Ben Eskew

If Georgia Republicans really wanted to, they could pass this map which would make the Georgia house delegation (11 R🔴 3 D🔵) instead of (9 R🔴 5 D🔵) for a net gain of (🔴+2). This map could help President Trump and Republicans maintain the House, and help his agenda get passed for the last 2 years of his term. @GovKemp, you should call a special session to adopt my map proposal.

I predict 2026 is going to be a reverse of 2022 for Republicans and here’s why: Democrats have been talking about a ‘blue wave,’ but that certainly does not seem to be the case. In 2018, during the first Trump midterm where Democrats had sort of a blue wave, voter registration was much better for Democrats in many states, (see table), they were making gains in some states such as Arizona. Now, the Republicans have the largest voter registration advantage in the state’s history. Democrats made gains in some states from 2016 to 2018. The party out of power should make gains in voter registration for a midterm election, and they are basically making none. Nearly every state is redder in voter registration compared to 2018, and even 2024. Arizona has gone from 🔴R +3.6 to 🔴 R+ 7.5. And Florida, has gone from 🔵D +2.6 to a whopping 🔴 R 11.2. @RealSKeshel

After the TPAction event, here are what the most recent Arizona and Nevada registration maps look like

West Miami City Commissioner Board Seat 1 >95% Reported: 🔴 Gus Ceballos – 973 (74.6%) 🔵 George Lavin – 331 (25.4%) Trump won West Miami by 31 points in 2024, so this is on track for an 18 point overperformance for Republicans.

Nevada Jan-March Party registration update Per @Five_Starrr Net: 🔴 R+4,602 Overall Lead: 🔴 R+7,218

Mainstream media is trying to cope with the fact that the environmentalists lost in the biggest turnout for one of the deepest blue territories in Arizona. Kamala Harris won the SRP Voting footprint with approximately 57% of the vote, 16 points over Trump. Democrat Sandra Kennedy 🔵 lost SRP by almost this same amount to Chris Dobson 🔴 — 58-42– that is a huge 30+ point swing and over performance by Republican voters in the most metropolitan area of Arizona. In SRP district 6, literally one of the Kamala won by 37 points (68-31), but the environmentalists underperformed that by 20+points for this election in 6. This brings up a massive problem that most voters aren’t aware of— Democrats know they had clear voter advantage in SRP, and luckily still lost majorly in recent years given the voter dynamics. It should serve as a wake up call to ratepayers who are dependent on a now heavily democrat filled district to determine a much larger service area for water and electric policy. Many voters who are SRP customers that we talked to are dismayed as they discovered for the first time this year they are paying their hard earned dollars for utilities without any representation on the SRP board. This is a major problem that needs to be fixed— as it has been ignored largely because the Phoenix metro area historically was politically pretty balanced with farmland in the SRP voting footprint, but now it is not.

8. 1916 AZ - .076% (43 votes) George Hunt (D) was elected AZ’s first Gov in 1912. His 2nd reelection (to a 3rd 2-year term) in ‘16 was a tight one after disruptions caused by the Mexican Revolution tanked his popularity. His opponent Thomas Campbell was initially declared the winner by 30 votes, but Hunt sued and eventually won after a recount (by 43 votes) - nearly a year into Campbell’s term Hunt then declined to run for reelection in ‘18 and was succeeded by Campbell. He ran again in ‘22, won 3 more terms, was defeated in ‘28, won again in ‘30 and finally lost renomination in ‘32. He died in ‘34.

CNN: Dems in a weaker position than 2006 or 2018 in the Generic ballot Generic Ballot Leads At This Point: 2006: 🔵 D+11 2018: 🔵 D+8 2026: 🔵 D+5

Arizona Change in Party Reg, Mar-Apr 2026 D+2,881*** *Until next SoS update, I can only read Maricopa and Pima, where both parties are gaining ahead of primaries. Very clear Dems have a major voter registration effort underway to still be outpacing. Normally shifts this large are because the other party is losing registrations. *the other 13 counties have had consistent R leans for 5 years every update, so if we had them, the Dem gain statewide would be much less.*** *AZ sits +28,652 R of where it was in Nov 2024, and nearly double the lead at the time of the 2022 midterms, but the party needs to get moving in the urban areas that make up 3/4 of the vote.

Florida Change in Party Reg, Mar-Apr 2026 R+4,964 *both parties gaining ahead of primary *Duval bellwether (Georgia mirror) shifting R - now just D+0.8% *Florida aligns with presidential shift in PA/MI since 1952 (except 2020 quasi election, of course) Florida now +386,595 R since 2024 election. Yanks need to start moving to GA or PA

There’s never a dull moment trying to secure Georgia elections. #HB 397 #SB 214 #HB 960 Meet @MariaGaudio — sounding the alarm from Fulton County’s crime scene at the Georgia Capitol. SINE DIE is here—and the fight for transparent, accountable elections is far from over. Garland Favorito @VoterGA #gapol

Arizona needs to put a measure on the ballot forcing the Secretary of State to resign to run for a higher office before it’s too Iate.

🚨🚨🚨BREAKING: CURRENT PROPOSED VA MAP VIA EV THESE ARE ESTIMATES Per current congressional map 🔴 310,702 + 19,031 🔵 254,413 + 14,873

Governor Katie Hobbs (D-AZ) won Arizona by 17,117 votes in 2022. Arizona had 434,088 duplicate registrations.

And Trump’s performance in the district is very similar to Schweikert’s in 2024.

**NC WEEKLY VOTER REG UPDATE** 3/21-3/28 Net🔴+746 Overall Lead🔴+10,060 Active Voter Lead🔴+116,543 The GOP has now eclipsed a 10k voter reg lead in NC! Wow! The hits keep coming for the Dems in North Carolina! 😮😮🔥🔥 x.com/Five_Starrr/st…