Myth Camus
23 posts
De retour après deux semaines passées à Tokyo, Hangzhou, Shanghai, Wuxi et Chongqing.
Entre technologies de pointe, urbanisme maîtrisé, gares impeccables, efficacité collective et culture culinaire d’une richesse exceptionnelle, le retour est assez brutal.
Signalisation confuse dans le RER, dysfonctionnements à répétition, saleté omniprésente… difficile de ne pas ressentir un profond décalage. On a parfois l’impression que notre pays, et plus largement une partie de l’Occident, a renoncé à certaines exigences fondamentales : l’ambition, le respect du collectif, la tradition, la rigueur, le sens de l’effort et la fierté de bien faire.
Ce qui frappe le plus, au fond, ce n’est pas seulement la différence d’infrastructures ou de propreté. C’est la différence d’état d’esprit. Là-bas, on sent encore une forme de projection vers l’avenir, une volonté de construire, d’améliorer, d’avancer.
Ici, trop souvent, on semble s’être installé dans l’illusion confortable de l’oisiveté et de la jouissance immédiate, en oubliant que la prospérité, la beauté et l’ordre ne sont jamais acquis : ils se cultivent, se défendent et se méritent.
À peine rentré, je compte déjà les jours avant mon prochain déplacement. Après quelques heures seulement, j’ai déjà l’impression d’étouffer.
@BetterCallMedhi
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@LerouxArthur10 Dans le métro de Chongqing, vous verrez quelqu'un cracher par terre toutes les 5 à 10 minutes.
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Myth Camus ری ٹویٹ کیا
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1/n
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Myth Camus ری ٹویٹ کیا
If you want a rare life, you have to be delusional. Doubt can enter your mind, and it can sound reasonable, but if you entertain it too much it will slowly drag you down into stagnation. I'd rather reap the lesson from massive failure than do nothing because it's not "realistic."
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@RayDalio As a politically conscious Chinese, I strongly agree with your view. Chinese military culture leans heavily toward defense rather than offense, and the country's traditional culture favors the tributary system over colonial domination.
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I have been asked by several people what I meant when I said “we are in a world war” in my most recent note. To be clear, I didn’t mean to convey that I expect a shooting war between the U.S. and China (or any of the great powers) anytime soon. What I meant is that we are in the phase of the Big Cycle when major powers are in military wars and that the various wars happening now are interrelated, hence we are in a “world war," with the sides lined up as I described and with the implications for each of the main players and the whole unfolding in relatively classic interrelated ways that I describe as a progression of the Big Cycle.
For example, it is now widely believed that if the U.S. fails to open the Strait of Hormuz to have free shipping and to protect its Gulf Allies from attacks, countries all around the world (most importantly in Asia) will conclude that the U.S. might not be the strong ally and countervailing force to China that they thought it would be. which will lead some to tilt economically and geopolitically more toward China in a number of ways - e.g. to buy less U.S. debt (which is what happened to the British in the Suez Crisis, bringing about the ultimate end of their Empire) - and it could lead others to build up their military capabilities. As I complete my nearly three-week trip in Asia, I can convey that what I am saying is based on a lot more than conjecture.
The reason I do not expect a U.S.-China military war soon, but I do expect a lot of brinksmanship, is because both nations realize that such a war would be devastating and that it would be impossible to fully win over the other, at the same time as they won’t want to give much. Also, each country believes in its own economic and political systems and that the outcomes of those systems will determine their relative powers. And both nations have critically important domestic issues to deal with. Some people in leadership positions, especially in China, believe that the relative health, wealth, and power levels between countries is not as important as their own absolute health, wealth, and power levels, and that helping each other build these rather than tear them down is most important. For example, they believe that the world will be a dangerous place if the U.S. and China don't have AI cooperations and controls, and they are concerned that AI can be weaponized. Most countries know that most wars in history were won by one of the sides secretly developing new technologically advanced weapons and showing them to their opponents.
So, I believe that both sides think that their wars will be non-military wars that will yield evolutionary changes in relative powers. As for how the Chinese will fight, and how the world order related to it will evolve, it will probably look more like the type of war described in the “Art of War” (which I suggest you read if you haven't), and for how the new international world order will evolve, to the extent that it is influenced by the Chinese, it will evolve to be more like the tribute system (which I suggest you understand if you don’t) than the existing world order.
At the same time, I expect that there will continue to be trade, capital, technology, cyber, and geopolitical influence wars between these great powers and that both will continue to have justifiable fears of being cut off from essential goods, services, and capital that will necessarily will greatly reduce imbalances and interdependencies as well as efficiencies in production and trade of goods, services, and capital. I also believe we will increasingly see these two powerful nations pressure each other because there is no other way to resolve disputes now that the rules-based multilateral world order has been replaced by a power-based, self-serving world order.
Said differently, I expect that China will be very strong in its defense without being very aggressive in its offense. That is not just for tactical reasons; it is also because China has strong cultural inclinations to be that way.
I hope this is helpful in clarifying my thinking and as always I'd be happy to answer any other questions or hear your thoughts.
Ray
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@claudeai I want to use Claude Code while simultaneously viewing my project files. This could potentially replace a traditional compiler/IDE.
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TRUE！
Big Brain AI@realBigBrainAI
Peter Steinberger, creator of OpenClaw, on why AI agents still produce "slop" without human taste in the loop: "You can create code and run all night and then you have like the ultimate slop because what those agents don't really do yet is have taste." Peter is direct: raw capability without direction still produces mediocre output. "They are spiky smart and they're really good at things, but if you don't navigate them well, if you don't have a vision of what you're going to build, it's still going to be slop. If you don't ask the right questions, it's still going to be slop." Great AI-assisted work is defined by the human guiding it. @steipete describes his own creative process when starting a new project: "When I start a project, I have like this very rough idea what it could be. And as I play with it and feel it, my vision gets more clear. I try out things, some things don't work, and I evolve my idea into what it will become." Most people skip this part entirely, front-loading everything into a single prompt and wondering why the result feels hollow. "My next prompt depends on what I see and feel and think about the current state of the project." Each step informs the next. The work itself is the feedback loop. "But if you try to put everything into a spec up front, you miss this kind of human-machine loop. And then I don't know how something good can come out without having feelings in the loop — almost like taste." The agentic trap is what happens when you remove yourself from the process too early.
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