PolyArbiter

We built the cleanest BTC Up/Down bot on Polymarket. ⁠ We engineered the entire stack from scratch around one principle: never bet on outcomes, only capture mispricings. ⁠ How it works: When YES + NO sums to less than $1.00 on Polymarket’s 15-min BTC market, the engine fires both sides atomically via Jito bundles. Total cost: $0.97. At resolution, one side always pays $1.00. Locked profit: 3 cents per dollar deployed. ⁠ BTC’s direction is irrelevant. The math already paid. ⁠ We don’t predict. We capture. ⁠ Architecture: - Yellowstone gRPC at 1-5ms orderbook latency - Jito atomic bundles, both legs fill or neither does - 91ms median detection-to-fill 97.8% fill rate over 30 days - Auto-hedge engine for partial fills in 4.2s How to plug in: 1.Sign up at PolyArb (link in bio) 2.Copy PolyArb dedicated RPC URL from the dashboard 3. Open @jup_predict on Solana 4.Paste the RPC into Settings → Custom RPC 5.Activate the BTC Up/Down module Free to use. Profit-share only. No subscription. No upfront cost.

@recogard 😉🤍

@PolyArbiter Glad I plugged in when I did 😉 x.com/recogard/statu…

@slash1sol 🪄

@PolyArbiter My wallet is a bloodbath and this one tab is just… green. surreal feeling keep building 🤝

Throttles. The engine sizes to available depth, not to a fixed target so during the cascade it took smaller positions rather than eating slippage. The trade-off is real: we left some spread on the table on the deepest mispricings because the book couldn’t support full size. But zero failed legs and sub-1% drawdown across the week was the priority. Glad it held up on your end 🙏🏼

@PolyArbiter Does the engine throttle position sizing when orderbook depth thins out during a liquidation cascade, or does it maintain target size and accept wider slippage? Either way, this has been the cleanest week I’ve had on any venue. Solid build.

@sh1bvm1 The +18% median is across 740 wallets, not our personal P&L. Profit-share exists so we only get paid when users make money. Different model from subscriptions for a reason.

@PolyArbiter LOL you made maybe $2k in a month and you’re calling it the best designed algo on Polymarket…? That’s rich! Or perhaps better put, not rich at all… no wonder you’re attempting to lease out your “money printer” for profit-sharing… what a joke!

One month ago we shipped the most powerful BTC Up/Down bot in the market. Free to use, profit-share only. It’s been printing ever since. The mechanic: when YES + NO sums below $1.00 on Polymarket’s 15-min BTC market, the engine fires both legs atomically. Both land in the same Solana block or neither does. One side always settles at $1.00. Profit is locked the instant the legs fill before the market even moves. You plug in once. The engine does the rest. How to connect: 1.Sign up at PolyArb (link in bio) 2.Copy your dedicated RPC URL 3. Open @jup_predict on Solana 4.Paste into Settings → Custom RPC 5.Activate the BTC Up/Down module 5 minutes. That’s the whole setup. Nothing else executes BTC Up/Down like this.

@cryptobullying 😂

@PolyArbiter the absence of marketing budget + month 1 of green wallets = product-market fit 😂

@0xCristal Best stack in crypto right now. Boring on purpose 🥱🤝

@PolyArbiter Jupiter × Polymarket on Solana is the best product combo in crypto right now. Add PolyArb on top and it prints 🥱

@kaivornxbt That’s the entire thesis. Prediction is variance. Capture is math. Glad you’re on the right side of it 🤝

@slash1sol That’s not adjustment to luck. That’s adjustment to math working 🪄

Scheduled CLOB maintenace tomorrow, May 27 at 12:10 UTC. - Intermittent trading for ~5-10 min during the window. - Brief post-only mode after restart (~2 min) before normal matching resumes. Stay updated, subscribe at status.polymarket.com

@parlettodotbet @jup_predict When profit locks at fill, outcomes cluster around the median instead of fanning out more wallets doesn’t widen the distribution, it just confirms it 👌🏻

@PolyArbiter @jup_predict nice median spread with that wallet count

@3jack23 @jup_predict 97.6% fill on $40K size is solid depth-aware slicing holds up well at that capital. Glad the numbers line up on your end 🙏🏻

@PolyArbiter @jup_predict running $40K since launch. 30-day P&L lines up with the +18.2% median fill rate on my end: 97.6% 🤝

@polybacktest @jup_predict 👀

@PolyArbiter @jup_predict Gotta backtest this 👀

@5aigdo @jup_predict Usually one mispricing sliced into multiple fills (depth limits prevent firing the full size at once). Sometimes it’s distinct events back-to-back windows opening with their own mispricings. Check the market IDs in your fill history to tell them apart

@PolyArbiter @jup_predict Hi team plugged in monday. love the product… one question when the engine fires multiple captures back to back, is it spotting one big mispricing or several smaller ones?

@connorcrd @jup_predict Agreed it’s the stat that actually matters. Returns get the attention, but drawdown tells you whether the execution holds. 1.3% over 30 days means the atomic legs are landing clean

@PolyArbiter @jup_predict 1.3% max drawdown over 30 days is the stat that should be going viral

@RetroChainer @jup_predict That’s what removing the prediction looks like 😉

@0xCristal @0xwhrrari @jup_predict Locked at fill. Settlement just delivers what’s already yours 🤝

@PolyArbiter @0xwhrrari @jup_predict locked profit at every fill

@kaivornxbt @jup_predict 🤝

@recogard @jup_predict That’s the design. Median is median because most wallets cluster tight around it atomic execution keeps variance low across the board 🤝

@PolyArbiter @jup_predict +17.4% on my wallet matches the median almost exactly 🪄

@slash1sol The math doesn’t lie. We’re building 🤝