AKAI รีทวีตแล้ว
AKAI
2.2K posts


This is my top conviction play in prediction markets right now.
The team is stacked, the tech is a true first mover, and it expands a multi-billion dollar industry beyond just traders bringing in creators and liquidity providers.
$SIGMOID @SigmoidMarkets at sub-$100K MC is real alpha 🤝
Sigmoid@SigmoidMarkets
Hi everyone, The Team and I wanted to share a clear timeline of what the team will be focused on over the next few days as we push toward devnet. As mentioned previously, our current expectation is to be live on devnet within ~1 week, with the possibility of going live sooner
English

@SyncMoonlt We'll lock in a more specific date as we get closer. We will say the 1-week timeframe given is on the conservative side.
English
AKAI รีทวีตแล้ว

To our holders, we’re targeting devnet launch within 1 week.
Our on-chain market account structure is fully specified and ready to deploy.
Going live on devnet means:
• Markets, positions, and settlement logic move on-chain
• Full integration with our vault + collateral system
• Riskr conviction mechanics enforced at the protocol level
• Oracle-driven data feeding live market resolution
• End-to-end testing in a real Solana environment (not just simulation)
This is the shift from simulated behavior → live protocol execution.
From there, it’s about refining, stress testing, and preparing for mainnet.
We’re close and will keep everyone updated.
English

@SigmoidMarkets @SigmoidMarkets Great! Any ETA for the GitHub repo and which audit firm will you use?”
English
AKAI รีทวีตแล้ว

@SyncMoonlt Yep, we will make our GitHub public and will undergo extensive audits prior to devnet and during devnet testing!
English
AKAI รีทวีตแล้ว

Funny how quickly “competition is good” turns into paragraphs when it actually shows up.
We’re not here to argue but felt the need to address the comments given the amount.
We’re here to build something meaningfully different.
Sigmoid isn’t just another prediction market.
The focus has been:
• Precision-based markets (Spectrum) where payouts scale with accuracy, not just direction
• A system built for both creators and traders, not just one side
• A different take on participation, where users can shape markets, not just bet on them
Yes, this is a complex design space.
Yes, teams will explore similar primitives.
That’s how new categories form.
What matters is how ideas are executed, how products feel in users’ hands, and what actually works on-chain.
Competition should be welcomed.
English

RT @SigmoidMarkets: Sigmoid | Development & Investor Update 4//2026
• RISKR architecture finalized
Dual-layer system now fully defined on…
English
AKAI รีทวีตแล้ว

While we’re pushing toward devnet, we wanted to remind everyone the Sigmoid leaderboard is already live and tracking everything in real time.
Individuals are already active on our platform and earning points by rather creating, or trading, markets.
5% of supply is reserved for users eligible for the airdrop.
Snapshot is coming in < 1 week.


English
AKAI รีทวีตแล้ว

Good Morning,
We’ve crossed a key threshold internally. The system is no longer theoretical, it’s behaving exactly how we expect under live conditions.
Our off-chain environment is still running full market simulations with:
• Real data inputs
• Active trading flows
• Position lifecycle fully wired
• Accuracy-based payout mechanics live
• Early Riskr conviction behavior in motion
On the backend, everything is now structured and ready:
Market logic, vaults, conviction layer, and oracle flows are fully mapped.
What’s left is execution:
Solana Devnet -> Solana Mainnet
Basically, we’re now past design and deep into implementation territory.
English

Prediction Markets are one of the strongest narratives on Solana right now.
We’ve already seen multiple plays in the sector run hard and that’s not random.
It’s one of the few areas in crypto with clear product-market fit.
$SIGMOID @SigmoidMarkets is starting to carve out its own lane in the space.
Sub $70K MC is real alpha.
Feels similar to $RALLY back when it was sub $100K MC.
98oXBs8bwb5b7L2k8thZDr3S2ub4H5vDNjLm7uvpump
study@study0718
Just found @SigmoidMarkets a Prediction & Precision market launchpad on Solana Pre devnet is live: connect wallet, paper trade markets, and earn points toward the $SIGMOID airdrop + leaderboard 50M tokens allocated for early users Devnet soon
English

Most prediction markets ask one question:
“Were you right?”
We think that’s primitive.
So we built RISKR - a conviction system where payouts are a function of accuracy × capital × conviction.
Here’s how it actually works 👇
At the core:
Total Payout = Base Payout + Collateral Bonus
Base payout:
= stake × multiplier × Gaussian(distance, σ)
→ Your payout decays smoothly based on how far you are from the actual outcome
→ Not binary. Not cliff-based. Continuous.
Then RISKR adds a second layer:
Collateral Bonus = (your weight / total winner weight) × loser collateral pool
Where:
weight = stake × accuracy × conviction
So:
• More accurate → higher weight
• Higher conviction → higher weight
• Bigger stake → higher weight
And the bonus?
It comes directly from traders who were wrong and overconfident.
No inflation. No emissions. No fake yield.
Just redistributed conviction.
Conviction also reshapes your risk curve:
Measured → wide curve (forgiving)
Confident → tighter curve
Certain → surgical (you need to be precise)
Same market. Completely different payoff function.
This is why RISKR isn’t leverage.
You’re not borrowing.
You’re choosing:
• how much you risk
• how precise you need to be
• how much of the reward pool you deserve
We know there are prediction markets already.
But none of them:
• reward how right you were
• let you create markets + earn fees
• or introduce conviction-weighted payouts
We’re not iterating.
We’re replacing the model.
If you want the full breakdown (math + system design):
Docs + Whitepaper are live.
sigmoid.markets/docs
sigmoid.markets/whitepaper

English

To our followers, if you want to be eligible for the $SIGMOID airdrop:
Connect your wallet and start testing our markets.
Right now (pre-devnet), you can paper trade on live markets.
All paper trading activity is tracked and counts toward airdrop eligibility.
Devnet is going live very soon.
Get in early and start climbing the leaderboard.

English