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First time a UFC title has ever been thrown away due to terminal Bushido spirit.
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NS
5.1K posts
Fortune has to be the biggest retard in the UFC. Mfer doesnt listen to his coach AT ALL. Not ONCE #UFCSeattle
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NS รีทวีตแล้ว
Wall Street pays $500K/year for quant analysts to find edges like this
This tool finds 12 arb opportunities in 0.1 seconds
The spread between Polymarket, Kalshi and sportsbooks has been feeding me for months
Here's how it works and why most people will still lose money on it ↓
Prediction markets and sportsbooks price the same events differently
Always have
The gap is free money - if you know where to look
Chiefs / Bills live:
→ Kalshi: 56.6% YES
→ Pinnacle: 36.2% NO
→ Net arb: 6.70% - Risk free → $100 in → $106.70 out
My scraper broke last week
Then @natjin drops this scanner for free
Timing is unreal
But before you ape in - 4 things nobody tells you:
1. LIQUIDITY - the juiciest arbs sit on thin markets
You'll see 7% but can only fill $200
Scale is the real problem
2. CANCELLATIONS - platform A voids the match, platform B keeps your bet live
Your "guaranteed profit" just became a gamble
3. SETTLEMENT TRAPS - Polymarket settles cancelled events at 50/50
Bought at 70¢?
You're getting 50¢ back
Math doesn't care about your intentions
4. SPEED - capital must already be deployed on both sides
These gaps close in minutes
Sometimes seconds
Still - with the right sizing and risk management this is one of the cleanest edges in crypto right now
I've been running it for months
Free scanner: perplexity.ai/computer/a/arb…
Starting a challenge: $100 → $1,000 using arb only
Will document everything in TG
Markets don't reward morality
They reward information
nat jin@natjin
quants are cooked just one-shotted arb prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi) and sportsbooks (DraftKings, FanDuel) often price the same event differently. buy both sides across platforms and you lock in guaranteed profit regardless of outcome this scans all of them in real-time and surfaces the gaps free internet alpha. yw perplexity.ai/computer/a/arb…
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NS รีทวีตแล้ว
You can make $600K.
With a bot that earns $83 every hour, 24/7, no days off, 365 days straight.
By buying both sides of the same match on Polymarket and locking profit before the game even starts.
> The bot buys YES and NO simultaneously on sports markets.
> When combined price is below $1 - profit is locked instantly.
> 7,877 trades.
> $619K in 12 months.
Check the wallet here: @0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2?via=maycrypto" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0xD9E0AACa471…
I reverse-engineered every trade and rebuilt the full logic in Claude Opus 4.6.
The strategy, the math, both arb types, the exact 5-step bot architecture - all in the article.
Feed it to your OpenClaw, let it spec the bot for Claude Opus 4.6, and you are set.
may.crypto {🦅}@xmayeth
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NS รีทวีตแล้ว
It’s been 8 days since I bought my Mac mini for OpenClaw 🦞
Here’s what I’m bleeding on: 🩸
> Mac mini - $600 (one-time)
> Claude Opus - $200/mo (max plan)
> Kimi K2.5 - $10/mo (actually carrying me)
> OpenAI Codex + GPT - $20/mo
> Gemini API - $10/mo
> MiniMax 2.5 - $10/mo (testing)
> Z. AI (GLM-5) – $30/mo (bulk worker)
> X Research API - $10/mo
> Brave Search API - $5/mo
> Supabase - $25/mo (was a test, regretted it)
> SuperGrok - $40/mo (just pumping the numbers)
> Suno API - $10/mo (music arc pending)
> Midjourney - $11.5/mo (useless)
> HiggsField - $52/mo (no clue. vibes only)
> Random AWS instance I forgot - $20/mo
> OnlyFans - $49.95 (for reasrch purposes)
> Gym - $80/mo (ofc I would add it)
Total burn ≈ $1,183/mo 🔻
Am I net negative right now?
- Yes.
Did the Mac generate money yet?
- Not measurable yet.
Did it make me feel like I control the future?
- eh, maybe later, let's see
End-of-month update coming.
If revenue > burn → genius
If burn > revenue → I am cooked
Either way, we building ... (I guess)
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NS รีทวีตแล้ว
NS รีทวีตแล้ว
NS รีทวีตแล้ว