Cole Maritz

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Cole Maritz

Cole Maritz

@ColeMaritz

EIR @ManhattanInst, building Bilgola. Opinions my own.

New York, NY เข้าร่วม Ocak 2014
295 กำลังติดตาม35 ผู้ติดตาม
Cole Maritz รีทวีตแล้ว
Jesse Arm
Jesse Arm@Jesse_Leg·
Millions of voters only learn about radical figures like Hasan Piker and Nick Fuentes because corporate media and political elites obsessively cover and elevate them. They don’t necessarily do this because they want to increase these influencers’ power—though that’s the result—but because they are far more terminally online and social media addicted than most Americans.
Adam Wren@adamwren

If 2024 was about the groups, 2028 is gonna be about the influencers.

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Cole Maritz
Cole Maritz@ColeMaritz·
“Voters demand solutions to problems that can’t be solved.” There was a Morning Consult poll in 2023 that found 63% of Americans preferred falling prices to income increases: they wanted deflation, or prices to fall on an absolute basis. Deflation is economically catastrophic, encouraging saving, thus leading to economic contraction, or degrowth. It’s a cruel irony that voters have become so comfortable due to the spoils of capitalism that they are increasingly animated by a politics of envy, which if enacted would almost certainly reduce their quality of life.
John Arnold@johnarnold

Very good op-ed: "How Can America Be So Miserable When It’s So Rich?" @DavidAFrench gives 2 reasons: (1) scarce goods like land in desirable neighborhoods and NFL game tickets and (2) positional goods - there is always someone who sits in the front of the plane and someone who gets on last. As wealth rises, demand for scarce and positional goods increases, and businesses focus more heavily on serving that demand. Seating on Southwest Airlines was originally based on when you arrived. Then they created one premium tier. Now every seat has a distinct price. This evolution went from no positioning to near perfect positioning. Most people can afford many everyday comforts, like a large TV or meal delivery, so competition for scarce and status-linked goods intensifies. That dynamic can leave people outside the top wealth tier feeling worse off, even as their material standard of living improves. "No one is the clear villain in this story, and that’s one thing that makes the problem difficult to solve. We can’t target and defeat a specific set of bad actors who are immiserating America. Everyone is acting in rational self-interest." The growing discontent, almost impossible to reverse, drives the move towards populism as voters demand solutions to problems that can't be solved.

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Cole Maritz
Cole Maritz@ColeMaritz·
The idea that AI is a converging/moderating force, whereas social media is a diverging/radicalizing one, is compelling. But that underscores the existential risk of China winning the AI war. If AI can lead to a consensus that America is a global force for good, the world will be a better place than it is now. But if instead we allow AI to become captured by radicals, domestic or foreign, the way we’ve allowed so many other American institutions to be captured, then we’re all in trouble.
Stefan Schubert@StefanFSchubert

While social media is polarising, evidence suggests AI may nudge people towards the centre. This holds true of all studied models. Grok is more right-leaning than other models, but also has depolarising effects. By @jburnmurdoch.

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Cole Maritz
Cole Maritz@ColeMaritz·
Bottom signal?
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Cole Maritz
Cole Maritz@ColeMaritz·
I don't know if the Anthropic news is brilliant marketing or deeply concerning, but I will say that in the last month, I have shifted more towards deeply concerning because the outputs have been unbelievable. I built a website with sophisticated branding very easily. I asked it to create a WSJ or NYT style infographic, and it just did it. However, I'm not especially concerned that AI is going to replace all of us in the near term. It's definitely going to change the world. I don't see how it couldn't because it's already changed how I approach work. My impulse now is practically always to feed everything into an AI chatbot. What does it have to say? That said, I don't always agree with the output. What's odd to me about AI is that it has access to most of the world's information, vastly more information than any human could interpret in many lifetimes. And yet it doesn't come up with very many novel takes. Humans still come up with novel takes.
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Cole Maritz
Cole Maritz@ColeMaritz·
Supposedly Anthropic’s new models are so good they’re worried if they release them existing software companies will be exposed to hacks. Which is either amazing marketing or deeply concerning.
TestingCatalog News 🗞@testingcatalog

BREAKING 🚨: Anthropic is preparing to release new models, Mythos and Capybara, where Mythos is a completely new tier of models, bigger then Opus. In the blog post, Anthropic also highlights that this model brings significant cybersecurity risks due to its capabilities.

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Cole Maritz
Cole Maritz@ColeMaritz·
Agreed. American kids should be better informed about the rest of the world. But American politics has become so zero-sum that being totally checked out is preferable to being half informed.
Jesse Arm@Jesse_Leg

Counterpoint: These kids are more or less fine. They’re drunkenly enjoying their spring break. Better to be socializing and partying with friends in real life than doomscrolling on X in isolation and hyperventilating about how awful America is.

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Cole Maritz
Cole Maritz@ColeMaritz·
7/7 Visuals from bilgola.co. Data from BLS, Nielsen, Edison Research, Pew, and Deloitte.
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Cole Maritz
Cole Maritz@ColeMaritz·
6/7 The Silent Generation spends 4.8 hours consuming content per day. Television accounts for 58% of it (2.8h). Physical media is second at 21% (1h). Unlike Boomers, social media barely registers. They never transitioned to the digital world.
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Cole Maritz
Cole Maritz@ColeMaritz·
Where does America's attention go? I knew the numbers would be large, but I underestimated just how much time Americans spend consuming content. For many generations, it’s a majority of their waking hours. And these numbers, especially for younger generations, are likely a material undercount, because most of the surveys I could find rely on self reported data. And even where surveys measure device level data, dual-screening is almost certainly undercounted. Thread 🧵
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Cole Maritz
Cole Maritz@ColeMaritz·
I’m always learning new things on Wikipedia.
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Cole Maritz
Cole Maritz@ColeMaritz·
I overheard someone say ‘gaslighting’ tonight for the first time in a while, and was briefly transported back to 2022.
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Cole Maritz
Cole Maritz@ColeMaritz·
Podcasters are struggling to transition to YouTube, and increasingly competing with celebrities who have entered the category.
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Cole Maritz
Cole Maritz@ColeMaritz·
The ten most popular podcasts account for 40% of weekly viewership.
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