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RubiconDerivatives
566 posts

RubiconDerivatives
@RubiconTrading
SPX options/ NQ futures. Architect of multiple OB indicators marking high probability starting points of institutional order flow
United States เข้าร่วม Nisan 2025
273 กำลังติดตาม193 ผู้ติดตาม

@rohanpaul_ai There is no fucking way you wrote this yourself. Unfollow.
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Google proves the math for cracking Bitcoin's encryption in 9 minutes now exists — the only missing piece is the hardware. 🤯
With precomputation, an attacker could derive a private key from a public key in roughly 9 minutes.
Bitcoin's average block time is 10 minutes.
The core finding is precise and unsettling: Shor's algorithm can now be compiled to solve the 256-bit elliptic curve discrete logarithm problem with roughly 1,200 logical qubits and 90 million Toffoli gates.
Translated to hardware, that means fewer than half a million physical superconducting qubits, nearly a 20-fold reduction over the best prior estimates from Litinski's 2023 work.
It means "on-spend" attacks, where a transaction is intercepted in the mempool and forged before confirmation, become plausible for fast-clock quantum machines.
The paper introduces a critical architectural distinction. Superconducting and photonic platforms, with microsecond-scale error correction cycles, can threaten active transactions. Neutral atom and ion trap systems, two to three orders of magnitude slower, can only threaten static holdings with long-exposed keys.
Approximately 6.9 million BTC sit in addresses with exposed public keys today. Around 1.7 million of those are locked in early P2PK scripts from the Satoshi era, almost certainly with lost private keys, forming a permanent multibillion-dollar quantum target.
Ethereum faces distinct risks: its account model, BLS-based validator signatures, and KZG commitment scheme in data availability sampling each present separate at-rest attack surfaces.
The authors validated their resource estimates using a zero-knowledge proof, a first for quantum cryptanalysis, allowing verification without revealing the attack circuit itself.
The margin between quantum capability and cryptographic failure is narrowing faster than most migration timelines assume.
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quantumai. google/static/site-assets/downloads/cryptocurrency-whitepaper.pdf

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@aw_trades_ Face rippers today and yesterday: Expect cash open to fade (yesterday to origin point, today almost not quite), then recovery of mean and expansion
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@Tradesdontlie None of this works. TV goes bright eye burning white
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@VolSignals @oppugnantone I am infatuated with your service, with volatility, it is extremely interesting, and you are hands down the online expert in this area along with @options_insight . It is without saying an entire frontier of trading mechanics all unto itself. It is also very complicated :/-
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What is a higher time frame gap? Its a footprint of a large set of orders that were in a rush. Verify it with footprint receipts. Verify it with gamma levels. Match charm boundaries with all of the above. People blow off TA as if it is not based on reality. Well, you are looking at the wrong TA, or someone that does not know what they are doing then.
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@RubiconTrading @oppugnantone the difference is that all forms of TA are making educated guesses using priors
this, is not that- and the difference when properly integrated is career-making
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Wrong. They are simplified versions of what is going on. If you actually know TA, which you and your RTM cohort have explicitly admitted you do not, and studied the correlations between footprint/order flow, TPO, DOM resting orders....it is all the same. Happy to share mountains of documentation to this effect. It is no doubt re-assuring to rely on order history, gamma levels, Jack and Jill and Jane and whoever is trading RTM signals to see verified prints...but if you know TA and the clues that approximate these (and in most cases actually represent these, even predict these before they happen), why pay a Tesla Model Y to Porsche Turbo monthly car payment to someone else??
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@oppugnantone @VolSignals Hate to burst your bubble - its all the same shit. Manifested differently. TPO, Volume Profile, gamma levels. Different views of the same things: Where bets are placed by deep pockets. Enjoy.
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@itsolelehmann We’re always experimenting with new ideas. 90% don’t ship because we don’t think they’re good enough experiences. Still on the fence about this one — should we ship it?
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i can't believe more people aren't talking about this part of the claude code leak
there's a hidden feature in the source code called KAIROS, and it basically shows you anthropic's endgame
KAIROS is an always-on, *proactive* Claude that does things without you asking it to.
it runs in the background 24/7 while you work (or sleep)
anthropic hasn't turned it on to the public yet, but the code is fully built
here's how it works:
every few seconds, KAIROS gets a heartbeat.
basically a prompt that says "anything worth doing right now?"
it looks at what's happening and makes a call: do something, or stay quiet
if it acts, it can fix errors in your code, respond to messages, update files, run tasks...
basically anything claude code can already do, just without you telling it to
but here's what makes KAIROS different from regular claude code:
it has (at least) 3 exclusive tools that regular claude code doesn't get:
1. push notifications, so it can reach you on your phone or desktop even when you're not in the terminal
2. file delivery, so it can send you things it created without you asking for them
3. pull request subscriptions, so it can watch your github and react to code changes on its own
regular claude code can only talk to you when you talk to it. KAIROS can tap you on the shoulder
and it keeps daily logs of everything.
> what it noticed
> what it decided
> what it did
append-only, meaning it can't erase its own history (you can read everything)
at night it runs something the code literally calls "autoDream."
where it consolidates what it learned during the day and reorganizes its memory while you sleep
and it persists across sessions. close your laptop friday, open it monday, it's been working the whole time
think about what this means in practice:
> you're asleep and your website goes down. KAIROS detects it, restarts the server, and sends you a notification. by the time you see it, it's already back up
> you get a customer complaint email at 2am. KAIROS reads it, sends the reply, and logs what it did. you wake up and it's already resolved
> your stripe subscription page has a typo that's been live for 3 days. KAIROS spots it, fixes it, and logs the change
endless use-cases, it's essentially a co-founder who never sleeps
the codebase has this fully built and gated behind internal feature flags called PROACTIVE and KAIROS
i think this is probably the clearest signal yet for where all ai tools are going.
we are heading into the "post-prompting" era
where the ai just works for you in the background
like an all-knowing teammate who notices and handles everything, before you even think to ask

Chaofan Shou@Fried_rice
Claude code source code has been leaked via a map file in their npm registry! Code: …a8527898604c1bbb12468b1581d95e.r2.dev/src.zip
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RubiconDerivatives รีทวีตแล้ว

The timeline on this is genuinely insane.
October 2025: Sam Altman flies to Seoul and signs simultaneous deals with Samsung and SK Hynix for 900,000 DRAM wafers per month. That's 40% of global supply. Neither company knew the other was signing a near-identical commitment at the same time.
Those deals were letters of intent. Non-binding. No RAM actually changed hands. But the market treated them as gospel. Contract DRAM prices jumped 171%. A 64GB DDR5 kit went from $190 to $700 in three months.
December 2025: Micron kills Crucial, its 29-year-old consumer memory brand, to reallocate every wafer to AI and enterprise customers. The company explicitly said it was exiting consumer memory to "improve supply and support for our larger, strategic customers in faster-growing segments." Translation: the AI demand signal was so loud that selling RAM to PC builders stopped making financial sense.
March 2026: Google publishes TurboQuant, a compression algorithm that reduces AI memory requirements by 6x with zero accuracy loss. Cloudflare's CEO called it "Google's DeepSeek." The entire thesis that AI would consume infinite memory forever just got a six-month expiration date on it.
Same month: OpenAI and Oracle cancel the Abilene Stargate expansion. The $500 billion data center vision that justified the RAM deals couldn't survive its own financing terms. Bloomberg attributed the collapse partly to OpenAI's "often-changing demand forecasting."
MU is now down ~33% from its post-earnings high. Revenue up 196% year over year, EPS up 682%, and the stock is in freefall because the company restructured its entire business around a demand signal that came from non-binding letters and is now being compressed out of existence by a research paper.
Micron bet the consumer division on Sam Altman's signature. The signature was worth exactly what the paper said: nothing binding.
Grummz@Grummz
Imagine closing your entire consumer memory division because this guy signed a non binding letter that he would buy 40% of the world’s RAM. Only to have him rug pull 3 months later.
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Even though I know what the Face Ripper is, what it looks like, how it executes, I still fall for it.
Cash Open move towards 6540 Thursday POC.
Dump back down to Cash. Open. Low.
Then scattered challenging move to what you knew was the target all along (TPO POC in chart).
On top, try to join along the way. Move to BE too soon on your own indicator OB. Taken out. Rocket.
Have never been challenged like this in my life...

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