Guy Miscampbell
830 posts

Guy Miscampbell
@guymiscampbell
Director @JLPartnersPolls | Climbing when I can | Formerly @educationgovuk @stackstrat @ukonward @wpi_economics @Policy_Exchange and others


Alarming story from @georginaquach: At one UK university, the scramble to attract lucrative international students to the new London campus saw thousands admitted without the necessary English or academic skills, widespread use of ghostwriters, and fraudulent attendance logging


NEW: GB voting intention The Green Party overtakes the Liberal Democrats, powered by university graduates REF 27% (-4) CON 20% (+1) LAB 20% (-3) GRN 14% (+5) LDEM 12% (-) OTH 8% (+2) Fieldwork: 2-5 March, 2,573 GB adults

Classic - ministers let students carry on importing relatives on particular course type, universities suddenly LOVING that course type


Bizarre editorial from @thetimes, whose leader writers seem increasingly scrambled by Reform. “The most promising unoccupied electoral space in British politics would combine a re-embrace of free market principles, while shunning populism in all of its economic and cultural forms.” Err? 🤨

Latest @JLPartnersPolls voting intention sees Reform reach their highest poll rating since September, following a wave of Conservative defections After losing momentum late last year, the party is back above 30%, signalling a renewed upward trend


Latest @JLPartnersPolls voting intention sees Reform reach their highest poll rating since September, following a wave of Conservative defections After losing momentum late last year, the party is back above 30%, signalling a renewed upward trend

(Models Available For Subscribers) Federal Polling: CPC: 42% (+1) LPC: 41% (-3) BQ: 7% (+1) NDP: 6% (-) GPC: 2% (+1) PPC: 1% (-) Others: 1% Mainstreet / Dec 12, 2025 / n=1043 / Online (% Change w 2025 Federal Election) Visit @338Canada for polling details: 338canada.com





Many congratulations to Canadian High Commissioner to the UK, @RalphGoodale, on receiving the Freedom of the City of London, in recognition of his exemplary record of public service. City of London Corporation Policy Chairman Chris Hayward said: "Ralph Goodale's extraordinary contribution to bilateral relations has seen trade and security co-operation flourish. My nomination reflects the profound gratitude felt across the City of London for a longstanding and trusted friend." @CanadianUK

Are the Conservatives once again succumbing to Tory syndrome? The recent criticism of Pierre Poilievre from within conservative circles has to be understood through the lens of a recurring condition on the Canadian Right: what political scientist George Perlin famously coined the “Tory syndrome.” It’s an enduring impulse—part psychological, part political—that leads Conservatives to question and doubt their own leaders even when they’re succeeding. The Tory syndrome has deep roots in our political history. It’s the nagging sense among Conservatives that being too forceful or too popular somehow betrays the party’s deeper sense of itself as the defender of order, restraint, and moderation. From Robert Stanfield to Erin O’Toole, Conservative leaders have often faced as much hostility from inside their own tent as from outside it. The result is a pattern of self-doubt and internal critique that can sap the party’s confidence at moments of opportunity. That dynamic is playing out again. While Poilievre has maintained support at or near record levels—polling roughly where the party stood at the time of April’s election call—Conservatives have spent the week debating his tone, his tactics, and even his temperament. If you didn’t know any better, you’d mistakenly think the party’s support was collapsing instead of actually being tied or leading several polls. Meanwhile, the governing Liberals have been busy reversing themselves on one major issue after another. The latest about-face on bail reform follows reversals on carbon taxes, Canada Post’s operations, and more. At this point, the Carney government’s most notable accomplishments involve undoing Trudeau-era policies that elected and non-elected Liberals were defending mere months ago. Yet one doesn’t get the sense that Liberals are subjecting themselves to any comparable self-recrimination. One could say that the Conservatives’ higher standards for themselves and their leaders are admirable. They reflect a seriousness about ideas and institutions that stands in contrast to the Liberals’ reflexive opportunism. But as a matter of politics, it’s hard to see how this kind of infighting advances the Conservative Party’s core goal of winning the next election. The merger that created the modern Conservative Party in 2003 was supposed to mark the end of these old Tory complexes. It was meant to produce a confident, united party that could compete for power on its own terms. The past week’s sniping and self-doubt suggest that the Tory syndrome still lingers and that Conservatives haven’t yet fully given up their historic tendency toward internecine politics.






I’m Spartacus. English Lit. Je ne regrette rien (sorry I do realise that’s French).


We asked 5,000 Young Brits what they care about. They back Conservative policies – just not the Conservative Party.

Very saddened to hear of the passing of Nigel Wright. In addition to his business and investment acumen, Nigel had a long life of public service and I remember all my times working with him with great fondness. My sympathies to all his friends and family. onex.com/article/2025Ne…



