Andrew_SH

@aleabitoreddit Brrr = good?

Just some TLDRs to save you time: 1. $ASML, $TSM earnings = Good Outlook. Semis + capex go brrr. 2. Opus 4.7 + Anthropic go brrr. Software = sad. 3. Samsung go brrr because of partly bc of $TSLA AI Chips. 4. $UMC = price hike for foundry. foundries go brrr. 5. Training = brrr in China. H100 rental increase go up. Neoclouds happy. 6. Helium supply shortage = not significant... I've already said this before, but I'm not sure how many times $TSM needs to say this. 7. MLCC, inductor prices = price hike. Will cover beneficiaries later. 8. "Taiwan's OSAT expansion could tighten global test capacity and raise costs" I went long on Taiwan OSATs recently like Shunsin (6451) for a reason. Demand will just outstrip supply, even after expansion. (cowos, sip, optical).

@JasonL_Capital +Poet

Nvidia invested $6B into photonics in March alone. The AI bottleneck isn't chips. It's moving data between them. 10 photonics stocks I'm watching: $AAOI - Applied Optoelectronics $LITE - Lumentum $COHR - Coherent $FN - Fabrinet $MTSI - MACOM Technology $CRDO - Credo Technology $LASR - nLight $AXTI - AXT Inc $MRVL - Marvell Technology $CIEN - Ciena NFA DYOR

@aleabitoreddit @Alex84Crypto I’m in the trade but the IV is now above 20% on the 55 December 27 OTMs. Does that mean it’s time to exit?

Up for you to decide based on risk management if you want to do the trade yourself (more ITM usually the safer it is). Just wanted to present my own macro thesis on power/grid as a long and that $XLU has low volatility given previous history. Just be really careful about spread with limit ordersif you go very OTM. Usually the lower strikes have a more normal ~14% IV given they're more liquid.

If I had to turn $100k -> $1M in 1 year. It would be: $XLU OTM 2 year leaps 2026 is the first time in modern history markets have: - falling interest rates - AI inference + buildout There's a potential ~40% for XLU (1000%+ OTM), from mapping. Here's my macro thesis: 1. Rate Cuts When the Fed cuts rates without a recession, utility debt becomes cheaper, and institutional rotates low-yielding cash to for utility dividends. This causes immediate valuation multiple expansion: 1995: The S&P Utilities sector returned +31.3% in 1995 and another +12.1% in 1996 - ~47% cumulative return 2019 Mid-Cycle Cut: Result: XLU generated a +25.9% total return in that single year Standard soft-landing rate-cut cycle naturally maps to a 25% to 30% baseline return. And we're entering a new rate cut cycle in 2026. 2. The Infrastructure Supercycle Capex Infra CapEx gives the sector compounding earnings growth. Following the early 2000s, utilities entered a massive CapEx cycle to modernize aging grid infrastructure. Because they were constantly spending and expanding their guaranteed rate base, XLU returned +23.5% in 2004, +16.3% in 2005, +20.8% in 2006, and +18.4% in 2007. However this time: The $800B+ AI buildout of 2026 makes the 2004 grid modernization look like pennies. So you have Valuation Multiple Expansion (+15% to +20%), from rate cuts from #1. EPS growth (+18% to +20%) from #2 from capex spend historically. Just from a history lesson. But 2026 is the most unique moment in history from AI usage. Just from my own model projections as all former estimates are likely wrong from extreme AI ramp (eg. DOE/LBNL projections): Hyperscaler CapEx Inflows (Spend) - (Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, Google, Oracle) into DCs est: 2024: $220 Billion 2025: $350 Billion 2026: $550 Billion 2027: $800 Billion 2028: $1.2 Trillion (Growth: +445% over 4 years) U.S. Data Center Power Usage: 2024: 190 TWh 2025: 280 TWh 2026: 430 TWh 2027: 650 TWh 2028: 980 TWh (Growth: +415% over 4 years) % of Total U.S. Electricity Consumed by AI: 2024: 4.5% of the U.S. grid 2025: 6.6% 2026: 8.2-10.2% 2027: 13.4-15.4% 2028: 21.3-23.3% Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory and the Department of Energy seem off by AI usage (they're projecting ~12% by 2028) Physical Grid Capacity Demand: 2024: 18 GW 2025: 35 GW 2026: 65 GW 2027: 105 GW 2028: 160 GW Basically you can just see 2026 into 2028 being the inflection point whereas 2024-2025 where slower years on the ramp up. Then there's the "Desperation Premium" for independent companies. Because grid capacity is sold out, tech giants are paying massive premiums to utilities to cut the line. eg. PJM Interconnection (Virginia "Data Center Alley"), capacity prices spiked from $28.92 per MW-day in 2024 to an unfathomable $329.17 per MW-day for 2026/2027. $VST or Constellation are a large weighting in the ETF as independent power producers. Across the board, you can see the extreme ramp from 2026 (now) into 2028 compared to previous years, alongside extreme capex going into building the infrastructure. 2026 is the first time in modern market history that every single thing is firing at the same time for the boring grid/power sector with AI as the biggest tailwind. And as Elon quotes it: "Billions of dollars of the most advanced hardware. Sitting dark. Not because the chips won't work. Because there's not enough electricity to run on them". Again 2026 is an absolute historical anomaly due to AI and MMs have priced in historical IV (extremely flat ~14%-16%) for OTM calls. We're seeing an explosion in AI inference (beyond previous measurements) as well as training (per OpenAI report today). So the most boring sector on earth (power/grid), might just be the start of a major rally due to hyperscaler/gov spend into grid improvements -> extreme power consumption from AI inference/training -> rate cuts and others. This is just my personal thesis, options come with risk and magnifies downside too. These are also my own projections, no certainty if they will exceed or be lower than them. But basically: 2026 is an absolute historical anomaly. New bottleneck in the US is power. There's extreme demand from AI, extreme capex, rate cuts: $XLU looks like the best trade for exposure. Time will tell if this is right or not.

@wliang + JFB

This is only the beginning. $ONDS $KRMN $RCAT $UMAC $KTOS And more.

@TheLongInvest Copper

Since Silver and Gold have gone parabolic and everyone is printing What’s your Safe Haven now if you missed these runs?

@thestockwhale BACQ

I've made you millions in 2025, and it's time to make you millions again. Here's the top stocks ready to make you rich (updated list daily): 1. NuScale Power $SMR 2. Oklo $OKLO 3. IREN Limited $IREN 4. Richtech Robotics $RR 5. Nextpower $NXT 6. Plug Power $PLUG 7. Eos Energy $EOSE 8. CleanSpark $CLSK 9. Joby Aviation $JOBY 10. Super Micro Computer $SMCI 11. Nebius Group $NBIS 12. Hims & Hers $HIMS 13. USA Rare Earth $USAR 14. IonQ $IONQ 15. Rigetti Computing $RGTI 16. Quantum Computing $QUBT 17. Archer Aviation $ACHR 18. RocketLab $RKLB All my buy and sell signals in Discord @ stockwhale.vip.

@InvestmentGuru_ Great list. You forgot Ouster. Also the private names: Apptronik, Figure Etc..

Robotics Sector on the Move- The robotics space is heating up with strong momentum across consumer robotics, industrial automation, AI-driven systems, and next-gen mobility. $SERV Developer of autonomous sidewalk delivery robots used for food and retail logistics in urban environments. $IRBT Leader in consumer robotics, best known for the Roomba platform. Focuses on home automation and smart cleaning technologies. $RR Provides humanoid and service robots for hospitality, retail, and commercial use cases, with growing traction in automation-as-a-service. $ARBE Specializes in 4D radar perception technology used for autonomous vehicles, robotics navigation, and advanced driver-assistance systems. $MBOT Develops micro-robotic surgical systems designed to enhance precision and reduce risk in minimally invasive procedures. $SYM A major player in warehouse automation, offering AI-powered robotic systems for inventory, sorting, and large-scale distribution centers. $TSLA Beyond EVs, Tesla is rapidly expanding in robotics with Optimus (humanoid robot) and its AI-driven manufacturing automation. $ROK One of the largest industrial automation companies globally, providing control systems, robotics, and software to factories worldwide. $TER A leader in robotics and semiconductor test equipment; owns Universal Robots and MiR, both major brands in collaborative robotics. $KITT Builds autonomous security robots (ASRs) for surveillance, patrol, and commercial/municipal safety applications. $ROBO An ETF offering diversified exposure to global robotics, automation, and AI companies across multiple industries. $BOTZ Another major ETF tracking top robotics and AI innovators, giving broad exposure to the sector’s fastest-growing names. The robotics sector is experiencing a strong synchronized rally — from consumer robots to industrial automation and autonomous systems. With AI accelerating adoption across every segment, this space continues to build major long-term momentum.

@StockSavvyShay BACQ better than value than ACHR imo

TOP 10 FAVORITE NAMES TRADING UNDER $10 1. $ONDS | Ondas 2. $NVTS | Navitas 3. $PRME | Prime Medicine 4. $ACHR | Archer Aviation 5. $PSNL | Personalis 6. $GRAB | Grab 7. $OPEN | Opendoor 8. $ENVX | Enovix 9. $RR | Richtech Robotics 10. $INDI | indie Semiconductor

@RealJGBanks Poet

Top 10 Sub-$10B Market Cap Names to Own $NVTS - Power semiconductors $ENVX - Advanced batteries $ACHR - eVTOL & defense aviation $RR - Robotics automation $SERV - Robotics services $INDI - Automotive AI semis $ONDS - Defense drones & comms $EOSE - Long-duration grid storage $TMDX - High-growth medical logistics $VKTX - Obesity drug momentum

Waiting for the day when BACQ rockets

“Our Bitcoin fund launched in 2013 and since then it’s grown at nearly an 80% CAGR for the life of the fund. You don’t really see a lot of assets that CAGR at 80% for over a decade.” - @cosmo_jiang That’s the context most people forget during pullbacks. Digital assets aren’t a one-cycle trade. They’re a long-duration trend. Pantera has lived through: • 4 bull markets • 3 bear markets Volatility isn’t new. Pullbacks aren’t new. But decade-long compounding at this magnitude is rare. A 30% reset doesn’t change the trajectory. For long-term investors, it can be the moment to start averaging in — slowly, deliberately, and with conviction. @CNBCTheExchange

@ShardiB2 He reduced uber by around 3% - would not call that headline news

He reduced a lot of tech here

@KobeissiLetter Didn’t they just IPO

BREAKING: StubHub stock, $STUB, falls over -20% after reporting Q3 2025 earnings and suspending guidance.

@investwithsheng So why are Wall Street institutions giving it $160 price targets?

You brought in too many 18 year olds in the trade, Wall Street says not so fast

@daniel_koss Love it!

My NEW $NBIS end of 2026 price target: $607 Bear l Base l Bull case scenarios and assumptions👇 Before you go through my numbers, please know I currently hold a large position in $NBIS, none of this is financial advice and you should do your own research! My assumptions: - I expect them to hit the mid-point of their 2025 guidance for this year -> $1B ARR. - I expect them to hit the mid-point of their 2026 guidance for next year -> $8B ARR. - I expect them to double again in 2027 -> $16B ARR. - I expect their end of 2026 EBITDA margin will be +20% - I value their stake in their subsidiaries at $10B by end of 2026. - I expect aggressive dilution, bringing the share count to around 300 million by the end of 2026. Still growing 100% year-over-year with 20% profit margins at that size is factually world-class. This is very important to pick informed ARR multiples. Bear Case - 12.5x ARR multiple - Market cap: $110B market cap - Share price: $367 - Upside: 250% Base Case - 21.5× ARR multiple - Market cap: $182B - Share price: $607 - Upside: 480% Bull Case - 35× ARR multiple - Market cap: $290B - Share price: $967 - Upside: 820% If you found this valuable, leave a like, share it with a friend, or comment if you think I got something wrong. I'm always up for a good debate. I have no affiliation with Nebius, just an excited investor sharing my research, hoping to create value for other investors, for free!

@genZinvest0r @babyfolio It would have been larger too but they could not accommodate

@babyfolio It's genuinely so bullish that people can't even comprehend it. I feel like noone is even processing the fact that we just signed a $3B contract with $META

Forget the price action for a second - are you bullish on $NBIS after this bombshell they dropped on us?

@EndicottInvests It does not mean 10% dilution. When you these file ATMs - you give yourself large latitude. It’s also done over time.

$NBIS "The Company will be putting in place an at-the-market (ATM) equity program for up to 25 million Class A shares, and plans to file a prospectus supplement for this program on November 12, 2025. Nebius will evaluate the program regularly based on its capital needs. The program enables the Company to access equity funding on an efficient ongoing basis; however, it will remain dilution-sensitive as the Company prepare to finance future growth opportunities."

@oguzerkan Correct - folks think the ATM means automatic 10% dilution. That is so factually inaccurate.

Don’t take short term market movements seriously. It’s mostly bots trading by narrowly defined KPIs. $NBIS is down because it missed revenue by $9 million due to capacity constraints, but bots don’t know this. No moderately smart human would sell $NBIS after today’s results.

@LiebermanAustin @daniel_koss Austin, Daniel - when you file an ATM, you generally make it large for latitude. It does not mean they’ll use the entire program. It’s there as a tool to ensure they have necessary capital to fund build outs. Assuming they’ll use the entire program is just flat out wrong

@daniel_koss Unfortunately, that’s not where the dilution ends and net profit margins remain negative. These two things need to inflect for the stock to work from here

$NBIS revenue growth is exciting. But the company just announced they’ll be diluting shareholders by 10%. If they don’t reign in dilution, it’s going to seriously hinder upside potential for the stock.