Raj
7.8K posts

Raj
@SWCPerShare
#SWC IPO Hodler , MUFC
West Midlands, England شامل ہوئے Mayıs 2011
474 فالونگ454 فالوورز

Interesting to see how many of my followers will be doing the below? @PinguStacks dont be selling any.. for this ok 👀🤣
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STRC down to $82.6 today. Here's my read:
1. Strategy is fine. If everything stays as is, they can pay STRC dividends for 32 years. If BTC appreciates at ~2% CAGR, they can pay dividends indefinitely.
2. Why the sell-off? This appears to be a liquidation cascade.
Over the last 6 months, the narrative became that STRC volatility was reducing, and price began to spend all its time in $99-100 range.
This invites leverage. If you expect the price to always be north of $95, you can take on 20x leverage with your portfolio to buy more STRC and dramatically increase the yield on your portfolio.
This works great, until it doesn't.
STRC is designed as a free-market asset. When attention shifted to SATA and STRC price flagged, it may have raised the attention of opportunistic short-selling hedge funds.
By shorting aggressively, they could push the price down and start triggering margin calls and liquidations from folks who aggressively levered up their STRC positions.
The price action today is a clear liquidation cascade, rapidly pushing prices lower, in turn triggering additional liquidations.
3.
What happens now? The market will heal itself.
Opportunistic hedge funds will recognize that this is a firesale and the fundamentals are unchanged for STRC and step in as buyers. Shorts will close, becoming buyers. Individuals are getting a tremendous entry price for long-term holding STRC shares.
Buyers at this level will get ~13.7% effective yield. If STRC trades back to $100 and they sell, they get an easy +18% return.
4.
What will Strategy do?
Strategy will likely increase the dividend rate on June 30 - maybe to 11.75% but possibly to 12%. Buyers at the current price level then would get 14.2% effective yield from that point forward.
Strategy may also step in to buy STRC shares back. They could do this by issuing new shares of MSTR (currently at 1.14 mNAV) or by taking on traditional debt and deploying those funds to buy discounted STRC shares on the market.
If/when STRC trades back to $100, Strategy could then re-issue those STRC shares. The ~$15 delta per share could be used to buy BTC as pure accretion to MSTR holders, with no net change to amplification.
No doubt that Saylor has already at least considered this, and it wouldn't surprise me if they're currently doing this.
5.
In summary...
The market is freaked out that this depeg is like Terra/Luna... but this is not an asset like that. Strategy's balance sheet determines whether STRC continues to receive dividend payments... and Strategy's balance sheet is completely unchanged.
This is a leverage wipeout.
From this, the market will learn that Digital Credit is mostly very low volatility. But because it is a free market asset, the longer that a Digital Credit instrument trades within a tight range to par... the more leverage will inevitably pile up as people get greedy.
And that creates the conditions for a leverage wipeout depeg. Following that, the instrument will make its way back to par value as the market heals itself and recognizes that the dividend payments will continue uninterrupted because the issuer's balance sheet is unaffected.

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@Lizardhunt_ Accidentally pressed buy?
The stock accidentally pressed 'delete portfolio' mode 😂
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@WatcherGuru Huge relief seeing traffic resume in the Strait of Hormuz.
With ~20% of global oil flowing through there, this should help ease energy prices and stabilize supply chains.
Big win for diplomacy if the deal holds through the next 60 days of talks. 🛢️✌️
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@eurofootcom These two unlocked the DLC version of the match while everyone else was still on the base game 😂
Phone > TV, 2026 edition
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@DuncanInvests What an age to start.. Keep it up and you'll be retired in no time!
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Hey everyone, Just a little bit about me, I’m 19 from the UK 🇬🇧 Been investing for about 1.5 years. Super impressed by how chill and welcoming everyone seems here. Excited to learn from you all, share my little wins (and fails), and watch my portfolio grow Feel free to say hello! I look forward to the journey 📷 Happy investing!
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Meanwhile in the $BTC market...
Sick to death of the price action at this point, it's a joke 😂
"You can look stupid before you look right" - Said some guy, probably.
Here's to looking like fools investing in a bleeding asset class, to do a reverse UNO when people lose faith in us and we pull a 10x gain over the next few years 😂🤷♂️

Kalshi Finance@Kalshi_Finance
JUST IN: $900,000,000,000 was added to the U.S. stock market at open today
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@ben__investing It's mainly the huge $200B capex guidance for 2026 on AI/data centers that's weighing on the stock short-term (investors hate the hit to free cash flow).
Long-term it's building AWS dominance though. Solid company at these levels if you're patient 👍
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Pre-orders for Grand Theft Auto VI will officially begin on June 25 on digital storefronts and at other select retailers.
Check out the official cover art, also available as downloadable artwork at rockstargames.com/VI
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End of year picnic celebration event for the students - love it!🍦#education #teacher #furthereducation

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Currently busy at work and have no exciting updates today as I have a penny to my name... so let me tell you about my bargain of the month 🥸
£121.47 for 156 protein cookies, 38g protein each, cost per cookie 78p.
That's LOT of convenient protein for your money... and ofc used my @Krak card for 1.5% cashback on top.
They had a deal on where if you spend £120 you get an extra case for free... and utilised the subscription offer to reduce them from like £17.99 per case to £13.49 per case... will then just cancel the subscription and profit off the difference 😂
Deliberately not tagging the company just incase they don't approve of my cheeky subscription hack, but there's some advice for you if you wanna save some money haha.
Always looking for a saving 🤷♂️
Have a good day all 🐧🫡


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@SWCPerShare I've just gone premium yesterday and had an influx for new followers...99% of which are spam/bot accounts, a good ROI so far 😂 .
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@PinguStacks 😂 guess i am not one to talk.. but cant say i am not loyal haha!
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@SWCPerShare What's this diversification thing you're on about, never heard of it??? 😂👀
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Inflation at 2.8% is quietly eating cash sat in the bank 💸
Using a Stocks & Shares ISA fixes that + teaches you real skills:
📈 Financially: compounding, diversification & long-term thinking
🧠 Mentally: patience, emotional control & discipline through volatility
Stop losing purchasing power. Start investing tax-free instead.
#StocksISA #UKInvesting #BeatInflation
GIF
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