The Chief
2.9K posts
@KirkEvans0 How are you calculating xROI?
Price bet vs close or price bet vs your number?
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Last two weeks XROI: 7%, real ROI -32%. Thinking about starting to pray to god, taking suggestions for which one works the best.
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@robpizzola @WillieBeakman @JeffNadu The NFL guys were wrecked 106-44 across the three games and the flag guys were never stopped outside of kneeldowns. They scored every possession.
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Beak, I'm always down to dance on Knish's grave, you know that. But you're victory-lapping a game where Logan Paul was on the roster and Brady's learning to pull flags off guys two days before kickoff. The final was 24-14 after a few hours of figuring it out. Team USA's own coach said once the NFL guys learn the game they're in trouble.
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Nvm I found it
🥱
Atleast @JeffNadu has critical thinking skills.
The Beak@WillieBeakman
Hey @JackMac …..I know it’s March Madness so I won’t bother you much. But can we get the videos of the circle offs crew that were saying “there’s no way NFL players lose to Team USA 🇺🇸 in flag football…… There getting fucking boat raced right now on Fox. @JoeyKnish22
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@travisyost Harden is 6’5 and a solid 220. His steal rate as a freshman was 4.1% and rebounding rate was respectable.
Acuff is a generous 6’3 190. His rebounding rate is horrific and his steal rate is the worst on his team at a pathetic 1.3%.
He’s going to be unplayable on defense.
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James Harden was at Arizona State when I was. Obviously unguardable in college. “Not great defensively” was the knock. OK.
He remained unguardable and has had an insane career. And honestly, that’s who Acuff reminds me of.
Disclaimer I hate NCAABB, have seen maybe 6 games
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Someone just ripped Brooks to win The Masters for 130k after he made 3 birdies in a row at the Valspar.
Trust your eyes! (I was not the counterparty here, I like the trade but am concerned he doesn't use a yardage book)
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@InsideSportsNet @adplacksports Everyone and their model is having a good week though. Outside Morikawa 14 of the Top 20 in betting odds are inside the Top 30.
17 of the 26 players above 7% ownership in DFS are inside the Top 30!
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We just launched our projection model this season as part of our new-and-improved Insider Sheet, and we're already seeing incredible results
This kind of accuracy across all salary tiers shows the power of our data-driven approach
Come join us! @adplacksports Valspar Championship preview podcast is already posted!
insidesportsnetwork.com
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Our ISN model is absolutely crushing it at The Players Championship!
9 of our top 20 value plays are sitting in the top 20 standings after three rounds.
Let's break down the model and DFS Value plays 🧵
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not saying it’s the same thing but remember when Matt Flynn parlayed some splashy backup QB performances in Green Bay into a 30 mil contract?
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@Josh_Segal8 @InsideSportsNet How about threads not obviously written by AI.
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Some interesting stat nuggets for Players Championship week
Let us know what other information you want from us @InsideSportsNet
Inside Sports Network@InsideSportsNet
Players Championship Preview 🧵 The biggest non-major of the year on the PGA Tour! TPC Sawgrass is a BALL-STRIKING tournament. Recent form > course history & Accuracy > distance OTT. Here's everything you need to know this week and the statistics that stand out 👇
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@Marcus_Mosher The QB play was rough?!?
Sayin was the highest graded QB in the country by PFF. He completed 77% of his passes. What are we doing here?
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This is why I'm so bullish on Carnell Tate. The QB play last season was rough.
But besides that, you can see how easily he moves for a player of his size.
Jacob Gibbs@jagibbs_23
Just getting started with the Carnell Tate experience... two games in... but I have a guess as to why his production profile is underwhelming lol 1. obvious target competition 2. this is the qb play?
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@Freerolls_DFS Used and disposed of at the drop of a hat. Working holidays and Christmas is nothing to be proud of when you have no stake in the company.
Don’t love the job bc it won’t love you back.
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Insane culture shift at UD…
Read his piece (sub him too) and think about what he put in there (he undersells it).
He was essential to their growth and is out the door to cut costs?
Businesses used to be afraid to do layoffs like this (and still are in most other countries).
Brendan Tuma@toomuchtuma
This past Friday, I was part of the layoffs at Underdog. I wrote about my journey to landing that dream job. And also what comes next:
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@JoshACarpenter @SBJ Pretty poor number to be even with last year when the Big Data + Panel is juicing all the other sports ratings to the moon.
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PGA Tour viewership: 2.514M for Nico Echavarria’s win Sunday at the Cognizant Classic on NBC (Big Data + Panel).
Last year: 2.510M for Joe Highsmith (panel only).
NBC averaged 1.852M for the weekend. Washout on Saturday didn’t help
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I had Greenard as a cut candidate so not a huge surprise but pretty incredible that a team with a QB on a rookie contract is even forced to get rid of a productive edge rusher like this for cap reasons. Had a really good 17% pressure rate last year but was unlucky from a sack conversion perspective. There has to be interested tms in the trade market
Adam Schefter@AdamSchefter
Vikings are now open to trading Pro Bowl edge rusher Jonathan Geeenard, per sources. They would like to keep Greenard, but they also have salary cap issues they’re working through that have led to these trade conversations.
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@Clevta Freeling not a good run blocker and only had one season of good pass blocking, even then his PFF grade on True Pass sets was only 74.
Membou much better production and was an elite run blocker his draft season and only gave up 3 pressures in TPS.
Freeling high bust rate IMO.
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@matt_gannon_ This course has very strongly favored accuracy over distance the last two years. The leaderboards are just littered with accurate fairway finders who can spike approach.
Distance has not mattered whatsoever.
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arnold palmer invitational thread 🐻⛳️
bermuda szn continues at one of the best non-majors on the schedule.
bay hill.
thick rough.
firm greens.
distance matters.
and if they commit to carnage… it gets real.
boots report will confirm 👀🥾
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4th runner-up in the last 5 weeks. Each-way helps soften the blow.
Thank god Gotterup found a W during this streak of near misses.
Congrats to the Nico backers!
Eric Patterson@EPatGolf
Cognizant Gerard 20 Keefer 50 Tom Kim 110* Ghim 110* Brennan 125* Grillo 140* Smotherman 350* *with top-3 each way
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@JoeyKnish22 Zach Lowe not watching the Olympic hockey games or having an opinion on Darryn Peterson…come on. Bill was dying to go in depth on each for 30 min. Russillo would have obliged.
Lose-lose because Lowe’s solo pod is way better than Russillo’s but he’s worse with Simmons.
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When Simmons dropped the “Jimmy Harden” line from last nights pod I spit out my drink of water.
Also the LeBron GSW theory is so good.
Guy is on an absolute podcast heater. If we could swap Lowe and Rusillo these last few weeks would be Hall of Fame NBA pods.
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@rBillSimmonsPod It’s a great pod if you love just NBA. Lowe is better than Russillo that way.
The Simmons/Russillo chemistry on side tangents and general commentary were what made the pod and something that hasn’t isn’t currently in the space.
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Thoughts?
Is no Russillo on Sundays threatening the re-apex??
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@adplacksports @natewilm There’s no strategy whatsoever off the tee. The separation between good and bad players here is very low. You want courses that give the player thought on every shot.
You want to reward good shots and penalize bad ones. This course just don’t do that.
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@ChiefWazzou @natewilm i dont know who you are arguing with im pretty on the record about distance being super important, but thats not why Scottie Tiger and Jack have never won here lol
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