JB 🧃

Everyone trying to compete with Kalshi or Polymarket is in rabbit race to 0 Bootstrapped prediction markets with no differentiators are going to fizzle out as fast as they pop up If you’re passionate about building in the prediction space, build something that’s complimentary to existing products, or build something completely new Going head to head with massively funded companies that have a larger yearly marketing budget than most companies raise in a lifetime is setting yourself up for failure Interesting ways builders can position themselves in the prediction space: > Trading bots and tools > Specialized products and services > Whitelabel and custom solutions > API development and integration > Net new markets > Anything enhancing the user experience > Signals and automated research > Global differentiated markets > Yield earnings opportunities > Gamified experiences

Everyone trying to compete with Kalshi or Polymarket is in rabbit race to 0 Bootstrapped prediction markets with no differentiators are going to fizzle out as fast as they pop up If you’re passionate about building in the prediction space, build something that’s complimentary to existing products, or build something completely new Going head to head with massively funded companies that have a larger yearly marketing budget than most companies raise in a lifetime is setting yourself up for failure Interesting ways builders can position themselves in the prediction space: > Trading bots and tools > Specialized products and services > Whitelabel and custom solutions > API development and integration > Net new markets > Anything enhancing the user experience > Signals and automated research > Global differentiated markets > Yield earnings opportunities > Gamified experiences