Rich Garvin

Follow me @iconoclasticdick.bsky.social It's a far, far better place we go to.

@wholemars When you cucks finally realize that Tesla's sensor suite is unworkable and that humanoid robots are a gimmick you'll have a very rude awakening.

A lot of people are focused on when Tesla will catch up to Waymo, which is fair given that Waymo has thousands of driverless cars and Tesla only has a handful. But not enough people ask “When will Waymo catch up to Tesla?” 1. When will Waymo be able to take me on a coast to coast drive? 2. When will I be able to buy a Waymo? 3. When will Waymo cross 8 million cars that can run their software? 4. When will Waymo be able to work with no geofencing restrictions? My contrarian take is that it’s a lot easier for Tesla to catch Waymo than for Waymo to catch up to Tesla.

@TheSonOfWalkley Up in smoke.

BREAKING: RECORD 4 “UNSUPERVISED” $TSLA ROBOTAXIS NOW OPERATING IN AUSTIN 👀 It’s going up !

@alex_avoigt Fundamentally TSLA is worth maybe $40.00.

Technical analysis is not a reliable indicator of stock prices, but when combined with fundamentals and catalysts, it usually is. I expect a major breakout for $tsla latest in April. Every dip under the current support levels is likely a bear trap and a great buy opportunity.

@wholemars More likely to be Tesla going bk in 3 years.

Uber had a $10.6 billion accumulated deficit at the end of 2025. That’s the amount they’ve lost since the company started, meaning they haven’t truly made any money yet. By contrast, Tesla has retained earnings of $39 billion. Depending on how quickly autonomy scales, it’s conceivable that Uber might never generate earnings that offset what it cost to build the company. Pretty wild.

@wholemars It will never get widespread approval. It doesn't work without a complete sensor suite.

Right now there is one company in the world that is doing fully driverless rides using just computer vision. That company is Tesla. People don’t realize how powerful this is strategically. They’re ready to mass produce millions of fully autonomous cars.

@Furbeti @DittiePE None deserved.

let’s be real, the US has no real allies

@TheSonOfWalkley Elon will be in jail after November.

BREAKING: $TSLA ENGINEER SAYS — CYBERCAB WILL LAUNCH “AT SCALE” THIS YEAR 👀 Extremely bullish !

@TheSonOfWalkley I'll take the under on that. Cybercab will be a bigger flop than Cybertruck. TESLA FSD is unworkable for autonomous driving.

@niccruzpatane Yeah, if you don't have enough brains to put the proper sensors on the cat, it won't work. Tesla FSD is years behind it's competition.

The Self-Driving Car Problem isn’t a Sensor Problem, it's a Brain Problem.

@madclips_ I'll allow it.

A substitute teacher at a Las Vegas school fights with a student who called him the n-word. Was this justified?

@BastianBraun121 You're beating a dead horse.

🚨 Come on $TSLA! Let’s do this. It’s about time.

@GuGi263 Not MAGATS.

When his friend falls, this donkey lies down to hug him & waits for him to get up. Every being has a degree of understanding & knows kindness.

@USAmbNATO Maybe you could ask Denmark to send that ship they had guarding Greenland.

Allies and partners who depend on Gulf energy should unite to stop Iran.

@wholemars Laughable.

Elon Musk is about to merge all of his companies together to create the most valuable company in the world. Right now the only way to access that equity is through $TSLA.

@naturelife_ok I saved a dozen once.

She saved 7 baby ducks from a storm drain! 🦆😭

@TheMaineWonk Does Argentina have a navy?

Promising report, but there aren’t any details as to when this would take place and who is participating. Reads to me like a play to calm markets before futures open in less than an hour…. We’ll see.

@alex_avoigt The sooner the Cybercabs can get on the road, the sooner the lawsuits can begin.

The red tape for the Cybercab with regards to the steering wheel and controls is about to be gone. Tesla can push out the Cybercab and deploy it on the streets once Austin gets into mass production. $tsla

@Protect_Wldlife It's a damn shame...that he passed so quickly.

In 2015, American trophy hunter Ashley Watkins died in South Africa while hunting a Buffalo for which he had paid $10,000 to kill. Watkins, 52 years old, was taking part in a trophy safari in Limpopo province when a Cape Buffalo charged him and killed him almost instantly, the safari agency that organized the hunt reported. The head of the company said that the attack was “sudden and unprovoked” while Watkins was tracking it with a guide and a tracker. Cape Buffalo are nicknamed the "Black Death" or "Widowmaker," and are regarded as one of Africa’s most dangerous animals. Watkins had a Facebook page where he shared hunting photos, often posing next to the animals he had killed, including Deer and Cougars. #BanTrophyHunting NOW! 🚫

Goldman Sachs confirms Hormuz oil flows have collapsed from 19.5 million barrels per day to 0.5 million. Net disruption after pipeline rerouting: 17.2 million barrels per day offline. Two independent vessel trackers recorded zero oil tankers crossing the Strait on 12 March. The largest energy chokepoint on Earth is not closed by a navy. It is closed by a spreadsheet. Seven major P&I clubs cancelled war-risk coverage for the Persian Gulf effective 5th March under Solvency II protocols. Premiums for remaining voyage cover surged 300 to 1,000%, reaching 1% of hull value: $2 to $3 million per VLCC on a seven-day renewable basis. The $20 billion DFC reinsurance facility backed by Chubb has limited uptake because it excludes full P&I liability. Lloyd’s still offers single-voyage cover. Nobody is buying because the premium assumes the mines, and the mines are on the seabed. The Strait is open. The insurance is not. And without insurance, no vessel moves. While 19 million barrels per day sit stranded on either side of the chokepoint, one category of vessel continues transiting: Chinese shadow fleet tankers carrying Iranian crude settled in yuan through CIPS. Kpler confirms 11.7 to 16.5 million barrels have reached China since 28 February. These tankers do not carry Western insurance. They do not need Western insurance. They operate under Chinese state-backed coverage, Iranian IRGC safe passage, and yuan settlement through a payment system that processed $24.5 trillion in 2025 at 43% year-on-year growth. The only oil moving through Hormuz is oil that does not touch the dollar. This is the moment the petrodollar system was designed to prevent. In 1974, Saudi Arabia agreed to price oil exclusively in dollars in exchange for American military protection. That agreement created a world where every barrel required dollars, every central bank held dollar reserves because energy demanded them, and American financial hegemony rested on the simple proposition that oil equals dollars. For fifty-two years, the equation held. The 2026 war is breaking it not through policy but through physics: the insurance architecture that enabled dollar-denominated oil transit has collapsed, and the only transit still functioning operates in yuan. The dollar’s share of global reserves has fallen from 71% in 2000 to 59% today. Yuan global payments remain at 2.89%. No single event kills the petrodollar. But the Goldman data reveals what the contrarians miss: the war has created a live demonstration of a post-dollar energy system operating at scale. Chinese tankers transit. Yuan settles. CIPS clears. Iranian oil reaches Chinese refineries at $9 to $12 below Brent while Western buyers pay $96.72. The system works. It is working now. And every day the Strait remains closed to dollar shipping is another day the alternative proves it does not need the original. President Trump’s multinational warship call is the response: send navies, reopen the Strait, restore dollar-denominated traffic, and kill the yuan alternative before it scales. If the coalition succeeds, dollar pricing survives. If it fails or fragments, the war that was launched to destroy Iran’s nuclear programme will have accidentally created the conditions for the multipolar energy order the dollar was designed to prevent. The IEA has released 400 million barrels of strategic reserves, the largest coordinated draw in history. It covers 23 days of the 17.2 million barrel daily shortfall. The war is sixteen days old. The reserves are finite. The insurance cancellations are not. Nineteen million barrels per day reduced to half a million. Zero tankers on 12th March. Yuan tankers the only vessels moving. And the fifty-two-year-old system that priced every barrel in dollars is watching its replacement operate in real time through the waterway it can no longer transit. Full analysis here - open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

@LucifersTweetz @Maximumatheist Not really.

It's a fine line between religious and insane.