Doug Stokes

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Doug Stokes

Doug Stokes

@ProfessorStokes

Vice President & Professor in International Relations at Modul University. Vienna. Media/Analysis: https://t.co/moCf8jiyLS

My Website ➡️ เข้าร่วม Ekim 2009
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Doug Stokes
Doug Stokes@ProfessorStokes·
New journal article out today. Why can't Britain secure its own critical mineral supply chains, despite having the resources in the ground? Britain has lithium in Cornwall. But our planning system means it won't be in production until 2030. The delay isn't technical. It's institutional. I introduce the concept of "Sovereign Lethargy"—when a state is legally free to act but, in practice, paralysed by its own domestic veto players. Post-Brexit Britain is the archetypal case. In an age of great power conflict, we need to cut the knots! Follow the link for the full article.
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Doug Stokes
Doug Stokes@ProfessorStokes·
The 4th edition of my co-edited US Foreign Policy with @OxUniPress is out in March 2026. Available from all good bookshops. Now the world's leading textbook on American Foreign Policy. global.oup.com/ukhe/product/u…
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Doug Stokes
Doug Stokes@ProfessorStokes·
The UK has a chronic balance-of-payments deficit. It is leaking wealth on fuel imports at a pace of nearly 2pc of GDP a year, even in good times. The sane economic choice is to exploit everything we can from our one outstanding energy resource: the North Sea. telegraph.co.uk/business/2026/…
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Doug Stokes
Doug Stokes@ProfessorStokes·
Jet and bunker (ship) fuel prices have risen massively, but are unmoored from oil spot prices. Is the market too optimistic and in denial about physical economy and price/inflation pressures coming down the line? Interesting times... iata.org/en/publication…
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Doug Stokes
Doug Stokes@ProfessorStokes·
Vienna today.
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Doug Stokes
Doug Stokes@ProfessorStokes·
New journal article out today. Why can't Britain secure its own critical mineral supply chains, despite having the resources in the ground? Britain has lithium in Cornwall. But our planning system means it won't be in production until 2030. The delay isn't technical. It's institutional. I introduce the concept of "Sovereign Lethargy"—when a state is legally free to act but, in practice, paralysed by its own domestic veto players. Post-Brexit Britain is the archetypal case. In an age of great power conflict, we need to cut the knots! Follow the link for the full article.
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The Spectator
The Spectator@spectator·
The question of whether America is fighting Israel’s war is perhaps the least interesting one. Strip away the noise, and a more consequential picture emerges. The United States has used overwhelming force to dismantle what had quietly become the most significant Chinese forward position outside East Asia. Over the past half-decade, Tehran transformed itself from a regional irritant into a structural component of Chinese strategic architecture. Roughly 90 per cent of Iran’s crude exports flowed to Chinese refineries operating beyond the reach of American sanctions enforcement. ✍️ Doug Stokes Article | spectator.com/article/why-th…
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Doug Stokes
Doug Stokes@ProfessorStokes·
Those who see in this moment the spectre of a third world war are both right and wrong. Can Washington convert military disruption into a durable political settlement? spectator.com/article/why-th… Latest piece.
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Doug Stokes
Doug Stokes@ProfessorStokes·
The post-war settlement suppressed European rivalry. The conditions that sustained it are passing. A piece on what comes next, and why Central and Eastern Europe holds the answers Western strategists are still missing.
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Doug Stokes
Doug Stokes@ProfessorStokes·
Latest piece in Austria's leading newspaper, @DiePressecom on the emerging multipolar order, structural shifts in President Trump's grand strategy and the implications for European geopolitics. Making Europe Great Again? diepresse.com/20574209/trump…
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Doug Stokes
Doug Stokes@ProfessorStokes·
David was a kind and gentle man with a sharp wit. He very graciously nominated my book for the Times Literary Supplement award in 2023. Condolences to his family and a great loss for the nation. May his memory be a blessing.
History Reclaimed@History_Reclaim

We are sad to announce the sudden death of our friend and colleague David Abulafia, who passed away suddenly on Saturday. It is a great shock to us all. David, Emeritus Professor of Mediterranean History and a longstanding Fellow of Gonville and Caius College, Cambridge, was a distinguished and pioneering historian of the seas and oceans. He was a Fellow of the British Academy and a member of the Academia Europaea. In 2013 he received one of three inaugural British Academy Medals for his work on Mediterranean history, and in 2020 he was awarded the Wolfson History Prize for The Boundless Sea: A Human History of the Oceans. He was made a Commander of the British Empire in 2023 for services to scholarship, and among other awards was a Commendatore dell’Ordine della Stella, awarded by Italy. But to us, he was a staunch friend and ally, a founder member of History Reclaimed (whose name he invented), a fearless champion of intellectual and academic freedom, and a defender of the truth. We shall miss him deeply, and our hearts go out to his family: his wife Anna, also a distinguished historian and colleague, and their daughters Rosa and Bianca. A more detailed obituary of David will follow. History Reclaimed

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History Reclaimed
History Reclaimed@History_Reclaim·
We are sad to announce the sudden death of our friend and colleague David Abulafia, who passed away suddenly on Saturday. It is a great shock to us all. David, Emeritus Professor of Mediterranean History and a longstanding Fellow of Gonville and Caius College, Cambridge, was a distinguished and pioneering historian of the seas and oceans. He was a Fellow of the British Academy and a member of the Academia Europaea. In 2013 he received one of three inaugural British Academy Medals for his work on Mediterranean history, and in 2020 he was awarded the Wolfson History Prize for The Boundless Sea: A Human History of the Oceans. He was made a Commander of the British Empire in 2023 for services to scholarship, and among other awards was a Commendatore dell’Ordine della Stella, awarded by Italy. But to us, he was a staunch friend and ally, a founder member of History Reclaimed (whose name he invented), a fearless champion of intellectual and academic freedom, and a defender of the truth. We shall miss him deeply, and our hearts go out to his family: his wife Anna, also a distinguished historian and colleague, and their daughters Rosa and Bianca. A more detailed obituary of David will follow. History Reclaimed
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Adam Tooze
Adam Tooze@adam_tooze·
So if we agree (maybe?) that literal resource imperialism does not actually work as an explanation for Trump's actions, I gotta say I find these two options interesting. Frm @lionel_trolling & @llchristyll For some more background see the latest Chartbook tinyurl.com/53chp37k
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Doug Stokes
Doug Stokes@ProfessorStokes·
@afneil She is the US's chosen successor. She has to make the right noises to Venezuelan domestic audience but she has been cultivated for some time now. Note Rubio's signalling on this over the weekend.
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Andrew Neil
Andrew Neil@afneil·
Despite all the talk of regime change so far there’s been none in Caracas. Delcy Rodríguez, the former vice president and one of Maduro’s acolytes, is now the acting president. She’s a hard-line socialist well known for her close ties to Cuban intelligence. Her brother remains in charge of the National Assembly. Torturer in chief, Diosdado Cabello, the interior minister, is also still in post. Trump says he/the US will run the country. But so far he has nobody in Venezuela to do that. How that changes — if it does — will be the story going forward. Thank you for your attention to this matter.
Graeme@notthatGraeme

@afneil I understand your dislike of Trump. But, isn't it actually quite sensible for the USA to stand in during a (short) transition period so that there is no military coup or take over my one of Maduro's acolytes.

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Doug Stokes
Doug Stokes@ProfessorStokes·
The capture of Maduro was a preparatory move. The United States has decided that if it must face the dragon in the Pacific, it will not have it breathing down its neck in the Caribbean. spectator.com/article/maduro… Latest piece.
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Doug Stokes
Doug Stokes@ProfessorStokes·
Europe needed to build its own capabilities to strengthen innovation and security, said De Bruycker, adding that legislation such as the EU’s AI Act, which regulates the development of the fast-developing technology, was “blocking” innovation. ft.com/content/854fca…
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@OxUniPress @Horizont @DiePressecom @History_Reclaim @adam_tooze @lionel_trolling @llchristyll @afneil