Rossa O'Keeffe-O'Donovan

724 posts

Rossa O'Keeffe-O'Donovan

Rossa O'Keeffe-O'Donovan

@rossaokod

AI Safety at @coeff_giving (fka Open Philanthropy). Formerly economist at @NuffieldCollege / @GPIoxford. Interests: AI/GCRs, development econ, animal welfare

เข้าร่วม Aralık 2018
825 กำลังติดตาม610 ผู้ติดตาม
Rossa O'Keeffe-O'Donovan รีทวีตแล้ว
Coefficient Giving
Coefficient Giving@coeff_giving·
We're hiring Research Fellows and Strategy Fellows to help us prioritize and launch new $100M+ Global Health and Wellbeing funds, design systems to evaluate our impact, and conduct research to inform our grantmaking approach. Apply by May 10: jobs.ashbyhq.com/coefficientgiv…
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Rossa O'Keeffe-O'Donovan รีทวีตแล้ว
Alexander Berger
Alexander Berger@albrgr·
Excited to share: the Development Innovation Ventures (DIV) Fund officially launched this week as an independent nonprofit. @coeff_giving is proud to be an anchor funder. 🧵
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Kevin Roose
Kevin Roose@kevinroose·
New column: I went to visit @METR_Evals, the 30-person AI nonprofit that makes the Most Important Chart in the World. I learned a lot, but the most striking thing was how soon some of them think AI R&D could be fully automated. (This year!) nytimes.com/2026/04/17/tec…
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Alexander Berger
Alexander Berger@albrgr·
In the coming years, billions of dollars in new philanthropic capital could be unlocked. Whether that money is matched to the highest-impact opportunities is far from guaranteed. At @coeff_giving, we’re hiring for a Managing Director, Philanthropic Advisory to make this influx of capital go as well as possible. This person will build a bespoke advisory practice from ~scratch, lead our partnerships team (12 people and growing), and sit on our leadership team. The ideal candidate is: • Strategically sharp and substantively deep on CG’s cause areas • An effective executive that can build a strong team • An excellent external representative of CG’s work to major donors We’re not looking for a conventional fundraising background. We want someone with the capability and drive to be a “general manager” of directing new funding to impactful causes (h/t Nan Ransohoff) nanransohoff.substack.com/p/there-should… The application form is here: jobs.ashbyhq.com/coefficientgiv… This is one of the most important roles I’m hiring for this year - if you’re in doubt, please apply!
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Eli Lifland
Eli Lifland@eli_lifland·
AI timelines update: @DKokotajlo and I have updated our timelines earlier by ~1.5 years over the last 3 months, primarily due to (a) expecting faster time horizon growth, and (b) coding agents impressing in the real world. During 2025, we had updated toward longer timelines.
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Cole Salvador
Cole Salvador@ColeSalvador31·
In 2022 and 2023, tiny teams of researchers drew straight lines on graphs that predicted the US was headed for an energy bottleneck in AI. But the government had no idea. The future of AI is too important to make the same mistake again. We need talent-dense, AI-focused offices that can skate to where the puck is going and implement President Trump’s AI agenda. In a new piece for AFPI (@A1Policy), we discuss 2 promising offices that could act as hubs of government AI foresight: the Center for AI Standards and Innovation (CAISI) in the Department of Commerce and the Bureau of Emerging Threats (ET) in the Department of State. We found that they have the density of talent to succeed but still lack resources: funding, headcount, and authorization. Here’s a summary: 1) The Center for AI Standards and Innovation (CAISI) lacks resources > It has talented technical staff and a strong track record in evaluations, industry relationships, and insight into China > But it’s chronically underfunded. It’s been around for 3 years but only received $30M in total, not annual, funds. That’s 11 times less than the UK’s equivalent. (It’s even short of Canada and Singapore) > It’s only has 20-30 employees who are swamped with workstreams and external requests from agencies like the IC To solve this, Congress should fund CAISI with an annual budget of $50-100 million. 2) CAISI lacks authorization or a focused mission > Between Department asks, inbound from other offices, and the AI Action Plan, it has more missions than staff > Its critical mission could be threatened by future administrations, who would externally pressure it to pursue DEI initiatives Congress needs to enshrine the office and give it a clear mission. We present an America First vision for CAISI, in which it acts as a technical strike team, bridge between industry and government, frontier analysis unit, and technical standards organization. 3) The Bureau of Emerging Threats (ET) lacks authorization > ET is similarly talent-dense, with experts in cyber, AI, and international relations > But it lacks congressional authorization and could be destroyed or co-opted by future administrations The Bureau needs concrete support from Congress and levers of interagency influence, like regular reports to national security leaders. With appropriate action, Congress can help ensure the President has the resources he needs to help America win the AI race and usher in a new golden age of human flourishing. Always fun to collaborate with @CrovitzJack and @YusufSMahmood, who have posted about other sections of our piece.
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Coefficient Giving
Coefficient Giving@coeff_giving·
Up to $20m is available, primarily for late-stage clinical trials targeting high-burden, neglected diseases in LMICs. We've supported around a dozen repurposing trials to date, and early indications are promising.
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Alexander Berger
Alexander Berger@albrgr·
Coefficient Giving recently passed $5 billion in total grants directed since we started in 2014. A few things about what that number actually represents 🧵
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Forecasting Research Institute
Forecasting Research Institute@Research_FRI·
We completed the most comprehensive study of how economists and AI experts think AI will affect the U.S. economy. They predict major AI progress—but no dramatic break from economic trends: GDP growth rates similar to today's and a moderate decline in labor force participation. However, when asked to consider what would happen in a world with extremely rapid progress in AI capabilities by 2030, they predict significant economic impacts by 2050: • Annualized GDP growth of 3.5% (compared to 2.4% in 2025) • A labor force participation rate of 55% (roughly 10 million fewer jobs) • 80% of wealth held by the top 10% (highest since 1939) 🧵 Here's what we found:
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Rossa O'Keeffe-O'Donovan รีทวีตแล้ว
Jacob Trefethen
Jacob Trefethen@JacobTref·
I'm joining the OpenAI Foundation to lead the Life Sciences & Curing Diseases program. We're starting with three areas of grantmaking: * AI for Alzheimer's * Public Data for Health * Accelerating Progress on High-Mortality and High-Burden Diseases Time to get to work!
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Jacob Trefethen
Jacob Trefethen@JacobTref·
Life update: after 7.5 years, I’m leaving @coeff_giving. I love it, always have. When I joined we were small, and last year we gave away over $1 billion to charity. I helped fund science alongside some of the most thoughtful, brilliant people I know. Time to pass the torch ❤️
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Luzia 🔸
Luzia 🔸@_revoluzia_·
Ben and I got engaged last weekend! So excited for this next chapter in our lives 🥰
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Alexander Berger
Alexander Berger@albrgr·
.@coeff_giving directed over $1b in 2025, the most in our history. I wrote a more personal annual letter this year, focusing on what a decade of grantmaking has taught me, how I'm thinking about AI, and how we're grappling with giving at this scale. 🧵
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Dean W. Ball
Dean W. Ball@deanwball·
Nevermind. I had been optimistic that the President’s tweet signaled an off-ramp, but it doesn’t. Shame on the Department of War, shame on Pete Hegseth. A dark day in our country’s history.
Secretary of War Pete Hegseth@SecWar

This week, Anthropic delivered a master class in arrogance and betrayal as well as a textbook case of how not to do business with the United States Government or the Pentagon. Our position has never wavered and will never waver: the Department of War must have full, unrestricted access to Anthropic’s models for every LAWFUL purpose in defense of the Republic. Instead, @AnthropicAI and its CEO @DarioAmodei, have chosen duplicity. Cloaked in the sanctimonious rhetoric of “effective altruism,” they have attempted to strong-arm the United States military into submission - a cowardly act of corporate virtue-signaling that places Silicon Valley ideology above American lives. The Terms of Service of Anthropic’s defective altruism will never outweigh the safety, the readiness, or the lives of American troops on the battlefield. Their true objective is unmistakable: to seize veto power over the operational decisions of the United States military. That is unacceptable. As President Trump stated on Truth Social, the Commander-in-Chief and the American people alone will determine the destiny of our armed forces, not unelected tech executives. Anthropic’s stance is fundamentally incompatible with American principles. Their relationship with the United States Armed Forces and the Federal Government has therefore been permanently altered. In conjunction with the President's directive for the Federal Government to cease all use of Anthropic's technology, I am directing the Department of War to designate Anthropic a Supply-Chain Risk to National Security. Effective immediately, no contractor, supplier, or partner that does business with the United States military may conduct any commercial activity with Anthropic. Anthropic will continue to provide the Department of War its services for a period of no more than six months to allow for a seamless transition to a better and more patriotic service. America’s warfighters will never be held hostage by the ideological whims of Big Tech. This decision is final.

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Dean W. Ball
Dean W. Ball@deanwball·
Think about the power Hegseth is asserting here. He is claiming that the DoD can force all contractors to stop doing business of any kind with arbitrary other companies. In other words, every operating system vendor, every manufacturer of hardware, every hyperscaler, every type of firm the DoD contracts with—all their services and products can be denied to any economic actor at will by the Secretary of War. This is obviously a psychotic power grab. It is almost surely illegal, but the message it sends is that the United States Government is a completely unreliable partner for any kind of business. The damage done to our business environment is profound. No amount of deregulatory vibes sent by this administration matters compared to this arson.
Secretary of War Pete Hegseth@SecWar

This week, Anthropic delivered a master class in arrogance and betrayal as well as a textbook case of how not to do business with the United States Government or the Pentagon. Our position has never wavered and will never waver: the Department of War must have full, unrestricted access to Anthropic’s models for every LAWFUL purpose in defense of the Republic. Instead, @AnthropicAI and its CEO @DarioAmodei, have chosen duplicity. Cloaked in the sanctimonious rhetoric of “effective altruism,” they have attempted to strong-arm the United States military into submission - a cowardly act of corporate virtue-signaling that places Silicon Valley ideology above American lives. The Terms of Service of Anthropic’s defective altruism will never outweigh the safety, the readiness, or the lives of American troops on the battlefield. Their true objective is unmistakable: to seize veto power over the operational decisions of the United States military. That is unacceptable. As President Trump stated on Truth Social, the Commander-in-Chief and the American people alone will determine the destiny of our armed forces, not unelected tech executives. Anthropic’s stance is fundamentally incompatible with American principles. Their relationship with the United States Armed Forces and the Federal Government has therefore been permanently altered. In conjunction with the President's directive for the Federal Government to cease all use of Anthropic's technology, I am directing the Department of War to designate Anthropic a Supply-Chain Risk to National Security. Effective immediately, no contractor, supplier, or partner that does business with the United States military may conduct any commercial activity with Anthropic. Anthropic will continue to provide the Department of War its services for a period of no more than six months to allow for a seamless transition to a better and more patriotic service. America’s warfighters will never be held hostage by the ideological whims of Big Tech. This decision is final.

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Anthropic
Anthropic@AnthropicAI·
A statement from Anthropic CEO, Dario Amodei, on our discussions with the Department of War. anthropic.com/news/statement…
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Rob Wiblin
Rob Wiblin@robertwiblin·
.@DeanWBall is one of the most famous opponents of AI regulation, and co-author of America's AI strategy. But unlike many new AI commentators he's a true intellectual and a blogger at heart — not a shallow ideologue or corporate mouthpiece. So he doesn't wave away concerns and predict a smooth simple ride. In fact, for Dean an unpredictable or volatile future is the reason to take as few big steps now as possible. He fears the wrong regulations, deployed too early, would "in a Shakespearean fashion, bring about the world that we do not want." More specifically, premature regulation might lock us into addressing the wrong problem (e.g. rogue AI when the real issue is power concentration), with the wrong target (e.g. models rather than companies), through the wrong institutions (e.g. AI-specific bodies that are captured by industry), while making it harder to build the actual solutions we'll need (e.g. open source or legal mechanisms newly enabled by AI). I booked an interview with Dean so I could thoroughly read his Substack, get to grips with his worldview, and figure out why I often see things differently. We cover: We'll get superintelligence, but it will probably be steerable (00:01:54) AI won't be militarised fast (00:11:10) AI self-improvement matters but is no game changer (00:28:58) The case for regulating at the last possible moment (00:33:51) AI could destroy our fragile democratic equilibria. So why not freak out? (00:53:41) Why Dean fears AI will soon be way overregulated (01:04:10) How to handle the real risks with minimal collateral damage (01:16:23) Easy wins against AI misuse (01:28:27) A company would be sued for trillions if their AI caused a pandemic (01:49:43) Dean dislikes compute thresholds and would do this instead. (01:59:06) Dean expects a MAGA-Yudkowskyite alliance. But Doomers and E/accs are more alike than different. (02:14:40) A tactical case for focusing on present-day harms (02:29:16) Is there any way to get the US government to actually use AI in its work? (02:47:43) On the 80,000 Hours Podcast. Links below — enjoy!
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Chris Painter
Chris Painter@ChrisPainterYup·
The world doesn’t quite realize yet: 1. How much AI researchers plan to give to charity over the next couple of years. 2. How much more they care about farmed animal welfare than the general population. I expect an imminent *massive* increase in funding for farmed animal welfare
Alex Turner@Turn_Trout

Gotta say, I was disturbed by @invisibleai's booth at #NeurIPS. Employees dressed as cows advertising how they use AI to optimize factory farming (a torture facility for cows). Bad taste

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