Leif | Investing

Tracking the trends shaping the future of markets. Here I share: • Power demand from AI & data centers • Stocks I’m researching • Market reactions and analysis • A long-term investing mindset Follow for daily market insights.

@unusual_whales @grok what are the major windmill companies that are listed on the stock exchange?

Trump: I'm proudly telling you that we're going to try and have no windmills built in the United States. They're very bad environmentally. They killed the birds. They're unsightly. They make a lot of noise.

If you had to hold JUST ONE energy stock for the entire AI energy boom, which would you pick? 1️⃣ $VST – Vistra is a major power producer with a mix of nuclear, natural gas, and battery storage 2️⃣ $CEG – Constellation Energy operates the largest nuclear fleet in the United States 3️⃣ $CVX – Chevron is a large integrated oil and gas company 4️⃣ $XOM – ExxonMobil is one of the biggest oil majors with a strong balance sheet 5️⃣ $NEE – NextEra Energy is the world’s largest renewable energy company and a major utility 6️⃣ $BE – Bloom Energy makes fuel cells for on-site power generation

Welcome @LeifInvests to the show!! Come find out where YOU rank in the world as a stock picker. 6 more and this draft starts! Queue up your stocks today! Here is some needs to knows.

@fantstockleague Come join the @fantstockleague!

Are you guys bored the market is closed? ONLY 7 more spots and the next draft starts. Are you scared to see where you rank in the world as a stock picker?

@KobeissiLetter They will have to open eventually. I mean, energy practically is the Middle East's economy.

We are now facing the biggest global energy crisis in history: Total oil product exports from the Middle East plunged -63% in March, or -4.8 million barrels per day, to ~2.8 million barrels per day. Of the remaining ~2.8 million barrels per day still being exported, ~1.1 million barrels per day, or 39%, is flowing through Saudi Arabia's Red Sea ports, bypassing the shut Strait of Hormuz. Jet fuel was hit the hardest, with exports plunging -85%, triggering flight cancellations and fuel shortages across Asia-Pacific. At the same time, LPG and naphtha exports dropped by -1.0 million barrels per day. Diesel, gasoline, and fuel oil exports also fell sharply, with declines ranging from -60% to -70%. The Strait of Hormuz crisis is in full-swing.

@fantstockleague I joined the draft!

@LeifInvests I’m bias, super fun game!

Just hit 300 followers 🥳 Appreciate all the support FinX is a strong community‼️ Let’s keep building together 📈🫡

@fantstockleague I’ll have to look into that

@LeifInvests Love it man! Peep FSL and if you have any questions let us know. All are welcome!

Here is a list of the highest remaining performance obligations for major public companies: 👇 $MSFT ~ $625 billion $ORCL ~ $553 billion $AMZN ~ $200-244 billion $GOOG ~ $157-242 billion $CRM ~ $72.4 billion The RPO has surged due to AI infrastructure.

🇺🇸 US military incidents today: • F-15 fighter jet shot down. One crew member rescued, one still missing. • 2x HH-60W Jolly Green II rescue helicopters shot at by Iran, some wounded. • F-16 declared emergency over Iraq. • KC-135 Stratotanker declared emergency over Israel. • A-10 Warthog attack aircraft crashes into the Persian Gulf following strike, pilot rescued.

@TheRonnieVShow Price. $SOFI $HOOD to the moon!

Who’s lying? Price or Analysts… $HOOD

@FrancescoBuilds Interesting, cool perspective. I'll have to look into them more.

@LeifInvests I’m a big big fan of cloudflare as a user especially coming from aws… and they keep expending their offer. But I don’t know well the others

🚀 If you could only hold ONE cybersecurity stock for the next 20 years, which one would you pick? 1️⃣ $PANW 2️⃣ $RBRK 3️⃣ $CRWD 4️⃣ $ZS 5️⃣ $NET

@Polymarket Not good

JUST IN: U.S. intelligence reports that Iran is unlikely to open the Strait of Hormuz “any time soon”

@unusual_whales @grok is this true?

Trump on pulling out of NATO: "I don't need Congress for that decision"

@antibearthesis That is true

@LeifInvests Which is the best decision ngl

POV: The stock you recommended your family went up 50% So now they think you’re a stock market genious and come to you for financial advice

@Polymarket @grok what does the country Lebanon have to deal with this?

BREAKING: U.S. urges citizens to depart Lebanon immediately.

@antibearthesis Most of them are just long-term index holders, so they don’t really care 😂

@antibearthesis Haha that’s the dream 😂

@StockWorthyApp Nice, I agree 👍

@LeifInvests I’ve looked into $PANW the most but $CRWD seems to have the hot hand in terms of valuation now

@alifarhat79 Moment of silence for those who have not found this account yet…

JD Vance on his way to open the Strait of Hormuz

@mattpurdy89 Good to know, it was with mine too. I'm a fan of the business and catalysts for the company, but it has macro headwinds and a rough valuation ready to compress.

@LeifInvests $SHOP, according to our modelling, is overvalued.

🚨 $SHOP — Massive opportunity or already priced in? (Full breakdown 👇) What they do: Shopify is an e-commerce platform that provides merchants with tools to build, run, and scale their online businesses. Setup: Growth: ~30% Profit Margin: 48.1% Key driver: GMV expansion + platform innovation (AI + merchant tools) Valuation: FWD P/E: 64.65 (below prior highs) FWD P/S: 10.52 (also below peak multiples) Reasonable? I think Shopify still deserves a premium multiple given its market leadership, wide moat, and ability to sustain high growth while scaling profitability. The question is whether that growth is already fully reflected in the current price. Price Target (1Y): (personal model) Bear: $71.58 (-39.5%) 🔴 Base: $94.08 (-20.4%) 🔴 Bull: $129.43 (+9.5%) 🟢 What this tells me: 📉 The stock is still priced at a premium, and a lot of optimism around growth and AI may already be reflected. At the same time, the downside scenario shows meaningful risk if multiples compress. Technicals (short term): Trend: sideways Support: $110 Resistance: $140 Momentum: weak (macro headwinds + sentiment rotation) Bull case: 📈 • Strong, durable revenue + GMV growth at scale • AI agent-driven commerce (ChatGPT-style shopping) accelerates conversion + adoption • Continued platform expansion increases merchant dependency Bear case: 📉 • Growth expectations already largely priced in • Multiple compression risk from rates, macro uncertainty, and sentiment shifts • Slower-than-expected consumer demand could pressure GMV growth Take: 🔥 As a shareholder, I’m bullish on the long-term model and execution. However, near-term risk/reward looks more balanced. The market may already be pricing in a lot of future growth, and macro conditions (rates, consumer strength, AI disruption dynamics) could introduce volatility. Rating: Neutral ⚠️