Fred Loifa

Dec 26 ICE D4 RINs officially crossed $2

Who knew that holding mail, ethanol, and video game companies could lead to such sound sleep?

Some thoughts this morning: Have these small cap volatility rotations been going on since before 2021? Is it a new phenomenon since $GME? Observations: 1) a bunch of small cap stocks get extremely volatile around the same time 2) the volatility events seem to happen periodically 3) the basket of stocks which gets volatile changes each time. Some of the sam stocks remain, but many change out and we don’t know which ones will get volatile. 4) most/all of these stocks drop down much lower than before the pump very rapidly and many go bankrupt/delist quickly. 5) people just calls it “alt season” 6) the stocks that pump do so independently l, meaning their 1-minute charts looks independent from each other, but their daily charts look very similar, but maybe shifted by a day or 2 either way. Is it meant to be a volatility swap play? Is it meant to be a pump and dump play? Is it actually just “alt season”? Is it legacy swaps getting reset or rebalanced? Most of these stocks pump at the same time and most have very little coverage, leading me to think it is NOT a pump and dump. If Wall Street wanted to make the most money from retail fomo, it wouldn’t happen. Is it “alt season” then? If yes, what causes alt season? Retail doesn’t randomly get bullish altogether and start pumping unknown stocks in unison. Why would Wall Street if the stock are going to crash down within days or up to 2 weeks? Is it legacy swaps getting reset? Why is the basket composition different each time then? Volatility swaps are the only thing that makes sense to me right now, but why does it need to keep happening on a schedule? Why do all the stocks need to get bankrupted/delisted/sustain decline afterwards? Do these plays require the stocks to delist and go to 0 because of how the volatility swap works? If they are small caps or illiquid, I’m assuming that the amount of shares sold short at the top of the volatile ‘needle top’ is too large in number to close out so delisting is the only lucrative option.

Needle top confirmed?

TRUMP: ANNOUNCING HISTORIC REFORMS TO ACCELERATE ACCESS TO MEDICAL RESEARCH AND TREATMENT BASED ON PSYCHEDELIC DRUGS