Alex Vent.
51.2K posts
Alex Vent.
@AlesInform
@polymarket maxi | @zscdao member
Alpha here เข้าร่วม Mayıs 2022
1.1K กำลังติดตาม2.3K ผู้ติดตาม
Konnex Autonomous Units
Mint opens March 16 — exclusively on @opensea
The first robotic identities entering the Konnex network.
Built to operate. Designed to evolve.
Each unit is a gateway into the Konnex ecosystem.
opensea.io/collection/kon…
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update: polymarket trader made another $218k and is now sitting at $2.35m
real madrid vs man city 3-0 (valverde hat-trick!)
psg is up 2-1 against chelsea
champions league is cooking
chaos for the fans, pure data for algorithms, what did this syndicate bet on today?
you can check his live positions yourself here:
@0x2a2C53bD278c04DA9962Fcf96490E17F3DfB9Bc1-1772479215461?via=tengen" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0x2a2C53bD278…
enjoy the beautiful game everyone
Tengen@0xTengen_
polymarket trader made $2.1m in just 10 days predicting on sports averaging $214k profit per day, 360 predictions massive sizing across soccer, nba, nhl, and even cs2 is it an hft bot? with only 360 positions, it looks more like a terrifyingly accurate statistical syndicate interesting nuance: look at his hits, he bought "no" on liverpool at 31¢, fading the public, then perfectly timed real madrid "yes" at 36.7¢ but the real alpha is his nba spreads, he systematically hunts point differentials (rockets -9.5 at 49.9¢, pistons -2.5 at 48¢) it looks like he is arbitraging inefficient lines, deploying six figures into these tight margins suggests his model has a definitive mathematical edge over the crowd p.s. drop a follow, i hunt these wallets regularly his wallet to track: @0x2a2C53bD278c04DA9962Fcf96490E17F3DfB9Bc1-1772479215461?via=tengen" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0x2a2C53bD278…
another proof that prediction markets are a new gold mine for quant models English
1.4m views on the article about free APIs - honestly didn’t expect such a reaction
Comments and Quotes with gratitude from people who found something useful for their projects. That’s exactly why it’s worth sharing.
Thanks to everyone who read, shared, and wrote back. This motivates me to do more.
Qwerty 🧀@qwerty_ytrevvq
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This trader turned contract mispricing into over $200,000 on Polymarket.
He is not guessing narratives, he is scanning for contracts that trade below what they are actually worth.
Profile: @risk-managervia=kiyoro" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@risk-managerv…
If a position looks cheap versus his fair value, he buys it and lets that edge pay out at resolution.
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Polymarket is all in on Formula 1
Just added 27 markets for the upcoming Chinese & Japanese GP
Elite Sport on #1 Prediction Market give insane attention
Rich people love watching F1, and they love betting on their favorite
Love seeing how hard @Polymarket team is pushing F1
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$1,020,631 made purely from sports betting on @PolymarketTrade
Found a wallet with very strong stats
68 predictions in total with a 52.4% win rate, which is very solid, especially in sports
biggest trades:
$198131 => $405393
$113501 => $304182
$218108 => $407837
his wallet: 0x916f7165c2c836aba22edb6453cdbb5f3ea253ba
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MIT math-professor quit university and turned $300 → $66K on Polymarket weather markets.
His thesis was: "ML models produce better weather forecasts than physics-based ones."
He built his own model that predicts super-rare weather events { 0.01¢ - 0.1¢ }
The result is crazy:
24$ → 12,398$
13$ → 6,850$
11$ → 5,752$
He trades a wide range of regions from Chicago to Ankara only thing that matters is 0.01¢ - 0.1¢ range.
Start copy-trading his ML model using Kreo: @copywallet" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">kreo.app/@copywallet
Pinned his research and wallet below ↓
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You will NOT become a quant.
Knowing math will NOT help you with prediction markets.
CT guys lie to you and post FAKE articles.
They post formulas.
Talk about stochastic models.
Quote the Black-Scholes model.
But this is just a HUGE SCAM.
Yes, the real quant world is brutal.
Students spend months solving hundreds of problems from probability, statistics, and optimization.
They study things like Conditional Probability and Ito's Lemma until it becomes second nature.
That’s the level firms like Jane Street, Citadel, or Hudson River Trading expect.
But here’s the part nobody on crypto Twitter wants to admit:
Most profitable traders are not quants at all.
They don’t derive equations.
They don’t run complex stochastic models.
What they do is much simpler and much harder.
They understand probability, risk, and execution.
On prediction market platforms, the traders making the most money are often:
> niche specialists
> information hunters
> liquidity manipulators
> disciplined risk managers
Not PhDs solving differential equations.
Quantitative trading is about building models.
But profit comes from edge.
And edge can come from many places:
> faster data
> better timing
> market structure knowledge
> psychology of the crowd
Math helps.
But it’s not the magic key people think it is.
Many traders hide behind complex formulas because it sounds sophisticated.
Meanwhile the quiet wallets making millions often follow a much simpler rule:
Find mispriced probability.
Size the bet correctly.
Repeat hundreds of times.
Trading isn’t a math competition.
It’s a decision-making competition under uncertainty.
Stop believing nonsense and learn how to trade instead.
Punisher@0x_Punisher
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This trader turn 2,000$ in 121,009$
Win Rate 75.2%
He traiding just crypto with a cold head
Follow him and start earning too
He has profits every day and every week
@LampStore" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@LampStore
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@AlesInform @PolymarketTrade @zscdao i placed a bet on the opposition
fiorentina is not my team, hah
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Most intriguing match is Udinese vs Fiorentina
March 2, Matchday 27 of Serie A
Udinese are at home
They control the tempo and press high
The spotlight is on Matteo Zaniolo - I’m sure that he can create chaos
Fiorentina are in much better form right now, winning 2 in a row
@Polymarket shows that Fiorentina win - 40%
Remember how Antony absolutely destroyed Fiorentina last time?
I’m backing Udinese to win at home
What do you think?
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Yesterday we went 2/2, let’s keep moving.
Arsenal vs Chelsea
Arsenal 65% - Chelsea 16%
- A fantastic London derby.
- In my opinion, Arsenal already look tired and can no longer be as dominant as before.
- Chelsea have been looking quite good recently.
- Yes, Arsenal can win, but I won’t take the risk I’ll go with goals.
My prediction - BTTS - YES
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@0xViki_eth @PolymarketSport @Polymarket Fun fact - he took injury in the end of 1st set and Rublev can't won him.
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23rd career title!
DANIIL MEDVEDEV WINS the Dubai Tennis Championships!
Tallon Griekspoor pulls out due to injury BEFORE the match even starts.
I was geared up to cash in on this one, but nope... it never happened.
Key lesson: ALWAYS buy in LIVE mode! That way, you don't lose a dime like in this epic fail.
Tomorrow, CS2 kicks off: ESL Pro League Season 23!
Stay tuned for my killer strategy on @Polymarket and your next big win opportunity.
Who's ready to level up?
Vikig13.eth@0xViki_eth
SEMI-FINALS IGNITING! ATP. Dubai Tennis Championships Felix Auger-Aliassime - Daniil Medvedev Wild that @Polymarket shows 54% odds on Medvedev! Felix straight-up looks like the stronger contender here over Daniil. Yeah, I'm cheering hard for Medvedev. But his form's unpredictable - serve shows up or ghosts out. Felix? Delivering locked-in tennis and dominant plays! Andrey Rublev - Tallon Griekspoor Rublev's the clear powerhouse. All our vibes locked on him - let's crush! My sharp strategy for both clashes: -> Diving into LIVE action -> Hunting those juicy dips at 30-50% -> Snagging 1-2% buys on @Polymarket. Final decision depends on how each match looks on court. Dream Final: Medvedev - Rublev Yesterday's calls: 2/2 spot-on - pure heat!
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Yesterday predictions was 1.5/2, because Rublev could have been sold at 84% odds in LIVE when his opponent got injured. I wrote about this during LIVE.
Today we’ll look at two easy matches for a +25% boost to the deposit.
1)
Como vs Lecce
Como 72% - Lecce 9%
- Como are the favorites and of course they are strong at home.
- Recently, Como have been playing excellent football and don’t see anyone as favorites against them.
- Como are not hiding their goal qualifying for the Champions League zone.
- When else should you collect points if not against an outsider, especially in a home match?
> My prediction - Como WIN
>If the score is 0–0 by the 20–30th minute, I will take total 1.5 over.
2)
Barcelona vs Villarreal
Barcelona 72% - Villarreal 13%
- Barcelona are the favorites both in this match and in La Liga.
- Yes, the match will be difficult. It’s 1st place vs 3rd place, but the difference in player quality is huge.
- Barcelona approach the match without injuries, all key players are available.
- It’s also worth noting that Barcelona have won 12 out of 12 home matches in La Liga.
- Also, don’t forget about the La Liga title race the gap with Real Madrid is only 1 point.
>My prediction - Barcelona WIN
> If the score is 0–0 by the 20–30th minute, I will take total 1.5 over.
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you want to increase profit on football by own strategy?
that's useful article special for you
honestly i bet mainly at total on Polymarket:
> total over 1.5 goals
it's safe total to get easy profit. 2 goals that's avg number of goals in games
not big profit, but safe
> total over 2.5 goals
more risky total to predict, but always high odds
here i choose only Bundesliga and EPL to bet at this total
full info you can check in article
Gustafsson@Gustafssonkotte
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@Lutchyn13 @PolymarketTrade @PolymarketFC @PolymarketSport Barcelona didn't see final about 10 years
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The Champions League Round of 16 draw just happened — and it’s already promising insane action!
For me, the hottest matchup is Barcelona. They drew a tough Newcastle. Not easy, but if they don’t get past them, talking about winning the Champions League is pointless.
Also exciting to watch: Manchester City vs Real Madrid and PSG vs Chelsea. Every single match could test nerves to the limit.
The key is the playoff bracket. Barcelona can realistically make it to the final, because the left side of the bracket in the next stage promises even more thrilling and deadly matchups. Every game could be a thriller, and right now, everything is in the players’ hands.
On Polymarket, the draw has already shifted the odds:
Arsenal chances up +5%
Barcelona +1%
PSG +1%
Bayern down -2%
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Who will become the new owner of Warner Bros.?
In December Netflix made the first application offering $83B for the studio
later Paramount interrupted this offer, coming up with more favorable conditions in the amount of $110B
In response Netflix initiated negotiations setting a deadline of February 23 to clarify details
Polymarket traders bet
> Paramount 85%
> No by June 30,2027 -> 10%
The situation became more complicated in February 2026
When Warner Bros. granted Paramount the right to submit a final proposal
Paramount took this chance, not only increasing the price
Despite the fact that the board of directors of Warner Bros. initially supported the agreement with Netflix
now they are also considering an improved Paramount offer.
Your thoughts about the market?
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how to copytrade on polymarket smart
dexter’s guide above is the absolute blueprint
most retail just blind copies a profitable address, mismatches the risk profile, and gets wiped out
you have to map your bot execution to the trader's exact behavior
he mentioned an esports sniper
look at the screenshot: this is xdd07070, printing $122k on just 43 predictions
strictly cs, lol, and valorant
this is the exact type of profile i look to copy
they don't play on random headlines
they have brutal niche dominance, they snipe 1-2 high-conviction setups
for a wallet like this, you use the fixed sizing setup dexter explained, and auto copy their exits
nfa / dyor
for execution, i personally use @kreoapp
it integrates privy for secure wallet generation and the ux is just unmatched
i am an affiliate, but it's the tool i genuinely use daily
stop treating copy-trading like passive income
treat it like managing a fund where the wallets are your analysts
Dexter's Lab@DextersSolab
POLYMARKET COPY TRADING GUIDE (video setup + tools + bonus wallet I personally follow) Only 3 factors that determine your success: > speed > correct setup > wallets you follow This guide will cover all of them. Before trading, make sure you're using a fast bot. The faster your transactions are, the better your results will be. I spent months testing different bots, so this guide is based on the one I personally use. It's faster, more secure and easier to use than any other bot. You can use the one you like, that's up to you. How to set it up right: 1. Open the bot: [t.me/KreoPolyBot?st…] 2. Click on Copy Trade button 3. Click on Add button and choose W1 (this wallet was generated by the bot) 4. Enter the wallet address you wanna follow 5. Name this wallet (I use "sport trader" / "95% Win Rate guy" etc.) 6. Enter the buy amount you want. (We'll change it in the next steps so you can just pick 1) Part 1 is done. Now comes the most important part so get ready. We need to set up right filters. There are 4 trading options: > Fixed (You enter $50 so every trade = $50) > Exact (Same as trader's amount) > Percentage (You enter 20% so if trader bets $100, your trade = $20) > Portfolio (Trader uses 10% of his balance = you also use 10% of your balance) Each option is useful depending on the trader type. Here's how I use them: > If your trader makes up to 10 trades per day, use fixed option. > If your trader makes 10+ trades, use portfolio option. I don't use 2nd and 3rd options, but they are useful if your trader's portfolio size is the same as yours. This will allow you to achieve stats similar to the trader. After you picked a trading type: 7. Change fixed amount to the one you use (Or the exact % if you picked the third option) 8. Leave the default slippage or downgrade to 5% to avoid volatility. 9. Set up Max Buy trigger (Based on your portfolio, i recommend using up to 5% of the size) 10. Set up Min Buy trigger ($20 to avoid small transactions triggering) 11. Set up min Liquidity and Volume if needed (I don't use it because my traders don't trade new markets) 12. Set up Min and Max odds based on the risk you wanna take. (You can choose Min 50% to avoid trading low chance trades) 13. Make sure to follow both Buys and Sells (Btw this is the only bot that allows you to sell with the trader) 14. Set up Stop Loss if needed (That's also a very useful instrument available only in this bot) 15. Click Back, then click Start. That's it. Make sure to amend the setup based on the wallet you wanna follow. Bonus: I will give you one of my favourite wallets worth following: > 0x25e28169faea17421fcd4cc361f6436d1e449a09 This trader trades esport markets only with a 90% Win Rate and $120k PnL. He makes 1-2 trades per day so I use fixed option for him. The best example of niche dominance trading. This setup helped me publicly make $69k on copy trading. Use it correctly and you’ll understand why I chose copy trading instead of analyzing every market myself. Don't forget to DYOR.
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US strikes Iran by...?
the last time I analyzed this market was in January. February is already coming to an end.
Then I wrote that I believed in an attack in February, but since the difference between February and March was small, I chose a deal for March.
Now, according to the latest news, an attack is being prepared in the near future. It might even be today.
On Polymarket, the chance that this will happen before February 28 has increased by 2 times in the last 3 hours.
The deal I was talking about for March is now in profit.
The aircraft carrier USS Gerald R. Ford has arrived off the coast of Israel and is probably ready to carry out its mission.
A large number of military equipment was spotted at Ben Gurion International Airport, indicating a possible imminent strike.
It seems that we are already at the point where the United States is moving from threats to action, and it's time to start looking for insiders in the market who will definitely be in such a market.
MopOzeu | Eternity@mopozeuX
US strikes Iran by...? I remember discussing this market already. We even had a hot night when it seemed like everything was going to happen, but.. But at the last moment, Trump either changed his mind (which is what I think), or it was not prepared for that time. I think you remember how it all started in Venezuela. Back then, too, at first there was a lot of noise on social media and the news, but nothing happened. At that time, everyone thought it would be November or December, and when everyone began to forget, he did it in January. It feels like the scenario is starting to repeat itself. There's a lot of noise again, help on the way, Trump's loud words, and then silence. Trump starts saying again that he is closely monitoring the situation in Iran. Then he calmed down because of the smaller killings of protesters, but now they start telling him again that this is happening. So what's the chance that Trump is just sending his aircraft carrier group to the Middle East? Everything has already been decided, the attack will be coming soon. There are 2 options on the market that suit me: > February 28 - 51% > March 31 - 59% Yes, I think it will happen before February, but the chances are not so much different for me between February and March, and I think it's advisable to protect yourself from Trump's surprises anyway. March 31 looks like a good option. What do you think?
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