Andrew Moss🎩✡️

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Andrew Moss🎩✡️

Andrew Moss🎩✡️

@NFLsharpTampa

Mostly gambling at this point. Football or food if you're lucky. 🐍🐼 evangelist. Steelman your opposition, stress test your beliefs

Austin, TX شامل ہوئے Ocak 2014
2.3K فالونگ1.9K فالوورز
Andrew Moss🎩✡️ ری ٹویٹ کیا
Rob
Rob@robrousseau·
>Strait of Hormuz what is it >Strait of Hormuz how to open >Strait of Hormuz how to open reddit
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Faraz Jaka
Faraz Jaka@FarazJaka·
The way Annie Duke is viewed inside poker vs outside poker couldn’t be more different. She was an ambassador for UltimateBet during the superuser scandal (my instinct is she probably didn’t know about it). She later made a public post saying she regretted endorsing the site, which was an okay public response, not amazing, not awful. Then in 2011 she helped launch the Epic Poker League. An invite-only tour where top players played $20k buy-ins with a larger than normal $2.5k fee. The structure created big incentives to play because leaderboard winners were promised things like a $1M freeroll and a $400k Player of the Year prize. For many of us, myself included, that was a big reason we were playing those tough field high buy-in events. Then the company filed for Chapter 11 and none of those incentives were paid out. Annie said they were trying to find investors to keep the league alive… and after that we never really heard what happened. Did she even try to push ownership to make things right for the players? I honestly still don’t know, but it left the poker world feeling pretty betrayed, and she just disappeared from the industry with no statement. Years later, the book Thinking in Bets becomes a huge success in the business world, and we are seeing her promoted by all sorts of platforms outside of poker. Most people outside of poker don't even know about any of the above history.
Ethan Kho@ethanrkho

How a $4M poker champion turned every decision you make into a bet — and why that changes everything Annie Duke, Ph.D. (@AnnieDuke — WSOP bracelet winner, $4M in tournament winnings, national bestselling author of Thinking in Bets, Special Partner @ First Round Capital, PhD in Cognitive Psychology from Penn) "A good bet is one that carries positive expectancy. What a good bet is NOT — is one that wins." We cover: - Why every decision you've ever made is a bet (even ordering off a menu) - The green light vs. red light rule for separating outcomes from decisions - How to build an EV calculation for something as messy as choosing a career - Why loss aversion is secretly an uncertainty problem — and how great risk takers solve it - When to trust your gut vs. when gut feel is just bias in disguise - The pre-mortem framework — how to find your blind spots before it's too late - Mental time travel: the parenting tool Annie uses to raise better decision-makers - How she explained luck, hard work & probability to her 4 kids at the dinner table Thanks for making time, Annie. Been a fan of yours for a while. Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 01:12 Defining bets as resource allocation under uncertainty 04:52 Positive expectancy vs. outcome-based evaluation 06:11 Resulting: Why outcomes are not proxies for decision quality 15:19 Calculating expected value in high-variance career paths 18:55 Moving from implicit intuition to explicit decision modeling 24:27 Using base rates and reference classes for startups 30:26 Psychological traits of elite risk takers and traders 31:33 How prospect theory and loss aversion distort risk 45:12 Deconstructing gut feel and the role of intuition 49:36 Evaluating optionality and impact in fast-moving environments 57:13 Mental time travel: Tools for managing temporal discounting 01:01:31 Quantifying the intersection of luck and hard work 01:04:43 Internalizing a probabilistic worldview for long-term edge

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Carl
Carl@HistoryBoomer·
“To Kill a Mockingbird” is a horrible book. Why would you advocate killing a mockingbird? They’re harmless songbirds that fiercely protect their nests. Harper Lee was a sicko to write such a book. [Btw, I could only read the title because the book was paywalled at the bookstore.]
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MahomesToKelce
MahomesToKelce@kcmojimmy·
What the weather is starting to feel like
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Robert Stock
Robert Stock@RobertStock6·
Of course that’s your contention. You’re a first-year analytics intern. You just got finished reading some Sabermetric historian—Bill James, probably. You’re gonna be convinced of that ’til next month when you get to the latest Pitching+ update, and then you’re gonna be talkin’ about how SIERA is the only "true" measure of skill because it accounts for the complexity of the batted ball profile to CSW rates. You have no thoughts of your own. You’re just looking at a movement plot and trying to sound smart. You’re gonna realize in a couple of years that you spent all that time calculating "Expected FIP" based on a "Skill-Interactive" ghost, when you could’ve just looked at the K/BB ratio and seen the whole picture. The sad thing is, in about five years, you’re gonna realize you’re not that bright. You’re gonna be talkin’ about Skenes’ "Expected ERA" while the real experts are just looking at a box score and realizing that if a guy doesn't walk people and he misses bats, he's gonna be fine. You dropped $100,000 on a Data Science degree to learn how to run a regression on a pitcher's "luck," when you could’ve gotten the same predictive value for five cents in late charges by looking at a K/BB leader board at the public library.
Robert Stock tweet media
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ja3k
ja3k@ja3k_·
Software engineering is like Tetris now in that you have to go faster and faster until you die
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Senior PowerPoint Engineer
Senior PowerPoint Engineer@ryxcommar·
every passing day the American dream of landing a senior SWE retirement home rest and vest public equity RSU tech job is quickly and quietly fading away
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Joey
Joey@joeyanalytics·
I explored how arm length impacts pressure rate for pass rushers and how Rueben Bain Jr. could be an exception 🔗: josephferraiola.substack.com/p/the-curious-…
Joey tweet media
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Canzhi
Canzhi@canzhi·
special kind of rage when i cant win in the backtest
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Austin Abbott
Austin Abbott@AustinAbbott·
Jameis Winston’s 30 interception season isn’t appreciated enough Here’s all 30 of them, this took me longer to edit than I’d like to admit.. Jameis finished his 2019 campaign with: - 33 TD’s - 30 INT’s - 5,109 Yards Forever grateful for this
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David J Phillips
David J Phillips@davj·
Starting a startup completely changed the trajectory of my life Before: – 22 years old – $100k in debt – Skinny-fat – Hacker house After: – 25 years old – $350k in debt – Just fat – Homeless Here’s what I did after:
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Len Ashby
Len Ashby@ZENofLEN·
Well. having a catheter removed is a more painful 5 secs than any bad beat I’ve ever took at the poker table. Geez
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Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️
Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️@bennpeifert·
me, this morning, to my code from eight years ago
Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️ tweet media
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Andrew Moss🎩✡️ ری ٹویٹ کیا
Nick Pollack
Nick Pollack@PitcherList·
Some personal news today (I may go a bit long). Many of you may not know that over the last fourteen years, I've been incredibly fortunate to have a part-time job running a company's website remotely. That job allowed me to refuse a dime from Pitcher List and invest our revenue into our staff and development since its 2014 launch, and only shifted recently when I had to take a small retainer, well short of a living wage, for the last few years. As of January 1st 2026, I no longer have a part-time gig. I am now 100% self-employed for the first time in my life. I have yet to grant myself a new salary and likely will not until the season begins, when I can ensure we are financially stable through the always-uncertain February and March months. When I do, I want to make clear that I will be taking a salary similar to the full-time staff working beside me. I will continue to invest as much as possible into this fantastic place we've all worked so hard to bring to life. It may surprise some that I have an anti-work philosophy. My goal with Pitcher List is to create a sustainable workplace that provides full lives for those who give to this company, creating the baseball sanctuary of our dreams for the public. To those of you who have subscribed to PL Pro, purchased a lifetime membership, bought a piece of merch, or shared our articles and podcasts, from the bottom of my heart, thank you. Thank you so much for helping me do what I love each and every day. Thank you for believing in our vision. Thank you for keeping the lights on as our dedicated team works passionately to make us better every day. Here's to the next chapter of Pitcher List. Let's write it together. AGA, -Nick
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scar
scar@joscarfilms·
never been so jealous
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