Bobby C

Royal Ascot Thursday's horse racing thread 🧵 2.30 Sea Venture 8/1 each way 3.05 Enceladus 12/1 each way 3.40 Earth Shot 11/2 each way 4.15 Scandinavia 5/2 NAP 4.50 Moonfall 11/1 each way 5.35 Endorsement 9/4 NEXT BEST 6.10 The Wizard Of Eye 14/1 each way I was really impressed with the way SEA VENTURE won on debut and I'm surprised she has drifted to 8/1 this morning. She is by Sea The Stars and overcame inexperience to win by three lengths at Haydock. I guess that was on Soft ground and the ground at Ascot is drying out all the time so she needs to prove herself on this surface but she has a nice action and I think she'll be fine. She looks quite exciting and up another furlong there is clearly lots to like. Aix La Chapelle is feared but it wouldn't surprise me to see Aperoll run a big race as long as she settles. It has been some week for Joseph O'Brien and there is a good chance he has another winner here I'm hoping with ENCELADUS. This colt by Sea The Stars loved going up in trip to win at Cork when last seen. He goes up to a mile and a half for the first time here and this stiff track will really suit. He ticks plenty of trends now handicapping and I'm surprised he is still a big price as he makes tons of appeal from an each way perspective. Al Azd looks a danger and Heyzoom is another one I can see getting involved. I backed Legacy Link at Epsom and I thought she ran a massive race to finish second. She looked the winner for a lot of the race before Thundering On came powering through. That form looks strong but the worry with her is this is coming quickly and she did have a hard race. I'd prefer EARTH SHOT at the prices for William Haggas. This Time Test filly was really impressive at Newmarket and then got done for speed at Goodwood looking unlucky. She will improve again now going over a mile and a half and looks the best value bet of the day at Royal Ascot. I know the market is going against SCANDINAVIA now but I'm not. He has been ultra progressive winning his last five starts and that has included the Goodwood Cup and the St Leger. He beat Rahiebb at Doncaster and does everything you want from a stayer - just enough. He has won on fast ground before so I don't think it's as much as a negative as they are making out. He is out to around 5/2 now but that looks too big so I've snapped that up. I fully respect Rahiebb as he impressed finally getting his head in front in the Yorkshire Cup and is a likeable type. He is the danger and I'll be covering the reverse forecast for some insurance. The Britannia is always a tough race to dissect but I really like one here in the shape of MOONFALL for George Boughey. This 3yo was a massive eye-catcher at Chester beaten just two lengths and he should love this straight mile. You obviously need a lot of luck in this but if it pans out favourably then I'm certain he will run better than his price suggests. We're Goosers is fast and could go very close if seeing it out and Organise is another one I can see running a big race. Ballydoyle won this 12 months ago and they have a great chance of following up hopefully with ENDORSEMENT who is being heavily backed now. This colt by Wootton Bassett was impressive at Leopardstown last time and back down to a mile and a quarter here should continue to improve. He is the choice of Ryan Moore and his form stacks up having finished just half a length behind subsequent Derby hero Christmas Day earlier in the season. Morshdi ran below par in the Dante but it is still early days and he could bounce back and be the danger. A wide open finale and a tentative vote goes to THE WIZARD OF EYE who loves this track and could still be able to follow up despite a higher mark. He beat Great Acclaim with a bit in hand in the Victoria Cup and that is decent form. Neil Callan is riding well too which would be another positive. Blue Brother can go well and Dance In The Storm is another one I expect to be in the mix but definitely the toughest race of the day to try and work out so good luck whatever you play here.

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