Evan Horowitz

If you think demand played a large roll in the pandemic inflation, you are a lot less worried today. If you think it was mostly supply shocks, well you are more worried about supply shocks being inflationary. This explains some of the Dove -> Hawk conversions

Lots of other interesting stuff here: cspa.tufts.edu/sites/g/files/… Report on the 62F ballot question up next

Effect on the state economy very small. Some increase in reported incomes, but likely smaller boost in real economic activity.

Put out a new report this morning: The $5.1b question for Massachusetts voters. That's the headline figure from our (dynamic) estimate of the income tax cut ballot question.

How much would you save if Massachusetts passed the potential ballot question to cut the state income tax from 5% to 4%? And is it worth what it would do to the state's budget and core programs? @cSPAHorowitz takes a closer look: wbur.org/news/2026/03/1…

just picked up this bad boy. can't wait to write some software with it

Easy prediction: New apartment construction starts and acquisitions will plunge across Massachusetts in 2026 until after the potential November ballot measure on rent control is decided.

@CPyles8 Don't love JD's idea about getting a point for 1 sec of riding time; but what about carrying riding time into OT (so someone is leading going into ride-outs)

Epic weekend of wrestling here in Texas! Send on your FRL Questions! It’s conference week!!!

AI is cool and all... but a new paper in @ScienceMagazine kind of figured out the origin of life? The paper reports the discovery of a simple 45-nucleotide RNA molecule that can perfectly copy itself.

Really wish I could bet on this. Hammer the over. commonwealthbeacon.org/shns/budget-ch…

From the @nytimes this morning. Is there a word missing? Some weird meaning of "low-cost" that could put just 1% could below the median?

Holy crap

@TheStalwart James Baldwin

Who is a person for whom we have a lot of public speaking transcripts as well as a lot of written work?

@TheStalwart activating @TheZvi signal

I’ve been wondering about this

@TheStalwart @mattyglesias Benito Cereno

@mattyglesias oh yeah? was it good?

So sad to have not been able to go to this year's live Moby Dick reading at the @whalingmuseum. But reading this article about it gave me goosebumps theatlantic.com/culture/2026/0…

The inimitable @matt_levine

Can this be right? 3/4 of multifamily units in Los Angeles are pre-1980?

@mattyglesias Not that short term, though. Realize the gains in 2026. Collect the taxes in April 2027.

The two most striking (and confusing) numbers in the GDP report: personal consumption +3.5% in q3, real disposable income 0%. That divergence can't continue.