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New Low Observer
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New Low Observer
@NewLowObserver
Dow Theory, Price, & Research Specialists. We're touching the financial & economic third rail, so you don't have to. 皆さんがそうしなくてもいいように、私たちは金融と経済の第三レールに触れています。
เข้าร่วม Ocak 2010
1.1K กำลังติดตาม14.4K ผู้ติดตาม
@positive_gains @Solomon_Slate "I love thinking how all of this translates."
Agreed.
We don't know about the 1907 connection but we'll starting thinking about it in that context.
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@NewLowObserver @Solomon_Slate I love thinking how all of this translates. However, 2007/8 acted more like 1907. I’m not sure of the analogy of 30 through 32. Thoughts?
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1920: "The crisis of 1920, like every other crisis, caught the great majority of business men unprepared."
2023: "It is 2023 and banks still unprepared for bank runs..."
The passage of time does not change human behavior, apparently.
twitter.com/scottmelker/st…
New Low Observer@NewLowObserver
The Crisis of 1920 "The change in rates was significant not in itself but because it indicated a change in federal reserve policy." "The cataclysm came - and with it the adjustment of costs to selling prices instead of selling prices to costs." Pandemics are consistent.
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@positive_gains @Solomon_Slate 1926 is considered the peak.
Similar to 2007/2008 although 2005 was the peak, in our view. Lehman, AIG, Bear Stearns...all peaked in 2005.
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New Low Observer@NewLowObserver
June 1930: The Florida Bank Failures "Following the collapse of the boom when Miami was overcrowded with a population which had been living off the real estate business, there were many who continued to live there on borrowed money and on credit whose income had stopped..."
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@NewLowObserver @Solomon_Slate I guess I was not talking about real economy. I thought peak was 26. Would have to look.
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@positive_gains @Solomon_Slate Even with the peak in 1925, folks in 1926 were still unprepared as represented by the losses in 1927.
x.com/NewLowObserver…
New Low Observer@NewLowObserver
1922-1927: Florida Total New Construction The Florida Land Bubble really peaked in 1925. It was the "small cap" regions that finally peaked in 1926. From 1925 peak: Miami: -87% Tampa: -79% St. Petersburg: -90%
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1926-1938: Gold & Commodity Prices
Government likes to use gold to experiment with prices and pass on the cost of failure to taxpayers. Gold standard advocates and gold dealers are okay with this.
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New Low Observer รีทวีตแล้ว
Ever notice that if Central Banks buy Bonds, Equities or ETFs…it’s market manipulation…but if they buy Gold…it isn’t ?
GIF
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New Low Observer รีทวีตแล้ว
1850-2040: U.S. Energy Sources
Translation: "We don't want to become the wood or coal of energy supplies, too much supply, very little demand."
Javier Blas@JavierBlas
Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser: “We should abandon the fantasy of phasing out oil and gas” #CERAWeek #OOTT
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1965-1972: Government Benefits as a Percentage of Total Personal Income
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New Low Observer รีทวีตแล้ว
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New Low Observer รีทวีตแล้ว
1919-1939: Canada, Percentage of Economic Series Expanding
"...historical diffusion index presenting the percentage of all available series undergoing specific cycle expansion in each relevant month."
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January 1948: $100 Billion
"Thus about $100,000,000,000 may be the cost in the next five years of preparing to fight Russia or scaring Russia so that she will not risk a war with the United States."
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176 A.D. - 180 A.D.: Ulpian & Customary Life Table
Median life expectancy.
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On this day in 1893 the Great Panic of 1893 started with the collapse of the Philadelphia and Reading Railroad and the National Cordage Company
The 4 year economic turmoil caused 14,000 businesses to close, +20% unemployement and would be labeled the worst depression until 1929
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New Low Observer รีทวีตแล้ว
November 11, 1974: "What A Depression Is Really Like"
Bottom.
The market never looked back.
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July 1932:
"This is being met in the revised bill by provision for direct loans by the Federal Reserve Banks to private enterprises, on good security and with approval of the Reserve Board. Senator Glass, of all people, suggested this unorthodox use of the Reserve System."
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