Jay

7 posts

Jay

Jay

@Jbowvt

เข้าร่วม Mart 2024
16 กำลังติดตาม5 ผู้ติดตาม
Jay
Jay@Jbowvt·
@RaoulGMI Love that thx for sharing
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Raoul Pal
Raoul Pal@RaoulGMI·
I think it needs explaining that although I see an elongated cycle it doesn't mean my analysis is right. The breadth and depth of macro/crypto analytics framework I've added since 2021 is massive and I'm happy with the probabilities currently but things can change... At GMI we have done tremendous amounts of work on this all at the nexus of crypto and macro in The Everything Code. It comprised of over 4,000 charts (serious). However, I am not a guru. We all need to take lifestyle chips off the table to secure our own future.. I can't dictate that. In RV too we will do our best to help as many people as possible, But we are not, and will not be, perfect. This is your choice alone. Not mine. Only you can actually protect your own future and thus limit regret if the market reverses or even it explodes higher. I'm guessing I'll take 25% to 30% off into year end but I don't know yet. It's based on my own circumstances, not yours and its based on my p&l and not yours. Also don't forget that your risk profile is different to mine... I can afford to take outrageously concentrated risks like having 80%+ of my liquid stack in Sui. But based on my work I think Sui it outperforms most others majors. I am not a maximalist and my portfolio can and will change but I will let you know if my analysis changes. My job for myself is to maximise profits with best risk adjust returns. For most, just buy BTC, ETH and SOL My job for myself is to max profits with best risk adjust returns I think are available. The Banana Zone won't fix your shitty asset allocation. If you have had a decent portfolio you will already be up 5x to 10x from the low. If you are newer, don't chase gains, time in the market is vital, you should make money this cycle but here is more to play for over time, You have 5 years or so to Unfuck your Future. Please don't fuck it up. This will be my pinned tweet so you can refer to it. Just let it all play out and take profits on the way. Good luck. My work suggests the next 6 to 9 months can change all our lives but don't bet on it exclusively. If you want to reduce risk and also play for higher prices consider selling some and buying longer dated calls in due course, where you can only lose your premium (as I did in 2021 with ETH and only risked 5% for a potential leg higher which failed). I appreciate your attention in this matter.
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Right Pulse News
Right Pulse News@RightPulseNewss·
🚨BREAKING: Stephen Miller, a senior Trump Advisor, is trying to exclude illegal aliens from the U.S. census, which removes House seats from Blue states like California, New York etc. Do you support excluding illegals from the U.S. census? 1. Hell Yes 2. No
Right Pulse News tweet mediaRight Pulse News tweet media
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Jay
Jay@Jbowvt·
@RaoulGMI I respect Raoul thx for sending
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Raoul Pal
Raoul Pal@RaoulGMI·
People are yet to understand that we have a macro hedge fund manager running the Treasury, not an ex-Central Banker. He deeply understands liquidity impacts and how to drive financial conditions to drive liquidity and how that in turn drives the economy and markets. His entire strategy is to lower the three legs of Financial Conditions - dollar, rates and oil to goose the business cycle (ISM) Our GMI Financial Conditions Index is screaming higher (conditions loosening) as is Global M2 and even more importantly GMI Global Total Liquidity. The effects should kick-in in the next week or two and the recovery in asset prices and economic data should be sharp in the coming weeks and should be persistent. I'll do a full video on this for all on Monday. Can't stress how important this all is vs Tarrifs! "narratives"
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Jay รีทวีตแล้ว
System Update
System Update@systemupdate_·
“It’s such a crude strategy that it’s hard to even call it a psyop because it’s just so easy to debunk.” @lwoodhouse says Washington Post reporters were extremely eager to do the government’s bidding – even when that meant helping Dr. Fauci and his team cover up the truth about cruel experiments on beagles:
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