
Every prediction market has the same problem. Who decides the truth?
A committee. A vote. An oracle run by people with opinions and incentives.
Weather has none of that.
A storm either makes landfall or it does not. The temperature either hits 95 or it does not. Rain either falls or it does not. No one can lobby the sky. No one can bribe the wind.
The atmosphere is the only oracle that cannot be corrupted.
Long rain. Short sunshine.

English

