Jon Eberly

i have stopped being shocked when AI pundits, people who think and talk about AI for a living, people who are *writing and sponsoring AI legislation* admit that they never use it, because it happens so often. but it is shocking!

The fact that nobody reads the PDFs I send them in no way dissuades me from sending more.

babe are you ok? it’s already q4 and you’ve barely touched your “2025 roadmap”

One time I refused to buy a watch because it was only waterproof to 100 meters. Not sure what sort of future I was imagining for myself there.

we gotta get back into blimps

Huge miss by Adobe not relaunching Dreamweaver as a vibe coding platform.

Kardashev Level 1, 2 and 3 correspond to using the power of an entire planet, star, and galaxy respectively. In terms of steam engines, that's 10^16, 10^26, and 10^36 W. This rather neatly allows us to generalize the Kardashev levels to non integer values, using the formula (Log10[P]-6)/10. Currently our P is about 10 TW, or Kardashev level 0.7. Pre-industrial consumption, mostly based on agriculture, was level 0.5, comparable to the power consumption of all ants. The Roman Empire at its peak was about 0.36.

If it seems hard in SaaS, just remember if you can get to $25m-$30m ARR, growing at even a modest clip, and your burn is low ... someone will buy you Just don't raise at a crazy valuation, that's all

we will look back $200/month unlimited intelligence as fondly as the cheap uber rides of the 2010’s

The only laptop suitable for adults

Huge if true

People still don’t seem to understand why Moore’s law happened. 1. Substrate material is the cheapest on earth 2. Solid state operation which means ZERO opex costs ONLY capex 3. Capex can be amortized over more and more chips 4. Reinvest in lower capex and higher throughput 5. Repeat until costs approach materials costs Chips, solar, batteries. It’s all the same. Solid state devices and their scaling laws will kill anything in their way. Notice, NONE of these steps involve massive net profits, because you REINVEST as much as you can!

I'll never forgive ChatGPT for ruining em dashes for all of us

Prediction: The surge in undetectable call recording apps is about to drive more people back to in-person meetings and prompt more startups to move to SF. Secret recording tools like Granola and now Notion's new feature can capture any call without a trace - Zoom, FaceTime Audio, anything. They can go under radar because they hook into your system’s audio output at the OS level, without needing direct access to your video call platforms. As a founder, I've had my own words from private calls thrown back at me during deals. Terrifying. Think about how this affects secretive AI labs and stealthy startups. One leaked conversation could be catastrophic. My bet? Face-to-face meetings are about to explode. And if you want the real inside scoop on what's happening in tech, you'll need to be where the conversations are happening: San Francisco.

@compulsivestart Wait you own a suit?!

If your profile photo looks like this in 2025, when you have a 12 megapixel camera in your pocket, I have a hard time taking you seriously.

Imagine spending a billion dollars training an AI model then someone else comes out with something 2% better and everyone switches off of you by changing one line of code

I’ve gotten am embarrassing amount of leverage out of “I’m afraid. I guess I’ll just do it while afraid” and “this is going to take a long time, but the time is going to pass anyway”

I don't understand how we're like 3 years away from AGI and vacationing on Mars but trying to copy/paste something from a doc into gmail is still pretty 50/50.

pov: you are a wafer about to be bombarded with hypervelocity boron chloride radicals