Navneet Khan

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Navneet Khan

Navneet Khan

@NoonAliphWow

PhD Candidate, MMAJ Academy of International Studies, Jamia Millia Islamia, New Delhi. || Ethnic Politics and Conflicts, Afghanistan, South Asia.

New Delhi, India شامل ہوئے Mart 2015
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Firstpost
Firstpost@firstpost·
India Can Play an Important Role in US Iran War, says @ProfessorPape highlights in conversation with @itsShubhangi.
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Veena
Veena@veenavenugopal·
Why @the_hindu matters
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Navneet Khan
Navneet Khan@NoonAliphWow·
Our Academic Institution, MMAJ Academy of International Studies, Jamia Millia Islamia, New Delhi, cordially invites you for a panel discussion on Democratic Transition in Nepal and Bangladesh chaired by Prof. Mathew Joseph C
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Navneet Khan
Navneet Khan@NoonAliphWow·
The Strait of Hormuz is one of the world's most critical energy chokepoints. Roughly 20-21 million barrels per day (mb/d) of crude oil and petroleum products — about 20-25% of global seaborne oil trade and ~20% of total world oil consumption — normally transit through it. Around 80% of this flow heads to Asia (especially China, India, Japan, and South Korea). It also carries significant LNG volumes, mainly from Qatar. Disruptions here have outsized effects because bypass pipelines (e.g., Saudi East-West or UAE routes) have limited capacity and cannot fully offset the volume.Recent Events and Market ReactionEarlier in the 2026 Iran conflict (starting late February), effective closure or severe restriction of the strait caused one of the largest supply shocks in history. Brent crude surged past $120/barrel at peaks, with prices rising 10-50%+ in waves as exports from the Persian Gulf were stranded. On April 17, Iran announced the strait is "completely open" to commercial vessels (including oil tankers) for the duration of the current ceasefire period, with coordinated routes near Iranian coasts and under Iranian authorization. Military vessels remain restricted. Markets reacted sharply: Oil prices plunged 10-13% in a single session. Brent fell to around $86-89/barrel, while WTI dropped toward $79-83/barrel. This erased recent weekly gains but left prices still elevated compared to pre-war levels (~$70-72). Stocks surged (e.g., Dow up 2%+, airlines, cruise lines, and housing-related firms gained strongly) on eased inflation fears and lower input costs. However, uncertainty persists:The US naval blockade of Iranian ports remains in full force until a "100% complete" deal is reached, per President Trump. Iran warns the strait’s status depends on ending the blockade; it could revert to "strict control" or closure otherwise. aje.news Broader Oil Market ImpactsSupply Side: Even partial restrictions stranded millions of barrels daily. The US and others released strategic reserves and issued sanctions waivers (e.g., for Russian oil) to mitigate shortages. Full reopening could gradually restore flows, but production ramp-up in the region takes time, and insurance/shipping risks remain elevated. Price Volatility: Geopolitical risk premium has dominated. Spikes hurt importers; the recent drop provides short-term relief but could reverse quickly on any escalation. Downstream Effects:Gasoline & Jet Fuel: US pump prices rose significantly during disruptions; the drop should ease consumer fuel costs. Global Inflation: Higher oil feeds into broader prices, especially in energy-import-dependent economies. Regional Winners/Losers: Gulf exporters faced revenue hits from stranded oil; Asian importers (heavily reliant on the strait) saw shortages and rationing risks earlier. Longer-Term Outlook: Analysts note that even with reopening, lingering effects (damaged infrastructure, higher risk premiums, disrupted contracts) could keep prices supported above pre-crisis levels through 2026. Full resolution depends on negotiations. Iran closes Strait of Hormuz again, citing US "piracy" and ongoing port blockade.IRGC: Control returned to "previous state" over US actions. Trump: Naval blockade stays in force until deal with Iran is "100% complete." Tensions persist amid claims of false statements from both sides. Bottom LineThe Iranian announcement delivered immediate relief to oil markets by signaling restored commercial flows, triggering a sharp sell-off and equity rally. Yet the standoff over the US blockade introduces ongoing fragility — any breakdown in ceasefire talks could quickly re-tighten supply and send prices spiking again.This remains a fast-moving story heavily tied to diplomatic progress. Markets are pricing in cautious optimism for now, but the risk premium is far from gone. #StraitOfHormuz #iranusisrael
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Afghan Analyst
Afghan Analyst@AfghanAnalyst2·
𝗧𝗮𝗹𝗶𝗯𝗮𝗻 𝗔𝗱𝗺𝗶𝗻𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻: 𝗜𝗻𝗰𝗹𝘂𝘀𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗪𝗶𝘁𝗵𝗶𝗻, 𝗘𝘅𝗰𝗹𝘂𝘀𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗕𝗲𝘆𝗼𝗻𝗱 Recent claims by the Taliban’s foreign minister that their administration reflects ethnic diversity and balance have been widely criticized. It is important to recognize that the Taliban’s notion of “inclusivity” appears limited to members of the movement itself, meaning those who fought for the group from any ethnic group are now occupying key government positions. For example, a photo recently shared by a pro-Taliban Facebook account shows three Tajik Taliban fighters from Badakhshan province during the insurgency who now hold prominent roles as Chief of Army Staff, Governor of Helmand Province, and Governor of Farah Province. This suggests that Tajik and Uzbek Taliban commanders have been incorporated into leadership positions primarily on the basis of their contributions to the insurgency over the past two decades, rather than as part of a broader, genuinely representative political framework.
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Lina Rozbih@LinaRozbih

This is the image of the Taliban's "inclusive" government! A government that is consisted of extremist Mullahs from some parts of Afghanistan! It seems like the Taliban are mocking the world every time that the world requests them to abide by the promises that they made in Qatar, including the promise of creating an inclusive government.

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Mandeep Singh Bajwa
Mandeep Singh Bajwa@MandeepBajwa·
A fake narrative. The matter never reached Nehru. Kairon had far too much respect for the armed forces to pursue such a course of action. The incident died down after the beating of the CM's sons. I can say this with confidence since my father was officiating as senior operations staff officer in the HQ of the division at Jalandhar and monitored the situation. This version is meant to damage Nehru's image.
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Navneet Khan@NoonAliphWow·
India is pursuing it's foreign policy with a delicate without recognising the Taliban. India's de facto engagement is justified because of national security apprehensions. Last time, India supported the United Front. No opposition to the Taliban rn,India will think for itself 1st
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Navneet Khan@NoonAliphWow·
What India has done in the last 2-3 years, combined US NATO and Afghan Republic government wasn't able to do. It was turning Taliban against Pakistan. 30 years of close relationship broken just because, India opened up ties with the Taliban. India is pursuing it's foreign policy
M. Ashraf Haidari@MAshrafHaidari

India, once seen as a principled partner, appeared to shift from values to interests. Today, a growing number of Afghans see Pakistan and India less as rivals and more as two powers converging in effect, one sustaining the Taliban through long sponsorship, the other normalizing it through gradual accommodation.

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Navneet Khan@NoonAliphWow·
Both should agree that mediation is a long-game and given the fact, Israel's aversion to this mediation and Pakistan's political signalling against Israel, this ceasefire won't hold long. There is no-point in celebrating a two weak ceasefire as diplomatic success.
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Navneet Khan@NoonAliphWow·
Both posts miss the point Pakistan's mediation is not about peace, it's abt giving the world economy a lifeline (including Pak and India). Being a middle power, access to both the US and Iran, grt rapport with gulf nations, and sizeable Shia population, Pakistan pulled it off
Yashwant Deshmukh 🇮🇳@YRDeshmukh

Sanjay Bhai, I am neither a diplomat nor foreign affairs expert. I am just like other 99.9999% Indians, with below average understanding of foreign affairs. This is why I also end up reporting that overwhelming majority of Indians (including the BJP supporters) are sympathetic towards Iran against America and they have zero respect for what Trump says or stands for. My daily trackers are also giving empirical evidence that 3 out of 4 indians trust old friend Russia rather than US. BUT more than 70% are also saying this is NOT our war and we should remain neutral. They say China is our bigger headache than Pakistan, and they absolutely do not believe that Pakistan has anything remotely to do with the word "Peace". And yes, they do NOT feel that Pakistan has scored over India, because they don't think Pakistan can be taken seriously in anything that requires even a token of sincerity. This is what the common man thinks, and my job is just to report that. My personal bias comes from whatever the public numbers tell me. You are right, all these positions lack nuance and subtle sophistication of foreign policy speak. I might be missing the woods for the trees in international diplomacy for sure. But I am generally spot on reading the public sentiment, and that tells me that majority of Indians do not like to be pushed to consume the narrative that Pakistan has scored over India, that too with a gleeful smile. These uneducated unsophisticated lot of Indians might even appreciate that narrative, if it was true. But I just don't know how these buggers just manage to see through the not-so-subtle happiness that some in the ecosystem reserve for bashing our foreign policies and leadership in such scenarios. Rest assured, I am always willing to learn what the data wants to teach me.

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Navneet Khan@NoonAliphWow·
@BloodDonorsIn Urgent Requirement of Blood A- ( A- Negative) Paras Hospital, Panchkula, Haryana. Sumit Kumar Contact Number - +91 72066 66734
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Atif Mian
Atif Mian@AtifRMian·
Pakistan conference @ Harvard on Sunday April 12th Pakistan's finance minister, Muhammad Aurangzeb, Daron Acemoglu and I will join Reza Baqir to discuss Pakistan's economic agenda Join us if you are in the area - details below
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Navneet Khan
Navneet Khan@NoonAliphWow·
The Recent news of Pakistan acting as the messenger or mediator between the USA and Iran is significant. There is credible news that Islamabad and Pindi, are dialing to Washington DC and Tehran on several occasions during this US-Iran conflict. #USIranwar lnkd.in/gGjfD6u8
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Navneet Khan@NoonAliphWow·
China's mediation in Afghan-Pak conflict is significant. The common denominator in Pakistan's demand from the Taliban Will reduction of India's strategic space in Afghanistan. It will be soon clear how strong is the bond of Marx and Mullah?
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Navneet Khan@NoonAliphWow·
India's humanitarian support for the people of Afghanistan continues through air freight corridor due to closure of Chabahar port. The devastating floods and earthquake in Afghanistan need more nations to contribute for Humanitarian aid.
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