Star Spangled Gamblers

Many worried about "insider trading", but few worry about "insider journalism". But is it fair that reporters with better connections write more informative and interesting stories? Shouldn't we make sure news stories are only based on public info equally open to all reporters?

New - Senate poll - Texas 🔵 Talarico 44% 🔴 Paxton 43% 🔵 Talarico 43% 🔴 Cornyn 41% Impact research (🔵) - LV - 3/17

The Situation Room by Polymarket will open in Washington DC today 👀

I think TSA will be funded by the end of next week, especially if Thune holds to his threat of cancelling the Senate recess until DHS is funded.

"Part of the edge comes from understanding how elites and elite operatives think. They're not just rational actors. They have their own sociology, their own issues. And I do think that there's a lot of behavior that is explained by unaddressed childhood, teenage traumas." starspangledgamblers.libsyn.com/kalshi-sports-…

WSJ: Trump Told Inner Circle Some Mass Deportation Policies Went Too Far President directs a new approach as some advisers believe immigration is no longer as strong a political issue for Trump wsj.com/politics/polic…

BREAKING: Saudi oil officials predict $180 a barrel as a "base case" if middle east disruptions persist until late April.

An old communist woman handed me a leaflet for the leftist candidate for Paris and when I told her I took issue with his stance on rent control she just looked at me like this

BREAKING: Cuban ambassador to the UN says talks of removing Miguel Diaz-Canel as president are out of the question.

I feel like nobody knows this but American math performance at the very top end has actually gotten better even while everyone else has gotten worse. the74million.org/article/how-12…

House Minority Leader @RepJeffries has the most based response when asked about the legal status of prediction markets...

@cremieuxrecueil This is after controlling for everything in the data: SAT, early decision, legacy, being an athlete etc. Readers rate South Asian applicants higher than East Asians on academic, personal, and extracurricular scores — yet the committee still admits them less. What's up with this?

"Wallach, a gaming lawyer, said in a post on X that a temporary restraining order would push Kalshi out of Nevada entirely for at least 2 weeks, pending a hearing on a preliminary injunction. The TRO order could come in the next day or so." Via @CoinDesk coindesk.com/policy/2026/03…

Flashback: JD Vance says he will talk to Trump about the possibility of running for president in 2028 after the midterms Source: Axios/Fox News

The total number of smart people in the world has just peaked. And now it's about to crash.

prediction markets roundup last 24h - kalshi integrated cash app pay for seamless deposits - the CFTC issued a major staff advisory letter no. 26-08 signaling a shift toward encouraging the growth of prediction market - institutional brokers marex group and clear street announced they will begin offering hedge fund clients direct access to kalshi’s order books - polymarket partnered with palantir to build ai-powered sports integrity monitoring across its sports markets 👀 - senator adam schiff introduced the « death bets act » to ban prediction markets related to war, death and terrorism 👀👀👀

this is stupid. Most Indian Americans whose kids go to ivies are professionals they did not benefit from sba loans

.@RepJeffries on prediction market regulation: “I do think it’s reasonable for us to take a look at what can be done in this space, and to try to find a bipartisan path forward, working with all of the stakeholders in this area.”

I commend today's action by @FDICgov, @federalreserve and @USOCC to lower the onerous Basel III endgame bank capital requirements. The prior proposal disincentivized bank-affiliated brokers from servicing smaller customers. American farmers, ranchers and energy producers paid the price for this regulatory failure.

Japanese Reporter: "Why didn't you tell US allies about the war before attacking Iran?" Donald Trump: "Who knows better about surprises than Japan. Why didn't you tell me about Pearl Harbor?"