 12x forward. Panel-agnostic.
$DQ -> polysilicon at book value. Cycle bottom.
$CSIQ -> $5.6B revenue, sub-$1B cap. 4x forward.
Note* trying to stay away from some of the more residential, rate-sensitive names
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@crypto_condom Honestly best account on CT, while also giving any top tier tradfi account a run for their money.
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Saturday is my mother's birthday. She is the strongest woman I know. She raised 3 smol pepes by herself after being widowed at 32. She worked two jobs for much of my childhood to always give us what we needed, if not what we wanted.
This year, her birthday gift is a digital album of about 500 old 35mm slides from before her husband and daughter died. With the help of @gemini, I have been able to scan, upload & enhance all the slides so that they were photorealistic and color corrected. It is mind blowing what good AI can do if you use it well. 🍌
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