BayesianEdge

@theo_crypto99 June 2028. Or, more likely, some time between 2023 and 2185

@naval 2) Another coronavirus has antibodies wearing off after 40 weeks, making herd immunity without vaccine unreliable if true & if only ~10% of population gets COVID every flu season. 3) Practicality of segregating old people, as you mentioned. (2/2)

@naval Interesting but consider: 1) Impact on organs unknown. Anecdotes suggesting lung damage, and SARS-classic autopsies show testis damage. (1/2)

COVID19 isn't the flu. But for under-45, COVID hospitalizes 1% & kills .014%. All ages, flu hospitalizes 1.5% & kills 0.13%. Restricting COVID to under-45s results in 6x flu hospitalizations & 1x flu deaths, & gets us to herd immunity. Shelter the old, but release the young!

The Fed further bolstered liquidity, and OPEC+ reached an agreement on production cuts. Read more about this on the latest #BybitInsight article: blog.bybit.com/news/more-fed-…

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@zhusu Fed statement might have contributed to the rally into close.

@zhusu @HsakaTrades @lowstrife Very strange. I guess there's no good reason for this, it's just what the traders there are choosing to do.

Bitmex vs. Deribit, round 2. $120 spread in Mexico during that spike. deribit.com/reg-5851.8608

@zhusu @HsakaTrades @lowstrife Another thing is lit/visible book should be more liquid in Mex vs Okex/Huobi which rely more on a hidden LOB. Reason: more competition for time priority in Mex. In Okex/Huobi competition gets dimed so there's no benefit to pre-queue big size, probs best to execute gradually here.

@zhusu @HsakaTrades @lowstrife Only downside is small tick size, so harder to opportunistically find an oversized queue within 0.25 bps of midprice that we can hitlift with a single order. But if we execute gradually or happy to rip deeper than touch for 1-2 bps then okex/huobi should be better.

@walter_wyckoff Check out this growth rate. imgur.com/a/yfP61Hp

This whole Coronavirus saga is irrational af, showing how humans react in a weird way to things they are not familiar with. This is data about the seasonal flu that happens every year. Coronavirus killed 100 people and infected 5k. Draw your own conclusions

@walter_wyckoff Ebola had a much lower R0, and 90% is the far upper bound of mortality estimates. But I do agree that Ebola was more scary.

@BayesianEdge I was more scared about an ebola outbreak that had a 90% mortality rate tbh

@bitcoinbooya @crypto_iso No, not always. This is the pattern in the last few days, conditional on defining time zero at the specific point at which it was defined.

@crypto_iso Cool. Learning. Does price always drop when l&s Delta goes green?

Tagged a block of 50x shorts at 8530. Been adding on the way up. Confluence around fibs.

@OpticScalper @crypto_iso Sorry I mean to say *taker* buys/sells, which could be either limit or market orders.

@OpticScalper @crypto_iso It should be the difference between cumulative market buys and cumulative market sells. According to his graph it's spiked up at local tops.

@crypto_iso Did you build this yourself?

Delta going green.

@naval I'm going to interpret signal to mean that which isn't noise. So what you're saying is that startups should find clarity in their vision, mission, product, customer so that they execute in the correct direction.

Startups don’t need capital - they need signal.