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BATMAN ⚡
23.5K posts
BATMAN ⚡
@CryptosBatman
Big fan and investor of crypto and blockchain. My tweets are my personal opinions and not financial advice.
Gotham เข้าร่วม Ekim 2017
2.1K กำลังติดตาม89.7K ผู้ติดตาม
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Everyone's fighting about where Bitcoin's major bottom will be, while forgetting that this asset is as cheap as it was two years ago.
At this level, it's a no-brainer to DCA every so often.
Personally, I wouldn't want to miss a 1000% return just to be right about buying the exact bottom, especially when the difference might only be 10-15% from the recent low.
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Altcoins offer high potential returns, but they also carry major risk.
Most who got burned were those holding altcoins as their main position.
The correct approach is to keep Bitcoin as your dominant holding, then allocate just a small portion to high-risk, high-return altcoins.
Right now, through the altcoin market cap, $OTHERS, we can see that small projects are at an interesting level for accumulation again.
Personally, I think it wouldn't hurt to allocate a small portion at this level.
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The US-Iran conflict is escalating, with more energy facilities being targeted and oil prices continuing to rise.
This affects more than just Bitcoin and the S&P 500. The hardest hit will likely be emerging market equities.
Most EM countries are net oil importers, meaning higher oil prices directly impact government spending and fiscal budgets.
Through the MSCI Emerging Markets ETF, we can see how EM equities tend to top out not long after oil prices rise.
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RWA is no longer just a narrative. It's becoming core financial infrastructure.
The winners won't be the loudest protocols, but the ones solving regulatory + settlement rails at scale.
This is where the real value accrues. $IXS is doing it the right way.
IXS@IxsFinance
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Investing is never easy.
Markets aren't always trending, sometimes they just go nowhere. The S&P 500 is a good example of this.
Most people haven't noticed, but it's been grinding within a 7% range for over six months, making no real progress.
You're not losing money, but that kind of chop will test your patience.
The reality is you can't always time the market. What you can do is stay invested. Time in the market beats timing the market.
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Since the last altcoin setup I shared played out well, here's another one I noticed.
$QNT is up 6% despite the whole market bleeding.
Bearish trendline broken, now we just wait for the retest. Let's see how this one plays out.
BATMAN ⚡@CryptosBatman
And just like that $TAO is up +16%. There you go. This is exactly how you find anomaly coins, screen them one by one with proper technicals. Planned properly, executed cleanly.
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Bearish FOMC seasonality is playing out again.
$BTC got rejected from resistance right after yesterday's meeting, and what makes it more concerning is the structure forming on the chart, a rising wedge, which is a bearish continuation pattern.
Watch out.
BATMAN ⚡@CryptosBatman
Another heads up. Not only has FOMC a high probability of turning out bad for Bitcoin, but $BTC itself is also facing a major resistance level as well. Not spreading fear, but probability and technical analysis is lining up.
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For the past 5 months straight, Bitcoin has been underperforming against gold, posting negative relative performance each month while geopolitical tensions continued pushing gold higher.
However, this month marks the first reversal of that trend, BTC is up +10% while gold is down -4%, a notable shift in relative performance.
Could this be an early sign that flows are rotating back into risk assets?
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The FOMC decision is less than 7 hours away.
With rising oil prices pushing inflation expectations higher, a rate cut is off the table for this meeting, the market is pricing a 98.9% probability of rates being held.
But the decision itself is secondary. What matters more is the tone of the statement and commentary that follows.
BATMAN ⚡@CryptosBatman
With FOMC two days out, this is worth paying attention to. Over the last 6 FOMC meetings, 5 resulted in a local top and 1 resulted in a pump, that's an 83% hit rate on the downside. Following the probabilities, there's a good chance this one plays out the same way.
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Another heads up.
Not only has FOMC a high probability of turning out bad for Bitcoin, but $BTC itself is also facing a major resistance level as well.
Not spreading fear, but probability and technical analysis is lining up.
BATMAN ⚡@CryptosBatman
With FOMC two days out, this is worth paying attention to. Over the last 6 FOMC meetings, 5 resulted in a local top and 1 resulted in a pump, that's an 83% hit rate on the downside. Following the probabilities, there's a good chance this one plays out the same way.
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The dollar is breaking out, exactly as I outlined. But, I don't think it's stopping here.
Although yes, the US dollar and the oil tends to move inversely to one another, the case is different when oil prices are rising due to geopolitical shocks.
Take a look at 2022's dollar rally along with brent crude oil.
What happened then? Russia and Ukraine going at it. Now? US and Iran.
Looks like the dollar is maintaining its dominance.
BATMAN ⚡@CryptosBatman
Technically, the dollar is looking bullish. It might seem counter-intuitive as the dollar and oil typically move inversely, but the driver here is geopolitics, not a demand or supply imbalance. That changes the dynamic. Investors are treating the dollar as a safe haven regardless, even with the US involved in the conflict. On top of that, a potential Hormuz closure hits Asian countries the hardest. Russia and the US are far less exposed, which adds another layer to why capital is flowing into the dollar here.
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Name me one project that has the amount of partnerships and adoption Chainlink has?
You can’t
Chainlink@chainlink
🇦🇺 ANZ 🇨🇴 Bancolombia 🇧🇲 Bermuda Monetary Authority 🇫🇷 BNP Paribas 🇧🇷 Central Bank of Brazil 🇩🇪 Deutsche Börse 🇦🇪 Emirates NBD 🇬🇧 FTSE Russell 🇭🇰 Hong Kong Monetary Authority 🇸🇬 Monetary Authority of Singapore 🇯🇵 SBI 🇧🇪 Swift 🇨🇭 UBS 🇺🇸 U.S. Department of Commerce + many more. LINK the world 🌐
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Update on $NEAR
The cup and handle pattern is playing out as I expected. Now we're waiting for an entry at the retest.
Everything is looking good, textbook setup.
BATMAN ⚡@CryptosBatman
A lot of altcoins appear to be following $HYPE's lead as it continues to rally. Here's a random setup I found on $NEAR, a cup and handle reversal pattern forming on the chart. That said, the best approach is to wait for a clear breakout, a retest of the level, and only then consider an entry.
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