Chris Topher

Pretty spot on with the continued sideways movement but 2025 was somewhat disappointing for BTC. The main question now is, Is the 4 year cycle dead? I have a lot of thoughts on this below but the two main points I would make are 1) It depends (how you define the 4 year cycle) and 2) Does it really matter? Ultimately I think BTC will continue to average 20%+ gains Yoy and I have no intention to sell any time soon. So if it goes up and then down or down and then up ultimately I believe it will still outperform other assets. Now as far as the 4 year cycle playing out I define it as having a >60% pull back from the cycle high. People say the majority of holders are bearish but my feed is still mostly full of bulls saying the 4 year cycle is dead and we are entering an extended cycle. Now this sounds great and there is evidence to support that. However my problem is most of these accounts weren’t calling for an elongated cycle last year but only after their initial thesis was off. Last year I thought whales would try to front run the bull market. This didn’t play out for a number of reasons partly due to some erratic behavior and potentially fraudulent activity. Regardless BTC IMO continues to be the best hedge against inflation which will continue to run hot. Overall I think theres a fairly good (66%+) chance we get a new ATH this year and that there will also be a 60%+ correction. This correction could come first and then work its way to ATH but still loosely follow a 4 year cycle. No one knows for sure and DCA typically beats out all the analysts. 🤷‍♂️

@wholemars Seems like an easy narrative to just embrace Musk again if the Democrats want to have a legitimate shot at winning.

Maybe stop shitting on the one company in your state making millions of electric vehicles then Climate change is a slogan for your party, but when it comes to actually transitioning to clean energy you fight against it. Make it make sense.

@WhiteHouse Maybe just stop paying Congress for every government shutdown. That would help resolve things a lot quicker instead of seeing which side does a better job at gaslighting. 🤦🏻‍♂️

TSA officers are doing their jobs. Democrats should do theirs.

@BillyM2k Would you rather get effed harder or more often ? 🤷‍♂️

this seems like a stupid idea

@chesscom Making moves in bed right before I sleep has not worked out in my favor.

"just one more game"

@BillyM2k Was it just alcohol and a rotisserie chicken?

i went to costco and only spent $85 and didn’t buy any snacks i deserve a medal probably

@BernieSanders Just tax them dont stop them.

@AndreasSteno There’s a lot of bubbles in Ai. There’s far too many bots or apps out there that will ultimately serve no purpose which have large variations. However the hyperscalers are not part of that bubble and vastly undervalued right now.

Yes, AI is a bubble, we hear that on a loop. Hyperscalers are investing way too much, apparently. Fine. Let’s park that debate for a second. But have you seen this ARR chart from Anthropic, the parent company of the Claude model? What is this thing even doing. It has to be the fastest sprint to 20 billion in annual recurring revenue in history.

@TeslaFrenzy @wholemars

@wholemars @RealCTopher

I was so angry at Tesla for not honoring FSD transfer on my April 2027 Cybertruck delivery that I cancelled my order out of principle, even though it had a $10,000 discounted price. I decided to go to the Mercedes dealership and asked if they could transfer my driver assistance package, luxury package, and performance package from my last Mercedes instead. Still waiting for the answer (everyone at the dealership is laughing at me)

@wholemars Is that new? I thought it said ordered by 3/31…

@RealCTopher No FSD transfers for vehicles delivered after march 31

I imagine a lot of influencers are starting to second guess the “tax free” lifestyle in Dubai right now.

@mikealfred Are you buying condos?

@wholemars I think this is what the average American thinks coding is.

just asked my agents to write me an OS kernel from scratch for shits and gigs

@mikealfred Haters gonna hate and ainters gonna aint.

@WhiteHouse Just so we’re clear youre upset they wont give ai robots guns and not letting you spy on Americans? Thank you for your attention to this matter.

"THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA WILL NEVER ALLOW A RADICAL LEFT, WOKE COMPANY TO DICTATE HOW OUR GREAT MILITARY FIGHTS AND WINS WARS! That decision belongs to YOUR COMMANDER-IN-CHIEF, and the tremendous leaders I appoint to run our Military.  The Leftwing nut jobs at Anthropic have made a DISASTROUS MISTAKE..." - President Donald J. Trump

@wholemars I finally pulled the trigger. Being able to transfer FSD was a major selling point.

@wholemars Its not really fair that they get such an advanced model right off the bat.

Can’t wait to see Europeans shit their pants when they try it

@Nebraskangooner It doesnt take much to get us excited

Still no clue if this #Bitcoin pump is going to sell off or keep going. Pretty insignificant price action overall when you zoom out.