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Nik
1.5K posts
Nik
@Nik_Poly
Top 0.7% trader on Polymarket. Sharing some stuff about Polymarket and Crypto Partnered with Polymarket
شامل ہوئے Şubat 2026
178 فالونگ551 فالوورز
@0x_spicyvibe @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade @Polysights @kreoapp @PolycoolApp @Chance_ Everything hahahaha, I guess e-sport and middle east stuff
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@Nik_Poly @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade @Polysights @kreoapp @PolycoolApp @Chance_ Outstanding pnl ser 🙌
Which market you are trading the most ?
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Just checked my @Polymarket PnL…
Show me yours👀
Are you up right now or learning the hard way ?
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be me:
> claimed my Lombard allo 2 days ago
> deposited on Polymarket
> were up $200
> lost everything
> deposited my KAT drop
> decided to play safely
> found an arbitrage on Elon market
> went all-in
> this mfer made 80 replies next day while had 41 replies a day on average
> $0 bankroll
what is it called?
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Accidentally made 1,800% return on Polymarket!
was LPing on a Siena vs Duke market, accidentally held 600 shares I bought at 1.1¢, got a call and forgot to sell
checked back, and it was trading at 22¢. exited.
hope Siena doesn't end up winning coz I'll miss my first 100x🤪
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Polymarket increased LP rewards to $6,000,000 for March Madness basketball games! 🔥
however, these do not work the same as normal LP rewards...
Here's what you need to know & how you can optimise your LP farming 👇
> LP Rewards are based on this formula
Score = (Discount Factor ^ ticks from the best price) x size
> The Discount Factor for March Madness basketball games is much harsher than normal markets
> Each tick away from the best price gives you an exponentially lower score
> The size of bid helps improve the score but the real alpha is where your bid is placed
Example: "Duke to win" pre-market
- Limit Order at Best price: 50c (Top Score -> 1)
- 1 tick away: 49c (Score -> 0.6)
- 2 ticks away: 48c (Score -> 0.26)
This means placing a bid 2 ticks away will earn you 84% less rewards than if it were at the best price in that moment
> Rewards = your score/total score
TLDR: the alpha is being at the top of the order book with size
These NCAA markets are riskier than normal but also very lucrative if you know what you are doing
Will be grinding for as many rewards as I can over the next 3 weeks 🤝
Polymarket@Polymarket
$6 MILLION. 🚨 Announcing $100,000 in liquidity rewards for every Men's CBB Tournament game on Polymarket US. Let the madness begin. Get started 👇 docs.polymarket.us/incentives/liq…
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@Nik_Poly @tsybka @PolymarketTrade it's fairly priced, it's only a 13% yearly return when the SPY is currently in it's AI supercycle, which would probably net you more than 13% yearly. also China could invade Taiwan at any moment, imo it's a stupid trade
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Traders have priced in a significant 27% probability for “China to invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027.”
Additionally, the market offers an “Earn 4%” rule, which increases annual yield on purchased shares.
According to U.S. intelligence data, China does not plan to invade Taiwan in 2027, instead favoring non-military approaches in this direction.
It seems like a safe investment, doesn’t it?
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@christinemal @SkrypterX @GollumGekko1 @MikeLevin @mehdirhasan Weapon industry is way worse. It allows for the killings to happen. No weapon industry no (or less) killings
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This is totally insane.
A war correspondent just received death threats from online gamblers who wanted him to change his reporting on an Iranian missile strike so they could collect a payout. One bettor had $900,000 riding on the outcome.
He told the journalist he knew where he lived and who his family members were.
This is what prediction markets on life and death actually look like in practice.
This is exactly why I introduced the DEATH BETS Act with Senator @AdamSchiff.
The DEATH BETS Act would ban contracts on assassinations, deaths of world leaders, and acts of war on platforms like Polymarket. This story shows exactly why that matters.
When you let people place million-dollar bets on whether a missile kills someone, you create a financial incentive to threaten journalists, manipulate information, and profit from human suffering.
washingtonpost.com/technology/202…
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@Nik_Poly The june one is even better IMO. It's sitting at 70c right now. I don't see how the regime falls by June
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HLTV Confirmed: Reload update, malbsMd & NertZ swap, EPL wrap up, BLAST Rotterdam hltv.org/news/44133/hlt…
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For your consideration, an update pertaining to Guns, Guides, and Games: steamcommunity.com/games/CSGO/ann…
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And today's Release Notes: steamcommunity.com/games/CSGO/ann…
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player participating in an official match at BLAST Open Rotterdam 2026 visibly breaks equipment during or immediately following that match by March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
I think that pic u sent might even not count
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