Prometheus

@JohanMusgrave @wanted4mogging @whisperandwords You're deadly wrong. Our character shows more in how we treat our close people than how we treat strangers.

@wanted4mogging @whisperandwords That’s fair. But ask yourself this. If a man/boy is truly sensitive, would he actually come across as cold to strangers? Maybe a little cautious, but cold? No.

he’s a 10 but he is extremely cold and untouchable when it comes to other people but suddenly turns into a certified yearner who is clingy, obsessive, and soft spoken when it comes to you. what is he?

@DeepInference what you mean called bottom when he's wrong?

This man called the bottom, three months ago.

CONDITIONS, NOT OPINIONS When oil was trading at 59, I told you to load it. Not because of an opinion but because the conditions were obvious. I analyze conditions, not narratives. As you can see, that call was very right. Today the same process points the other way. All the pundits who never told you to buy oil at 58 are now screaming that oil is going to 140 and that the world is ending. They trade opinions. I watch conditions. Let’s name the conditions. Iran is running out of missiles. Today they fired one missile at Israel. Iran has no production capacity to sustain a long conflict. Iran has no navy capable of blockading the Strait of Hormuz. Iran has no mines in the Gulf. Right now the only real thing Iran can still do is fire drones at ships to damage them and scare traffic away. We already saw drones hit tankers and ports in the region. But this kind of harassment can only go on for so long before it’s neutralized or shipping resumes under protection. The problem with ships crossing the strait right now isn’t even Iran. It’s insurance. Because of the chaos, insurers stepped back and ships hesitate to cross. That will be solved. All the major powers in the world are united around one objective: keep the Strait of Hormuz open. High oil hurts almost every advanced nation on earth. It damages growth, inflation, and stability. The world’s richest and most powerful countries want lower energy prices. Iran is running out of options very fast. Their only real hope is panic. This won’t last forever. My catalyst right now is the release of strategic reserves. There is a big misunderstanding about how reserves actually work. Reserves are not meant to replace total production. They are meant to supplement supply during disruptions. Countries like the United States still have massive domestic production and access to imports, which means reserves don’t have to cover the entire market. They are released gradually to stabilize prices. When reserves are used alongside ongoing production, they can last for a very long time and have a powerful effect on the market. That combination can push oil prices lower much faster than people expect and buy time for Israel and the United States to finish the work more calmly while the Strait of Hormuz is secured. And when this is over, the panic premium disappears and a peace premium replaces it. That’s when oil crashes. Mark my words. The same conditions that created the opportunity at 58 are now pointing the other way. Give it three to six months and I believe you will see oil sub 60. Watch conditions. Ignore opinions.

Quantum Immortality suggests that you can’t die, because every time you “die,” you shift into a universe where you survived

While I believe this is true, it's too simplistic. YTD but it's only 17th February. Which data points suggest 2 and half months of YTD correlate with rest of the year? If financial sector were to correct within second half of the month to positive YTD, does this imply positive SP500 outlook for the rest of the year? What are the correlations between financials and SP500? How do they change with change in implied volatility of both? With every scenario prediction I want to see a structured trade approach that will outperform SP500 ATM LEAPS. Level out the playing field- both time and risk structure. And then we can talk.

this man couldn't spell properly, was complete sicko and you're taking what he wrote about something complex seriously?

Cool but would be nice to know HOW to stimulate SF1 after training. My intuitive guess it comes from inner goal setting. If you're content with your looks, with no goal to 'chase', your body has no need to push for it. Of course, this is over-time constant. One, two trainings don't matter in the long picture.

'you know they're in their own head and not fully present w/ you' so just like.. you analyzing their behavior while talking to them? you write all of this but at the end it's just a projection of who you are. putting all other people in your small pocket boxes created based on your experiences. you're just sentient, congrats.

I trust people LESS when they listen to me too perfectly. I'm not sharing details with a person who never gets excited enough to interrupt the docile rally of polite conversation You can tell when someone has deliberately learned to do this because it unnaturalises their conversations –– it becomes a sterile and robotic sequence of action. Almost like they're consciously aware and performing what they learned a great conversationalist is supposed to be like you know they're in their own head and not fully present w/ you

@BonesawMD They would make good body guards that’s for sure

Two of my cousins are close to 7 ft tall and were both college football athletes. We're pretty tall in our family as a whole but I remember being gabberflasted when up close to them bc of their sheer size. Huge hands, broad shoulders, thick necks, muscular physiques, deep booming voices. Not in a weird way, but I've only described them objectively and physically and there is enough rawness in the description that I had to put a disclaimer. You realise how certain biological differences cannot be overcome. Doesn't matter how much you train, how many supplements you take, even if you dedicated your entire life and soul to fitness/health you would NEVER be more physically imposing than they are. Even if they stopped training, it can't happen.

I know everyone is laughing off clavicular being framemogged as gen Z neuroticism, but being skeletally mogged as a man is a brutal reality check. Lets you know there is a natural hierarchy that cannot be denied. No amount of supplements, steroids, training, or biohacking can make up for the gap in genetics. Narrow shoulders, short height, little hands, small feet, weak jaw, high pitched voice. Some people are just born to be bigger and impose their stature. There's nothing that can be done to seriously compete w/ the man who was born to be BIG. Find a lane to compete in that's right for you, but a mans raw physicality is mostly determined by how well you chose your parents. Nature always wins Clavicular looked small

Subjectively, you live 50% of your life at 30. So it's less.

This screams ' I am not profitable'. Low timeframes present so many opportunities but you get hit by one variable called volatility. Your winning streaks are longer, your losing streaks are longer but it's not due to you or your strategy, but simply due to volatility. Scalpers aka funds, or quants do not have strategies in term of price action but in price discrepancies or spreads across platforms. And they have it due to traders scalping price action.

Swing trading is for dorks Especially if you’re a purely technical trader that swing trades Price is fractal What plays out in the higher timeframes plays out in the lower ones too So if you are actually a GOOD trader - surely you want to maximise the amount of trading opportunities that you get Instead of taking trades on the 4H and making 3R in a month Why not drop down to the 1 minute and make 30R in a WEEK Limiting your trading to just 2-3 setups a month tells me that you’re not confident in your trading system and likely don’t know what you’re doing at all Only losers want to minimise their trades Winners want to juice the market for all it’s got

Wednesday, 28th January. #ES Looking at two possible trades. 1. Short liquidity grab if price takes out daily high ($7,043+) 2. Long setup as I believe orders might accumulate in the imbalance. Entry only on sweep of those orders. Same mechanism for both. Let's see.

@kafkaex @jimbo68589146 Honestly I think you're gay

@jimbo68589146 You want me to unpack that here, right now? Should I dive into a vulnerable monologue about all the almosts, maybes, and women who’ve slipped through my fingers like sand? The ones who came so close, only to be lost to hesitation, timing, and moments I never stepped into?

I've dated many women in my life, and the best women, the women that I've had the longest relationships with, weren't the hottest or smartest, but the most inoffensive. They were easy to get along with, didn't create problems, laughed easily, and smiled at whatever I said.

greatest app ever

$KWEB 20% move towards new high.

@MarketMovesMatt Show receipts not subtitles

Made $100K in 3 months using this strategy: The Poor Man's Covered Call: • Buy LEAP (360 DTE, 10% OTM) • Sell monthly calls against it (20 delta) • Finance the time decay for FREE • Keep unlimited upside on half position Low IV + momentum = 500% returns Tesla, MSTR, Pepsi—all hit 200-400% this way.

Everyone's sharing that "Long Degeneracy" article and nominating it for article of the year with 20m views. I just got around to reading it…overall, I get it. It's well written, emotionally resonant, and captures something real about generational anxiety. I like the author, I subscribe to their stuff… talented Quant. But nobody's pushing back, so let me while I watch my kids at the pool. My main pushback is this: the article is a suicide note dressed up as investment advice. I REFUSE to hand my agency to "the house." The moment you accept "the game is rigged so I might as well gamble," you've surrendered. You've quit on the process that actually works because someone convinced you it doesn't. There are no easy buttons. No shortcuts. No magic money options. There is only learning, sacrifice, and continual grit. It tells a generation they're prisoners. Then it sells them a lottery ticket and calls it freedom. Then it tells YOU to invest in the prison. That's not analysis. That's despair with a ticker symbol. The author spends 2000 words empathizing with young people as "prisoners" trapped by a broken economy… then tells you to invest in the platforms extracting fees from their desperation. "Long Coinbase, long DraftKings, long the casinos." Read that again. The thesis is: a generation is so economically desperate they're turning to gambling, most will lose, and YOU should profit by owning the house. You can't weep for the prisoners and then sell shares in the prison. Pick one. 4 points I want to make.... Pushback 1: "Closed" is doing a lot of work The claim that traditional wealth building is "closed, not difficult" is asserted, not proven. The boomer vs millennial wealth stat is misleading… it compares 65 year olds to 35 year olds. Of course boomers hold more wealth. They've been alive longer. Housing is brutal in coastal cities. But median home prices in most US metros are still accessible to dual income households. "Wages up 8% while housing doubled" has no timeframe and cherry picks the comparison. Real wages post 2020 have actually grown. Is it harder than it was? Yes. Is the game "fundamentally broken"? That's a much bigger claim requiring a much longer discussion. Pushback 2: Negative EV doesn't become rational just because you feel stuck The core logical move is: "if you're trapped anyway, a 5% chance of escape beats 100% certainty of stagnation." But gambling doesn't leave you "still stuck." It makes most participants actively worse off. That 5% moonshot comes paired with a 95% chance of losing your savings, your rent money, your runway. The author admits "most people lose" then hand waves it because gamblers "understand the odds." But understanding bad odds while taking them isn't rationality. It's emotional capitulation wearing economic language as a costume. This isn't a generation finding a path out. It's a wealth transfer mechanism moving money FROM desperate young people TO platform operators. Pushback 3: The article accidentally reveals the real problem The author admits social media has "repositioned the zeroth line" so people earning $150k feel poor. Admits the algorithm ensures "you never feel like you've arrived." Admits basic needs are met and there's "cognitive bandwidth" for existential questions. But wait. If the problem is FEELING trapped due to infinite upward comparison rather than BEING trapped… gambling doesn't fix that. You could 10x your net worth and the algorithm will still show you someone richer. The "Maslow trap" section accidentally confesses: this generation isn't imprisoned. They're dissatisfied. These are different problems. Pushback 4: I don’t have enough FAITH to live in a world without God This is the part nobody wants to hear. The entire thesis rests on a materialist assumption: your life's meaning is determined by your net worth, your house, your access to experiences. If you can't get those things, you're "imprisoned." If you can, you're "free." That's spiritual poverty masquerading as economic analysis. Jesus said it plain: "What does it profit a man to gain the whole world and forfeit his soul?" The author's answer is apparently "at least you beat the algorithm." My BIGGEST problem with the article isn't economic. It's theological. It assumes the highest human need is "self actualization" through financial success. That Maslow's hierarchy is the truth about human nature. That if you can't afford the vacation and the house, you're missing what makes life worth living. That's not wisdom. That's the prosperity gospel without the gospel. No thanks. The reason this generation feels trapped isn't because housing costs went up. It's because they've been handed a worldview where meaning comes from consumption, identity comes from status, and hope is a betting slip. When you build your life on that foundation, of course you feel imprisoned. The cell is interior. Real freedom isn't financial. It never was. The peace that passes understanding doesn't require a Polymarket account. Eternity is a LONG time. So what's the alternative? First: Exit the comparison machine. The author correctly identifies social media as manufacturing infinite dissatisfaction. The answer isn't to gamble your way to a moving target. It's to stop letting an algorithm define your "zeroth line." Your reference class should be your actual life, not curated highlights from 8 billion people. Delete the apps. Touch grass. Go to church. Give yourself to something BIGGER than your net worth. Second: Skill acquisition still compounds. The article mocks "getting better at your job" as boomer advice. But the same young people pouring hours into memecoin research could pour those hours into skills that compound. The difference is skills don't have a house edge. Coding, sales, writing, trades… these translate into income whether the market is up or down. AI is changing which skills matter but it's not eliminating the returns to expertise. It's concentrating them. Third: Asymmetric bets exist outside casinos. If you want convexity, build something. Start a business. Create content. Ship a product. The difference between entrepreneurship and gambling is you're building equity in something that can compound, not burning capital on negative EV. Fourth: Anchor your identity somewhere the market can't touch. If your sense of self rises and falls with your portfolio, you're a slave. If your hope depends on a moonshot, you have no hope. The man who knows who he is in Christ doesn't need a 100x to feel like his life matters. He's already free. That's not copium. That's the only foundation that doesn't move. The real trap The article's framing is seductive because it offers absolution. You're not making bad decisions. You're rationally responding to a broken system. The house always wins but at least you're playing. The framing IS the trap. The economy is harder than it was. Housing costs are real. AI anxiety is real. But "harder" isn't "impossible," and the author's solution… becoming a customer of fee extracting platforms or an investor in them… doesn't help the people he claims to sympathize with. It helps the house. Here's what actually works. -Wake up early. Get after it. Be Relentless. -Spend less than you earn. No excuses. -Acquire skills that compound. Every single day. Stack them. -Build things you own. Equity, not lottery tickets. -Get your body right. Discipline starts physical. -Get your soul right with the Lord. My closeness with the Lord has grown MORE in trials and tribulations than any fancy car. -Exit the comparison machine. The algorithm is not your friend. It's your enemy. -Find your people. Real ones. In person. Build a family. Build a group you trust. -Serve something bigger than yourself. -Pray. Not as a last resort. As a first principle. Daily. -The path is painful. The path is boring. The path requires years of work that nobody will clap for. But it's the path that works. The casinos will keep taking their vig. The gurus will keep selling hope. The algorithms will keep showing you what you don't have. Let them. You are not a prisoner. You are not a degenerate. You are not a customer. You are a free human being with a soul that matters and a life to build. So build it through active faith, aggressive patience, and a mindset geared towards eternity and not your bank account.

@CPSellsOptions So what when another vol event like Trump happens? How much is that annualized?

@casper_smc If you're not capable & intelligent enough to have a job where you can eat whenever you want, I seriously doubt you're capable enough to succeed in trading.

Trading is hard, but there’s no way I’m letting another man tell me when I get to eat lunch for 40 years