seekingvalue

304 posts

seekingvalue

seekingvalue

@seekingvalue2

It's not whether you're right or wrong that's important, but how much money you make when you're right and how much you lose when you're wrong.

United States เข้าร่วม Ocak 2026
184 กำลังติดตาม94 ผู้ติดตาม
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seekingvalue
seekingvalue@seekingvalue2·
TL:DR - mgmt/board spent over half a BILLION dollars over 8 quarters to add $24m of Net New ARR?? Over the course of 2024+2025, company has spent ~$1.2B in OPEX. If you assume half of the investment (~$600M) was allocated to growing Net New ARR, what does management have to show for it? ARR as of 2023: $806M ARR guide Q1'26: $830M (down $10m q/q) Net New ARR: +$24M
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seekingvalue@seekingvalue2·
Just another example of how mismanaged $RPD vs peers, how is the board allowing this? $S $CRWD $OKTA $ZS $PANW $NET $TENB $QLYS SentinelOne: $1.2B Revenue guide (20% y/y), $26m of Advertising spend in '25 Rapid7: $840m Revenue guide (-2% y/y), $24m of Advertising spend in '25
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seekingvalue
seekingvalue@seekingvalue2·
@GergelyOrosz Why would someone (Director level or any title really) be told to make cuts without context? Makes 0 sense
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seekingvalue@seekingvalue2·
@alexrkonrad just look at Anthropic's growth curve....not rocket science as to why!
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Alex Konrad
Alex Konrad@alexrkonrad·
Is it just me or is OpenAI making a lot more acquisitions suddenly? Jan 12: Torch Feb 15: OpenClaw March 9: Promptfoo March 19: Astral
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seekingvalue
seekingvalue@seekingvalue2·
Great take by Jensen & where I think the market is missing the mark. Companies that are laying off aggressively are effectively running the PE playbook (margins>growth) However, A+ mgmt teams will leverage AI to accelerate hiring and do more with more. x.com/Ric_RTP/status…
Ricardo@Ric_RTP

Jensen Huang just called out every CEO who’s been firing people “because of AI.” Jim Cramer asked him why companies are laying people off if AI is supposed to make everyone MORE productive. Jensen's answer: "For companies with imagination, you will do more with more. For companies where the leadership is just out of ideas, they have nothing else to do. They have no reason to imagine greater than they are. When they have more capability, they don't do more." Read that again. The man who built the most important tech company on Earth just told you that if your CEO is using AI to cut headcount, it means one thing: They have no imagination. They have no vision for what comes next. They got handed the most powerful tool in human history and their FIRST instinct was to fire people. This is the CEO of NVIDIA. The company whose chips power every AI system on the planet. If anyone on Earth has the right to say "AI replaces workers," it's Jensen Huang. And he said the OPPOSITE. He said every carpenter could become an architect. Every plumber could become an architect. AI elevates capability. It doesn't eliminate it. But here's where it gets really interesting... During the same interview, Jensen revealed something nobody's talking about: He said AI startups like OpenAI and Anthropic are seeing their revenues increase by one to two billion dollars a WEEK. And he wishes these companies were public so the world could see what he sees. One to two billion per week. That's a $50 to $100 BILLION annualized run rate. For companies that most people think are burning cash and making nothing. The entire Wall Street narrative that "AI companies aren't profitable" might be completely wrong. Jensen sees their numbers. He sees their compute orders. He sees their growth. And he's saying the revenue is real. So if the money IS real, why are other companies firing people? Because they're not building AI products. They're not creating new revenue streams. They're not using AI to expand into new markets. They're using AI as an EXCUSE to cut costs because they ran out of ideas 3 years ago and need something to tell the board. Jensen's company added $500 billion in new orders in 5 months. He expects $1 trillion in cumulative revenue through 2027 from just two product lines. That number doesn't include the new chips, systems, or partnerships announced this week. And he's not cutting people. He's hiring. Because when you have imagination, more capability means MORE opportunity. Not less headcount. Meanwhile Salesforce cut thousands. Meta cut thousands. Amazon cut thousands. All blaming "AI efficiency." Jensen's response: You're out of imagination. He also said something that stuck with me. Cramer asked if he ever thought he'd build a $10 to $20 trillion company while waiting tables at Denny's. His answer: "I was just trying to make it through the shift." Biggest tip he ever got? Two, three dollars. Now he's building tech that increased computing demand by one million times in two years. He announced OpenClaw, which he says is as big as ChatGPT. And he's got 21 months of new business that isn't even counted in the trillion dollar figure yet. When asked how long he plans to keep working? "I'm hoping to die on the job. And I'm not hoping to die anytime soon." This is a man who believes every single thing he's building. And his message to every CEO using AI to justify layoffs is simple... You're not innovating. You're surrendering. The technology wasn't built to shrink companies. It was built to make them limitless. If your leadership can't see that, the problem isn't AI. It's THEM.

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seekingvalue
seekingvalue@seekingvalue2·
Surprised the $OS OneStream & HG Capital deal hasn't re-traded to ~6-7x (at $24 = 8x NTM Rev). Guess this bodes well for Anaplan's pending IPO prnewswire.com/news-releases/…
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seekingvalue@seekingvalue2·
To my technical junkies out there, with $CFLT deal now closed, to what extent would $GTLB Gitlab benefit/accelerate IBM's open source strategic priorities? Is there real synergy potential with RedHat, HashiCorp & Confluent bundled under one roof? $IBM $ESTC $DT $SNOW
Eric Vishria@ericvishria

With the IBM’s $11B acquisition of Confluent officially closing, I want to say congrats to the entire team for navigating the tricky course from open source Kafka support to open core to single-tenant cloud to multi-tenant cloud and all the ensuing GTM changes along the way and 5 (chaotic) years as a public co. The company relentlessly built >$1B business (actual revenue not last wk x 52 :-)) under the incredible leadership of @jaykreps and fantastic execution from the team. On a personal note I've been lucky enough to serve on the board from Day 1 to Day End through our investment @benchmark. It was my first investment and I learned so much along the way. Thank you to Jay, @nehanarkhede and @junrao for choosing to work with us in 2014 and the adventure along the way!

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seekingvalue
seekingvalue@seekingvalue2·
Are we one Nikola $SPAC implosion away from top ticking the market? $TSLA
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seekingvalue
seekingvalue@seekingvalue2·
$GTLB Gitlab 10k dropped and surprised to see that Europe is a drag on growth: +18% in FY 26 vs US at 27% y/y and APAC represents a small fraction of total biz (~2% of total rev). So much opportunity internationally! @bstaples need your thoughts here...
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seekingvalue@seekingvalue2·
Qualtrics debt down to 86 cents on the dollar?! With $2b+ sticky enterprise ARR, no way the company is worth below the debt balance. Were most of these loans structured as unsecured?
junkbondinvestor@junkbondinvest

Unsurprising: JPM just pulled the Qualtrics deal. $5.3B in debt that’s hung Existing loan trading at 86 cents. Was par in February. Banks committed to the financing in October. Software credit is now too toxic for the syndicated market.

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seekingvalue@seekingvalue2·
@P_Remarks At some point, we just need to start calling up activist funds and pitching this idea. Tweets = 0 seat the table. Jana, Elliot, Corvex, Sachem Head....who else should we include on the distribution list? cc @BATMongoose
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