Jorge
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Jorge
@_jorg7
Εγώ είμαι τέκνο της Ανάγκης κι ώριμο τέκνο της Οργής










EuroLeague Playoff & Play-In Projection | Round 29/38 (🖇️ card) Key takeaways: 🔸🇹🇷 Fenerbahçe with 100% chance for Top 4! 🔸Top 4 becoming clearer with 4 teams >50% chances 🔸Fierce battle for Top 6 🔸Playoff and Play-In teams almost certain — 10 top teams in current standings show >70% probability 🟢 Top 4 | (23-24 wins will be the cutoff) With 24 wins → 93% secured Top 4 With 23 wins → 45% With 22 wins → 4% ➖ Clear advantage to: 100% 🇹🇷 Fenerbahçe ✅ 85% 🇬🇷 Olympiacos 62% 🇪🇸 Valencia 58% 🇪🇸 Real Madrid while all other teams show less than 23% chances. 🟠 Top 6 | (22-23 wins will be the cutoff) With 23 wins → 98% secured Top 6 With 22 wins → 59% With 21 wins → 6% ➖ Apart from the above 4 teams, the remaining 2 spots chances: 50% 🇱🇹 Žalgiris Kaunas 46% 🇷🇸 Crvena Zvezda 45% 🇪🇸 Barcelona 35% 🇲🇨 Monaco 34% 🇮🇱 Hapoel Tel Aviv 22% 🇬🇷 Panathinaikos 🟤 Top 10 | 20 wins likely the Play-In cutoff With 21 wins → 99% With 20 wins → 72% With 19 wins → 16% secured Top 10 ➖ Top 10 teams almost certain with >70% chances; Dubai and Maccabi still trail at a distance. How the projection model works: ✅ This year's performance: Net Rating (Offense - Defense) + home/away split ✅ Remaining schedule ✅ Historic team weight: Elo score from past 2 seasons Simulation model in cooperation with @g_giase #EveryGameMatters #EuroLeague #Simulation #basketball #FenerbahçeBeko #olympiakosbc #RealMadrid #Valencia


















