andrew(❤,🩸)
363 posts

andrew(❤,🩸)
@mobius3_3
Active options trader · Passive DeFi farmer · PM quant No referral for PM. If u're gambling, quit it. Previous tradfi quant




month-end wrap-up: ~ $1,000 profit in a week of @Polymarket trading, but the process was messy. max drawdown hit -$2k, largely due to an API failure while testing new sports strategies. if your execution layer fails, your edge doesn’t matter. truthfully, i got lucky this month. prediction markets require more emotional discipline than almost any other venue—it’s a slippery slope into gambling mode if you aren't grounded. taking the win, wrapping the profits, and heading back to the builder mode.


@mobius3_3 and @r0ry_sol has joined the @Zedge_ORE competition and is off to a flying start! Less than two weeks left... It's never too late to join!


Hylo’s full UI revamp is now live: v2.hylo.so/early-access We are rolling out phased access to selected users, gathering feedback and refining the experience ahead of the Hylo V2 launch. Don’t have a code yet? Simply select “Request an access code”.


some early lessons from first two weeks trading on @Polymarket - volatility is often mispriced in many cases, polymarket prices volatility better than traditional options. structuring bets similar to selling calls or puts can work well as a portfolio complement, not a standalone gamble. - liquidity is better than it looks at almost any snapshot, liquidity isn’t that good. but volatility + impulsive flows are huge. if you’re patient and place limit orders, the market often comes to you. – trade in the time window before resolution, value distribution is wide and edges exist. as time passes, outcomes compress and mispricing disappears. bet early in the window, and exit when the edge starts to narrow. - dust odds aren’t worth it chasing tiny probabilities with bad risk-reward rarely pays. capital is better deployed where mispricing + size actually matter. polymarket isn’t just “betting” — it’s a volatility and timing game. treat it like one.










Day - 1 of the Accelerated Builders Program #Turbin3Tribe on the call with serious builder energy. Let’s ship 💪


market is abysmal, but i made hylord today so things are going pretty well i guess hylo.so/leverage?ref=8…












