🐮Maeter🐋
2.1K posts

🐮Maeter🐋
@MaeterC
#株 #Crypto #BTC #Altcoin #Shitcoin TradingLite → https://t.co/F9s7lwZ8w0
Tokyo شامل ہوئے Ocak 2021
331 فالونگ217 فالوورز

@NoLimitGains @Grok , Should I wait a little longer before buying a house?
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@cryptofergani @grok
Rising interest rates may cause housing prices to fall, but inflation will drive up construction costs, so I think housing prices won't fall that much in the end. Of course, it depends on how much interest rates rise.
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🚨IF YOU'RE UNDER 30, DO NOT BUY A HOUSE RIGHT NOW. HERE'S WHY
Step 1: The US started a WAR with Iran. Trump says it could last 5 WEEKS - but warns it could drag on far longer.
Step 2: Iran CLOSED the Strait of Hormuz. 20% of the world's oil is now BLOCKED.
Step 3: Oil is surging past $90/barrel. Heading to $120+. Maybe $150.
Step 4: When oil goes up, EVERYTHING goes up. Gas. Food. Shipping. Construction materials. EVERYTHING.
Step 5: Inflation is COMING BACK. Bank of England rate cut odds already collapsed from 80% to 29% in ONE WEEK.
Step 6: If inflation returns, central banks CAN'T cut rates. They might even RAISE them.
Step 7: Higher rates = higher mortgage rates. 7%? 8%? Maybe higher.
Step 8: Higher mortgage rates = people CAN'T afford payments. Forced sellers FLOOD the market.
Step 9: $4 TRILLION has already been wiped from global stock markets in 4 days. People are LOSING their down payments in the market crash.
Step 10: South Korea's stock market just crashed -8% and TRIGGERED A CIRCUIT BREAKER. Japan -6%. Dow -1,200 points.
Step 11: When stocks crash, layoffs follow. Tech. Finance. Real estate. Construction. ALL of them.
Step 12: Laid off people with 7% mortgages they can barely afford? They SELL. At ANY price.
Step 13: Housing inventory SURGES. Prices DROP. 20%? 30%? In some markets — 50%.
This is EXACTLY what happened in 2008.
Oil spike → inflation → rate hikes → stock crash → layoffs → housing crash.
THE SAME SEQUENCE IS PLAYING OUT RIGHT NOW. Step by step. In real time.
If you have cash, SIT ON IT. The biggest buying opportunity of your lifetime is 12-24 months away.
If you just signed a mortgage at the top? I'm sorry.
This isn't fear. This is math.
Bookmark this. Come back in 18 months.
When I make my next move, I’ll share it here for everyone to see.
If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it. Just watch.

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@SeongWooIQ300 @grok
If Japan were to sell U.S. government bonds, is there a possibility that it would sell as much as $600 billion?
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@peruvian_bull @grok
What would the Nikkei look like if the Bank of Japan defended the yen (raising interest rates and blowing up the JGB market and carry trade) or if it allowed the yen to crash?
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japan can’t absorb this. every dollar higher in crude is a direct tax on their entire economy. energy costs spike, import bills explode, the trade deficit widens, and the yen weakens further, which makes the energy imports even MORE expensive.
it’s a doom loop. weak yen makes oil more expensive in yen terms, which worsens the trade deficit, which weakens the yen further.
if oil stays above $90 and the Strait stays shut, the BoJ has to choose between defending the yen (hike rates, blow up the JGB market and the carry trade) or letting it crash (import costs spiral, inflation rips through the economy).
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter
This is absolutely insane: US oil futures are now on track to rise +60% this month, marking their largest monthly gain in history. This follows the +34.5% gain recorded last week, the largest weekly gain on record in data going back to 1982. We are all witnessing history.
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@NoLimitGains @grok
If this war continues for a long time, what impact do you think it will have on the stock market?
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🚨 THE IRAN WAR HAS COST $10 BILLION IN 7 DAYS:
$6 billion in operations. $4 billion in munitions.
That’s $1.43 billion PER DAY.
The New York Times just published the numbers.
Let me show you what happens if this doesn’t end soon.
At the current burn rate:
30 days: $43 billion. More than the entire annual budget of the Department of Homeland Security.
60 days (Hegseth’s timeline): $86 billion. That’s what the US spent per year in Afghanistan at PEAK war.
90 days: $129 billion.
6 months (Iran says they can fight this long): $259 billion.
If this runs through September, $306 BILLION.
And costs are accelerating, not slowing down.
CSIS confirmed $3.5 billion of the first $3.7 billion was completely unbudgeted. Congress has not authorized a single dollar.
The White House says 4 to 6 weeks. Hegseth just extended to 8 weeks. Iran’s IRGC says 6 months. Nobody actually knows.
Meanwhile the war is costing $1.4 billion a day to fight and TRILLIONS more in market destruction.
$3.5 trillion wiped from financial markets in one week alone.
The New York Times headline: “A punishing military campaign with no coherent endgame.”
If you don’t already know, this matters to markets around the world, and EVERYONE will be impacted by it.
But don’t worry, I’ll keep updating you on what I’m doing. Markets move fast so turn on notifications, this is very important.
Many people will wish they followed me sooner.

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If you care about your audience. you should be sharing this with them and not withholding the informarion. Its important historical data as we are trading in times of elevated Vol.
Mike@MarketMike
The red candles are the times $VVIX closed greater than 140.
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🚨 I’M INVESTING MILLIONS INTO THIS
It’s not gold. It’s not silver.
It’s something nobody is talking about.
The world of anti-inflation and anti-currency-devaluation assets is vast, and it’s far from limited to gold and silver.
Of course, precious metals are excellent long-term bulwarks against the coming wave of negative real interest rates and inflation.
Gold will no doubt go much higher than $5,000 in a few years, and if you’re holding it physically without leverage, the current price movements won’t worry you all that much.
But don’t forget that alongside gold there’s oil, gas, coal, palm oil, iron ore, agricultural commodities, fertilizers.
And plenty of undervalued stocks in these sectors, still at the bottom of their cycles, unlike gold and silver mines.
You could even say that a good undervalued classic industrial small-to-mid cap deserves the label of anti-inflation asset too.
At current prices, I feel far more at ease buying oil companies than gold mines. The oil companies / gold mines ratio is at its HISTORICAL lows.
Oil services ETF: OIH (tracks oil services companies. Think drilling, equipment, services)
Energy sector ETF: XLE (tracks the broader energy sector. Integrated oil & gas, E&Ps, services, etc.)
That doesn’t stop me from holding the physical gold portion of my portfolio for probably quite a few more years.
Remember, I called every market top and bottom of the last 10 years publicly.
When I make a new move, I’ll say it here for everyone to see.
Many people will regret not following me sooner.

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