Mike Smithson

Donald Trump and I were born within 36 days of each other in 1946. My aim is to outlive him

Beware the Bookie rules before betting on a GE2024 overall majority – politicalbetting.com www1.politicalbetting.com/index.php/arch…

The SNP’s lead in Scotland down to just 7% – politicalbetting.com #vanilla-comments" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">www1.politicalbetting.com/index.php/arch…

Will GE2024 produce a majority seats winner without a majority of votes? – politicalbetting.com www1.politicalbetting.com/index.php/arch…

On health grounds alone betting that at least one of them won't be there looks like a value Smarkets bet

Latest WH2024 polling has Biden ahead of Trump but losing to Haley – politicalbetting.com www1.politicalbetting.com/index.php/arch…

Peter Mandelson could well be right – LAB’s poll lead is artificial – politicalbetting.com www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/arch…

Ken Clarke is dead right on the Rwanda bill – politicalbetting.com www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/arch…

Regarding perceived economic competence, the gap between @UKLabour and @Conservatives narrows to twelve percentage points. Come back next week for updates on all of our weekly trackers.

In election year watch Opinium. It has the methodology most favourable to the Tories. Their new poll has a 15% Labour lead ( +2% ). theguardian.com/politics/2024/…

Hobson’s Choice? The Subpostmaster issue – politicalbetting.com www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/arch…

Nikki Haley moves up 12% in new WH2024 poll – politicalbetting.com www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/arch…

How many CON Mps will join these 52 before the election? – politicalbetting.com Institute of Government www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/arch…

When can we expect the Home Secretary's resignation? I thought that he would have gone by now

Nikki Haley see huge jump in latest YouGov New Hampshire poll and now just 15% behind Trump. She is my longshot bet for the nomination

Is a negative campaign against Starmer really going to work? – politicalbetting.com www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/arch…

Just 38% of GE2019 CON voters are certain to do the same next time – politicalbetting.com www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/arch…

How to increase taxes while saying you are cutting them . Call it a "contribution" as in NIC Are We All Trussites Now? – politicalbetting.com www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/arch…

MOTD running order

Nikki Haley moves to a 5.8% net favourability lead over both Trump and Biden. She's the only one surely who can beat Trump for the GOP nomination realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/n…