.@GregTSargent
Mea culpa: I was way too complacent about Trump's political strength/durability. I really believed his appeal would largely be limited to MAGA, particularly after 1/6, his numerous serious crimes, a year of campaigning on overt authoritarian threats, and (especially) the Biden pro-labor/industrial policy agenda. Whether it's the trauma of covid and its aftermath, or something systemic about Dems on economy/immigration/cultural issues, or the info environment's inability to handle the Trump/MAGA disinfo challenge, or some combination of all those things, whatever happens in this election, it's pretty clear that this confidence was badly misplaced. If he wins, as now looks likely, it's gonna get ugly, I fear.