Andrew Pace

Transforming bettors with one lesson each day (Mon-Fri). Long term thinking >

@robpizzola @CirclesOffHQ Rob I went 0-7 last night for -$15K. Sign me up.

The guest requests I get for @CirclesOffHQ have become an epidemic and some of the most annoying pieces of outreach I've ever had to deal with. Every single day I get a handful of pitches from people who want to come on the show. They almost all look exactly the same. Attorney turned sports bettor. Software engineer turned sports bettor. Finance guy turned sports bettor (this was @Flupnolide's pitch to me, actually). They've been at it for two weeks, maybe a month, and they've already built a "professional grade AI platform" with "documented, transparent results." The results are always some sort of short time frame. Always. $6,800 in profits over two weeks and somehow that qualifies them for a platform. You know what a 14 day sample tells you in sports betting? Pretty much nothing. I've had 14 day stretches where I looked like a genius and 14 day stretches where I looked like I'd never placed a bet in my life. That's how variance works. And every single one of these pitches is written by AI. You can spot it immediately. The same structure and the same buzzwords in all of these emails. Everyone would "love to provide value to your audience". The worst part is that I do believe some of these people genuinely believe they've figured something out. Two weeks of results and an AI built model and they think they're the next Billy Walters. Meanwhile the people who actually have an edge in this space would rarely ever pitch themselves for a show because they have zero incentive to share the secrets of what they're doing to a broader audience. This is the state of selling products in the sports betting space right now. The barrier to entry is nonexistent. Anyone with ChatGPT and two weeks of data thinks they deserve a platform. And the audience suffers because they can't tell the difference between someone who's been doing this for 15 years and someone who started last Tuesday.

Sometimes you make good bets and lose. Sometimes you make bad bets and win. Sometimes you can’t land a rock in the ocean from a cruise ship… @_inplayLIVE

Off and running in May thanks to the Vegas Golden Knights @_inplayLIVE

McNetter is an all time generational super star. I’ve never seen someone handle a puck and skate like him. Ever. I noticed a real change in his play this season - greatness, yes, but he forces himself into superman situations. When he coughed the puck up trying to beat a 1 on 3 he wouldn’t back check. It cost Canada the gold (he forced himself into a 1 on 2 in 3v3) and I think the defensive and goaltending issues of the oilers are in part due to this approach (as a team).

People will log on to this app this morning blaming Connor McDavid for another playoff exit when they have had goaltending that gets worse every single postseason and a defense that treats their own zone like it's optional. An all-time great rotting away.

@switchheadkick @_inplayLIVE Educational betting content is boring I think compared to the max whale play ultra lock rental Lamborghini approach that you see in this industry. I personally just focus on making the best decisions I can for myself and our community.

@PocketPacer @_inplayLIVE Question, why does your Twitter posts and inplay videos have such low engagement numbers? Like, shockingly low for a sports betting tout site vs competitors.

Closed out April with a losing night @_inplayLIVE . Got a chunk back with the Ducks taking down the Oilers. It’s rare to have a month quite this strong, but my April results surpassed $100K in profits. Lower volume doesn’t necessarily mean smaller profits 🌙

Banger in a few mins of work tonight @_inplayLIVE playoff action

Monday night playoff action. Down night on my calls to @_inplayLIVE but managed to turn a small profit personal w the woofs. Onto tomorrow.

Oilers fans going to say they got robbed - but that crossed the line #ducks #oilers

Closing out the week @_inplayLIVE with another losing night. Big swing on Tampa (the wrong way), but an absolutely nuclear week of live betting with the crew!!!

That layup by McDaniels was a massive swing for me. Still down on the day. @_inplayLIVE

As sports bettors, there’s good nights, bad nights, and the rare nights when you hit bets that should never win (like the lakers -3.5). An absolutely nuclear night @_inplayLIVE Important to remember the improbable wins when the bad beats inevitably come.

Anyone else get smoked by the senseless end of game foul by Dillon Brooks?

Lakers save the day @_inplayLIVE

Off and running with a big @NHLFlyers win, massive @ATLHawks comeback and a brick fest in the nuggets fourth Q. @_inplayLIVE

Losing day today, but week was still profitable… @_inplayLIVE

Yesterdays personal results from @_inplayLIVE Took a bit of a beating when the penguins scored late against the flyers.

@alexmtlmortgage Not when you make money from betting I guess 😆

@PocketPacer I thought it was free speech here

I lost my X account (likely due to posting gambling related content), and after 3 appeals (first 2 denied - 3rd I provided links to media articles I’ve been in), I’m back.

@robpizzola Where’s the Vig Rob? 😆

I've been asked enough times that I'll share my NHL Playoff fair series prices. Full transparency these may not be good enough to beat market at this time, but I have been using them to actively add to positions today. PIT -117 / PHI +117 BUF -209 / BOS +209 CAR -126 / OTT +126 TB -264 / MTL +264 MIN -117 / DAL +117 VGK -151 / UTA +151 COL -457 / LAK +457 EDM -233 / ANA +233