MTK

@Abombination81 Green. I wonder if very simple strategies exist and are runable with good but not extreme parameters

There is 1 strategy that dominates the leaderboards. Every top bot in crypto is doing this strategy. Here's exactly how it's done- warning... its long. Market Makers, Ladder Bot, Merge Bot... various names for the same strategy. @0xde17f7144fbd0eddb2679132c10ff5e74b120988-1772205225932" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0xde17f7144fb… They are easy to spot. Massive PNL, thousands of trades. Prices all over the place, in whole and fractional numbers. Usually multiple markets. So how does it work. This is conceptually a bit difficult, so stick with me. First, they are bidding on every single token, up and down, at 1c increments pre window. Ie 45c, 46c, 47c etc. Both directions. So the entire possible bid is covered. When someone sells at that price, they immediately put another bid up. They are providing liquidity. They buy hundreds and hundreds of times per window. and use a tool called merge. You can merge any up/down pair at any time on Polymarket for 1$. This immediately removes the pair and returns 1$. So if you have a 70c up and a 28c down, you get 1$ for your 98c. But this isnt how they make money, they actually lose on the merges, so a down at 70, an up at 32... merged loses 2c. But it gets rid of shares and frees up capitol. --------------- Now the conceptual part --------------- Assume a price has moved to 70c, and the other price is 31c. They are placing bids at every level below those prices... ie 69.68.67.....5,4,3,2,1 on the 70 side. They are also placing bids at every level below 31c, ie 30,29,28,27.....3,2,1 As you can see they have MANY more bids available to buy on the 70 side than the 32. Which means that they are accumulating more winning shares. And as they buy both, they merge.. now the merge removes a losing share for 1-2c and a winning share. But because naturally the winning side goes up, you are getting more shares. Meaning you can merge all your losing shares out, leaving you with just winning shares. So as the price gets even higher, say 95c, they have gtc buys at 94,93,92,91... 3,2,1 etc. And gtc buys on the losing side 5c, 4c, 321. So just with math... they are going to buy many more Winners than Losers. And each loser they do buy, gets merged out with a winner. So at window close they are holding thousands of winners they bought anywhere from 50c to 99c, and zero losers. The loser merges cost them money, but the winners are making them 35c a share (average merged cost) and the losers lost them 2.8c a share (merged loser cost). So youre left with a net profit of roughly 32c a share. Times thousands of shares, every 5m,15m window. Now the hard stuff. 1. The bids are filled first in first out. So if I place my ladder before you, I get filled you dont. The window opens 24hr before the actual window start (this is all crypto windows). So the battle for Los Angeles is at THE EXACT moment the window opens. Whomever can place their 100 orders first, wins. 2. Money, this shit is expensive. Takes a minimum of about $1000 usd to test per window. And you cant just test once and change, you need to test 5-6x to see if its working. 3. Slow, each change you have to wait 24hr to test again. 4. Untestable. Since its all fills against buyers. You cannot backtest this. You learn by doing. 5. the ladder isnt 1:1, you arent placing 1 share at each level, its a quadriatic "ish" curve. Ie more shares where its more likely to be at. THIS is the magic formula that takes money to test and is very difficult to get right. 6. Latency. The fight is for that first micro second to place the bids. Me and probably 25 others are fighting for that 1/25,000th of a second. You win some, you lose some. 7. Reversals. Overall your wr is very high, because youre basically DCA'ing in the entire time, BUT every once in awhile the trend reverses last second... and youre left holding 30,000 up shares naked... and it flips down. Those days... are fun. So thats it. The entire pickle. I HIGHLY recommend you avoid this strategy. It took me $50,000 to figure it out over a month. This should be the holy grail you attempt after you have a minimum of 100 profitable bots. If you read all this reply with - Green. Testing if this long format breakdown is worth it or if its better to do short snippets

@traXeH_ Can you dm me ? Ty

@ImMithik We can)

@traXeH_ hello mate. Can we talk ? Thank you

@pilot86 hey mate can we talk about gabagool's bot ? Ty

@jobssam314151 @pilot86 @Louback211 @fxktar42214 @DeBanked_ @gabagool22 What do you mean ? Redeem ?

@pilot86 @Louback211 @fxktar42214 @DeBanked_ @gabagool22 How to reclaim your money?

@gabagool22 STILL CLIMBING!!!!

@DeBanked_ hi mate can we talk about gabagool's bot ? Ty

@CaryMicah67909 hey mate can we talk ? Ty

@Louback211 @fxktar42214 @DeBanked_ @pilot86 @gabagool22 I personnaly lost 200 $ in 1h

@fxktar42214 @DeBanked_ @pilot86 @gabagool22 Do you still have negative results in gabagol?

@CaryMicah67909 @fxktar42214 @pilot86 @Louback211 @DeBanked_ @gabagool22 I have lost 200 $ in 1h it clearly doesnt work

@fxktar42214 @pilot86 @Louback211 @DeBanked_ @gabagool22 Definitely key stealing, I stripped that out far as I know, but I feel like his algo could work. I’m finding if you pay for the faster AWS you get better fills. But it still doesn’t perform like his on his website.

@DijaNFT hey mate can we talk about gabagool's bot ? Ty

@gabagool22 Does the bot still work ? -80 $ after 1 hour on BTC 5m

People who are facing the "invalid signature" error. A patch is coming your way 🥵 I'll be offline for 12 hours (on the plane to dubai), and 'ill deploy the fix at that moment; Again, if you are getting this error: simply create a fresh polymarket account using google sign in, transfer some cash to the PM wallet, and start using the bot!

@susuinldn @carverfomo @Polymarket I am trying to obtain all his trades since the beginning (buy + sell + redeem...). Have you got everything ?

@carverfomo @Polymarket I pulled his trades and did some analysis. He is doing some really solid latency arb. The edge is on execution. x.com/susuinldn/stat…

$313 → $809,690 on @Polymarket from one automated loop. Same market, same timing, just more repetitions. 0x8dxd is now at $809.7K all time PnL with 11,148 predictions was ~6,048 when the curve first got noticed. If you’re new: these are 15 minute BTC rounds where one side pays $1 if BTC finishes higher than a set price, the other pays $1 if it finishes lower. The edge isn’t guessing BTC. It’s waiting until the move is already visible on major exchanges, then buying while Polymarket’s odds are still catching up for a brief moment. The update in the stats is telling: biggest single win is now $28.1K was $13K, and active position size grew from $11.6K to $29.7K but the curve still stays smooth because it’s volume + repetition, not one hero bet. Question is simple: how long does that catch up window stay this wide before everyone crowds it? → Up - Bitcoin Up or Down (Jan 24, 5pm ET) polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-…

@0x8dxd @Polymarket I am trying to copy your trades but your capital is so huge now... would you consider dm me to help definea copy strategy ?

Unfortunately, I’ve recently been diagnosed with a repetitive strain injury (RSI) affecting my wrist. The doctor has indicated this was caused by excessive clicking of a mouse. Does anyone know any good @Polymarket bots I can use to execute with instead?

@0xpolykyd @PolyFlashBot @Polymarket @PolyFlashBot Can you help me ?

@0xpolykyd @PolyFlashBot @Polymarket I fail importing the telegram wallet to metamask. The "secret key" is not a phrase with words. Can you please help me ?

PolyFlash.Trade is now live - Powered by @Polymarket The copy-trading terminal for prediction markets. - Track top whale wallets - Copy trades in seconds - Advanced risk & size controls - Real-time execution - Telegram-native workflow Copy smart. Trade fast. → polyflash.trade

@aZp_RiChToFen Mdr oui plein été pendant 2 jours complets 😂

@ImMithik Et pour le record nuketown la température je m'en rapel 😅😅

youtu.be/duiUS78ps_w @ImMithik 10 ans déjà le jeux..

@aZp_RiChToFen Comme si c'était hier en vrai tu trouves pas ?

@ImMithik Et oui !

Salut @CFarmeur tu sais comment je peux sortir à moindre coût ? C'est honteux 7.5% sur cdc

@cryptobroke_ Quelle chain pour préparer tout ça ?