Chirag

@KobeissiLetter @KobeissiLetter What part of the playbook are we at now? the conflict playbook

Global oil markets are out of control: As the Iran War closes week 3, US oil prices are trading at $97/barrel, up +76% since December. Meanwhile, physical oil prices in Oman are up to a RECORD $167/barrel, a +72% PREMIUM. What is happening? Let us explain. (a thread)

@StockSavvyShay @StockSavvyShay Eagerly waiting for your post earnings thoughts and if it is a buy :)

Imagine being $MU CEO Sanjay Mehrotra right now: • You just generated $16B in operating profit this quarter after doing only $8B in revenue a year ago • Operating Margin 69% vs Est. 62% (nearly 7 points above what Wall Street modeled) • You guided revenue ~40% above expectations, guided to a record 81% margin, raised the dividend 30% & still trade at under 10x forward earnings Stock is down 5%.

@StockSavvyShay @fiscal_ai @StockSavvyShay Would you be a buyer at these levels?

This AI cycle is fundamentally different from every prior memory supercycle in $MU history. Past supercycles were driven by unit volume growth with more phones + servers buying largely commoditized DRAM but but this one is a capacity-constrained cycle where HBM sells at ~5x conventional DRAM ASPs. Hyperscalers are willing to pay whatever it takes because the real cost is leaving massive GPU clusters underutilized. That is how Micron ends up producing $16B of operating profit in a single quarter.

@StockSavvyShay @StockSavvyShay - What are your thoughts Shay on each of the allegations that they flagged.

$SOFI falls 6% after Muddy Waters discloses a short position and raises concerns over accounting and balance sheet transparency. The firm alleges aggressive marks, off-balance-sheet structures, dilution and at least $312M of unrecorded debt.

@SharkChart What about ACHR?

Next deep dive will be either $AMZN or $RIVN. Lmk what you prefer!!

@StockSavvyShay @StockSavvyShay What are your thoughts on ACHR? :) still see them succeeding long term? would love your views on that

$PLTR & $GE expanded their multi-year partnership with GE Aerospace using Palantir’s AIP across military aviation maintenance, supply chain & production. The system is designed to predict failures earlier, automate workflows & turn field data into faster supplier action.

@SpacBobby @grok is 90% margin factual considering current losses

$ASTS - So you’re telling me AST SpaceMobile’s revenues will more than 5x from $150-$200M in 2026 to $1B by 2027 with 90% margins

@StockSavvyShay @grok can you please summarize stocks and video

Stanley Druckenmiller sat down with Morgan Stanley to discuss how he’d build a portfolio from scratch today. He also explains why contrarianism is overrated and which stock he regrets selling too early.

@prospero_ai @grok what does that mean

🚨🚨ALERT🚨🚨 SPY & QQQ Net Options sentiment both just went to 0. What makes that significant is that we discovered Institutions were keeping a “forever hedge” that skewed our Net Ops numbers bearish. So for WEEKS, SPY has been at 0, but QQQ has been 4. Today they both dropped to 0. 🚨 Not sure if that’s significant…but we wanted you to be aware.

@StockSavvyShay This is well put together, i felt the same as well. Proud of all the work you do Shay and how honest you are! @StockSavvyShay

Dear Joe, I’m writing this as a shareholder who actually wanted to believe in $EOSE is building and who still believes the underlying problem you’re trying to solve is real, urgent & structurally important for the grid. But this quarter wasn’t just a bad print.. it genuinely was a complete trust break. Small-cap investing is like watching your house catch fire since you already know the risk going in but the only way you survive is if you trust the person guiding you to the front door. Once that trust is gone then you don’t just lose money but you burn with it. That’s what this quarter felt like. Reaffirming guidance deep into the quarter and then missing it by this much without pre-announcing tells me that you actually didn't know what was happening inside the factory or chose to stick with the story even as the numbers were falling apart. Both are bad. As CEO, that’s on you. What makes this harder to swallow is the timing since you raised roughly $600M late in the quarter and then turned around and delivered results that were nowhere close to what had been guided. Even if every operational issue you laid out is real then the sequence alone creates a governance problem. You can’t take fresh capital from the market while the quarter is blowing up and then act surprised after the fact. That destroys credibility. I heard the explanations of supplier issues, downtime way above expectations, automation not hitting quality targets, rework, utilization below plan. These are real problems but from the outside it looks like the manufacturing system still isn’t stable enough to support the confidence you projected publicly. You can’t ask investors to underwrite a scaling story when the engine is still sputtering. The frustrating part is that demand doesn’t look like the problem. You booked a lot of new orders, backlog grew and the pipeline is big and the tech actually matters. Long-duration, non-flammable zinc batteries solve a real gap that lithium-ion doesn’t since data centers run 24/7 but the grid wasn’t built for that. Eos sits right at the intersection of AI power demand and grid reliability which is why people believed in this story in the first place. But none of that matters if management credibility is impaired which is exactly what today’s stock action reflects. A 40% drawdown isn’t the market debating long-duration storage but it’s the market GRADING YOU JOE and saying it no longer trusts you on execution. I hope the company does turn it around. I hope the technology scales. I hope the mission succeeds. But as an investor, I already accept enough uncertainty from markets, supply chains and the normal fog of war but what I cannot accept is uncertainty layered with distrust of management communication. This quarter crossed that line and you should assume many shareholders feel the same.

$PATH is down after Anthropic acquired Vercept to accelerate Claude’s “computer use,” enabling multi-step task execution inside live applications. The market is reading this as incremental pressure on RPA/workflow automation as agentic AI pushes deeper into enterprise tooling.

@StockSavvyShay @StockSavvyShay Do you know why this is trending down today? Such strong results

$DOCN now up over 10% 😏

@TheLongInvest Yes it looks amazing! Feel confident about it! @TheLongInvest i think what is driving it down is trumps policy against health insurers

$OSCR Am I reading this correctly? Dec 2026 expected: FCF of $2.25 Billion Revenue $18.7 Billion Market Cap right now is $3.5 Billion

Great article! Which themes stocks do you feel benefiting the most @KobeissiLetter

@KobeissiLetter @grok based on reading this article which stocks themes you see performing the best

@KobeissiLetter @S3ttleD000wn What sectors themes do you see thriving? @KobeissiLetter

@S3ttleD000wn Humanity has always prevailed, AI will bring abundance unlike anything ever before.

Excellent read. Every technological revolution has led to productivity gains & a society that’s better off from an economical perspective. To say no impact would be ignorant, I have tough time seeing it as a “doomsday” to the jobs market.

@TheLongInvest This looks terrible

$HIMS Revenue Grew +59% YoY to $2.35 Billion Market Cap is $3.5 Billion.

@TheLongInvest The forecast is terrible

$HIMS Daily RSI is 8 Weekly RSI is 21 Earnings beat now out of the way Risk has reduced, time to start factoring in the acquisitions BOTTOM IS IN!!

@TheLongInvest Shit that doesnt look good v estimates

$HIMS $HIMS GUIDANCE FOR Q1 2026: Revenue of $600 million to $625 million. Adjusted EBITDA of $35 million to $55 million, reflecting an Adjusted EBITDA margin of 6% to 9%.

@StockSavvyShay Sorry to hear that sending you more power and love @StockSavvyShay

THE $500K LAWSUIT I NEVER SHOULD HAVE FACED Last summer I was served with a lawsuit claiming I had defrauded someone out of nearly $500,000 by convincing her to “invest” based on insider political contacts and penny stock tips. If you’ve followed me at all, you know how absurd that is. I don’t solicit money or run private WhatsApp groups and I don’t engage in insider trading. It quickly became clear this was an impersonation scam. Someone had used my name and face to gain trust, moved the conversation to an encrypted app like WhatsApp or Telegram and pressured this person into sending money. It’s the same scam playbook retail investors are warned about all the time but this time my identity was the costume. I initially thought the truth would end it quickly since I had never spoken to this person, never used the number involved and never received a dollar. I assumed basic investigation would make that obvious but what happened next was worse. Instead of treating this as a clear case of mistaken identity and using proper due diligence, opposing counsel pushed forward anyway and treated the lawsuit as leverage. I provided evidence that the number involved was not mine, that it was out of state, that there was no link to my devices, my accounts or my life. To top it off, when the number they were in communication with was called, someone named Kevin selling Walmart gift cards answered. The opposing council's response was essentially “we will proceed and see what we can find.” That is not how justice is supposed to work because lawsuits are not supposed to be fishing expeditions where you smear someone publicly first and decide later if facts exist. And then came the part that still stings. I was on my honeymoon when some fintwit trolls started circulating the lawsuit online, spinning it as “Shay is being sued for stealing money” and calling me a fraud. If you’ve ever been on the receiving end of a viral accusation then you know how powerless that feels. You can’t responsibly litigate an active case on social media and the louder the lie gets, the more silence starts to feel like guilt since it hijacked what should have been one of the happiest moments of my life. My wife and I were trying to celebrate a once-in-a-lifetime milestone while I watched my reputation get dragged in real time. I ultimately brought in serious representation because I was seeing how little truth actually mattered and was fortunate to be connected with Patrick and Jerry from Hawxhurst LLP. They immediately recognized the absurdity of the situation and they were able to shut this down and have the case dismissed in my favor within weeks. However, the “win” doesn’t erase what it cost. It cost more than my wedding and honeymoon combined. It put strain on the beginning of my marriage. It forced me to manage a crisis I didn’t create and it showed me how easily a public narrative can be weaponized when someone thinks they can pressure you into paying just to make noise go away. We like to think we live in a justice system but much of what people experience is a legal system and those are not the same thing. The truth in my case was never complicated. There was no evidence I did what I was accused of and there were obvious signs this was impersonation but once the machine is moving, truth alone doesn’t stop it since pain and reputational damage become the weapon. I truly feel so bad for my wife because she was the ultimate victim in this since this all bled into our wedding and our honeymoon where this period was supposed to be about us, about celebrating something rare and meaningful and instead there were days where my attention, my energy and my emotional bandwidth were pulled into stress, fear and damage control. Your wedding is supposed to be sacred and your honeymoon is supposed to be the exhale after years of building and pushing and sacrificing. I feel deep guilt about that because my wife did not sign up for this and she carried some of this weight with me simply because she loves me. That is the part that stays with you because you cannot rewind it and do it over. That loss is permanent and no court order can give that back to me. So even though the case is resolved and the truth is on the record, it does not sit right with me that the people who caused this get to walk away while I carry the cost in time, money, stress, and moments I will never get back. Being forced to spend your wedding and honeymoon dealing with a situation you did not create is not something you simply “move on” from. There is no real remedy for that kind of loss and that is the part that makes this feel so deeply unjust. I am looking seriously at all of my options right now (not out of revenge) but out of principle since the idea that someone can misuse the legal system, ignore basic facts, damage a person’s reputation and impose real emotional/financial harm with so little accountability does not sit right with me. I am still processing what this took from me and I am still figuring out what the right next step is but I know this much that being silent about it and simply absorbing the damage is not something I am comfortable with. I did nothing wrong and I do not believe that being the victim of something like this should come with the expectation that you quietly carry the cost while others walk away untouched.