Περσιξυς
9.9K posts

Περσιξυς
@Persiicus
Liberal. Empiricist. Evolutionist. Blocked by Nassim Taleb and Sir Hermes. Think politically, See historically





نشست وین پس از عدم لغو تحریمها توسط امریکا به بنبست رسید

Fact : Afghanistan is the only nation in the world that has fought three nuclear powers and never lost.

یک ایده این هست که ترامپ مرد معامله و حساب کتاب معمول هست. ج ا دقیقا برعکس، اهل ایدیولوژی و فدا کردن همه چیز هست. ترامپ واقعا توانایی فهم ج ا را به خاطر سالها طرز فکر معامله گرانه و محاسبه گرانه، ندارد. یه نوعی باورش نمیشود چنین چیزی اساسا ممکن است. برعکس، روبیو به خاطر آشنایی خانوادگی با یک حکومت ایدیولوژیک دیگر که همه چیز را فدا کرد، میفهمد چنین چیزی ممکن است و آن را باور میکند. حکومت کوبا.


So here's the problem... The U.S. cannot conduct the initial stealth strikes on Iran during a full moon. This weekend the moon is a sliver just like June 22, 2025. Trump initiated the 1st strike four days after the 2nd carrier arrived. The USS Ford doesn't arrive until Feb 28, which is a full moon. He either strikes this weekend with 1 carrier + the fighters on shore, or he waits until Mar 18 with 2 carriers and no moon. If they're going to conduct ground operations after 2 weeks of heavy bombing they can't do that without the 2nd carrier and they won't do that during a full moon. Do they go now with no ground invasion, or do they wait until March 18?




