This and preventing teams from getting top 3 picks back to back years or more than 2 out of 3 years, etc would also help.
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DraftLabs.ai
43 posts
This is pretty solid.
I’m confident all of the bottom teams could have found their way to 22 wins this year if there was an incentive to do so.
BKN 85@brooklynnets85
Unflatten the odds Only give the bottom 3-4 teams a shot at first pick BUT Put in the condition that you have to win 22 games to be qualified for first pick Feel like that solves almost every issue No point for 6-14 to tank 1-3 can strategically lose but but they still have to try hard to get to the floor
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The NBA's lottery problem is actually two different problems and they keep trying to solve both at once.
Reward losing = talent reaches the worst teams. Tanking is just franchises responding rationally to that incentive.
Break the losing/draft link = no more tanking. But now small market rebuilds have almost no path back to contention.
I'm not sure you can have both. Three proposals with flattened odds and win floors just means the league still hasn't decided what it actually values more.
Shams Charania@ShamsCharania
The NBA presented three comprehensive anti-tanking concepts to its Board of Governors on Wednesday, with modifications expected to each before a formal vote in May, per ESPN sources. 1. 18 teams in draft lottery (seeds 7-15 in each conference) – flattened odds, with bottom 10 teams having an 8% chance, the remaining 20% odds distributed in decreasing order for 11 through 18, and and a lottery drawing for all 18 picks. 2) 22 teams in lottery using 2-year record (seeds 7-15, plus the four playoff first round exits in both conferences). Lottery teams would reach a minimum win total floor in each season, such as 25 wins. If a team falls short of the floor, it gets slotted to meet the floor. Top 4 drawn as part of lottery, as is currently. 3) 18 teams in a "5 by 5" lottery – bottom 5 teams have equal odds for the top pick, with lottery formed for picks 1-5. Bottom 5 teams have a floor at 10; those that fall out of top 5 get sorted in a separate drawing.
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Running the sim at DraftLabs, I went with no trades, and the board fell in a way that had Ty Simpson sliding all the way out of the first round!
Check out the full breakdown below 👇
Your turn. Get on DraftLabs, run a sim, and post your results. Can you find a home for Simpson in R1 with no trades? draftlabs.ai
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These games have a chance to be truly special in the tanking race. Brooklyn playing in 3 of the 4 is probably not ideal for their lottery odds.
Thursday, March 26 - Washington Wizards @ Utah Jazz 9:00 PM
Sunday, March 29 - Sacramento Kings @ Brooklyn Nets 6:00 PM
Sunday, April 5 - Washington Wizards @ Brooklyn Nets 3:30 PM
Thursday, April 9 - Indiana Pacers @ Brooklyn Nets 7:30 PM
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Simpson at 3 is bold -- most sims have him sliding closer to the back half of round 1. Sadiq top 10 is interesting given his athletic profile, but would be a bit surprised to see him go top 10 in the draft when neither Bowers or Warren did.
Run a sim yourself on DraftLabs and see where they land --> draftlabs.ai
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In his third mock of the 2026 NFL Draft, Charles Davis sees QB Ty Simpson hitting the top three and TE Kenyon Sadiq nearly cracking the top 10. Check out the full Round 1 projection, 1-32.
nfl.com/news/charles-d…
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Simpson at 3 is bold -- most sims have him sliding closer to the back half of round 1. Sadiq top 10 is interesting given his athletic profile, but would be a bit surprised to see him go top 10 in the draft when neither Bowers or Warren did the last 2 years.
Run a sim yourself on DraftLabs and see where they land --> draftlabs.ai
NFL Draft@NFLDraft
In his third mock of the 2026 NFL Draft, Charles Davis sees QB Ty Simpson hitting the top three and TE Kenyon Sadiq nearly cracking the top 10. Check out the full Round 1 projection, 1-32. nfl.com/news/charles-d…
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@espn @FieldYates DT is one of the stronger position groups for the Jets, would be pretty surprised if they took one in R1 or 2.
Running the sim at DraftLabs, I think there are bigger needs they can fill in R2 (LB, IOL, WR, CB and Edge)
draftlabs.ai
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Jeremiyah Love to the Commanders? 👀
@FieldYates' latest NFL mock draft is here 👇 spr.ly/6010B6bYT6
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Indiana knowing a few wins down the stretch won’t move them out of the lottery top 3.
DraftLabs.ai@DraftLabsAI
@BillSimmons Indiana has no incentive to have the worst record, they just need to be bottom 3 where they'll have the same lottery odds. 52% chance of top 4, 48% chance of losing their pick to the Clippers.
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@ChiefWazzou @DonnyJackson975 @BillSimmons The lottery doesn't push you down sequentially — it draws 4 specific slots randomly, and you slot in 5-14 after that.
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Neither team will blink - just an epic battle brewing here
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@DraftLabsAI @BillSimmons You have a complete misunderstanding of their position.
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If the Nets lose to the Kings today, it becomes pretty likely the Nets, Pacers, and Wizards will be the bottom 3 teams in some order with the best lottery odds.
DraftLabs.ai@DraftLabsAI
@BillSimmons Indiana has no incentive to have the worst record, they just need to be bottom 3 where they'll have the same lottery odds. 52% chance of top 4, 48% chance of losing their pick to the Clippers.
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OSU and Miami combine for 8 players in our DraftLabs top 30 alone.
The wild part? Run the sim and Ohio State prospects keep landing all over the first round — at completely different spots depending on which team is on the clock.
See where they land in YOUR mock → draftlabs.ai 🏈
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Which schools are contributing the most premium talent to the 2026 NFL Draft? After combing through the top prospects, @BuckyBrooks spotlights eight football factories.
nfl.com/news/2026-nfl-…
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3 players. Pick one for each:
📈 Goes HIGHER than expected
📉 Goes LOWER than expected
🎲 The wildcard — nobody knows
A) Ty Simpson – QB, Alabama
B) Jeremiyah Love – RB, Notre Dame
C) Rueben Bain Jr. – EDGE, Miami
Drop your answers below ⬇️ Then go run the sim and see where they actually land → draftlabs.ai 🏈
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@NFL @BuckyBrooks Mendoza or Simpson, but fine with a later round dart throw on the others. We have Allar ahead of Beck on our board: draftlabs.ai/prospects
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Rank these 5 in order for the NFL Draft:
1️⃣ Fernando Mendoza
2️⃣ Arvell Reese
3️⃣ Jeremiyah Love
4️⃣ Sonny Styles
5️⃣ David Bailey
Drop your order below ⬇️ — then go prove it in a sim.
draftlabs.ai (free, unlimited mocks) 🏈
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@PGATout Very creative! How would you handle all of the existing draft picks that have been traded or have protections out to 2032?
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The Wizards trading for Trae Young + AD and benching them both for the rest of the season is a blatant sign that the NBA Lottery system has failed to stop tanking.
I came up with a solution to fix it:
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Most creative anti-tanking solution I've seen yet for the NBA!
John Haslbauer@PGATout
The Wizards trading for Trae Young + AD and benching them both for the rest of the season is a blatant sign that the NBA Lottery system has failed to stop tanking. I came up with a solution to fix it:
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@ConnorJRogers @NBCSports @ConnorJRogers great stuff! This would be a homerun for Jets fans. Any chance you see a top 5 team trading up for #2 to take Love?
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My post-free agency, predictive mock draft for @NBCSports
(including the Broncos/Dolphins trade!)
nbcsports.com/nfl/news/2026-…
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