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SleekMouse
3.2K posts

SleekMouse
@SleekMouse
Free market libertarian economist living in a fiat socialist world expert pantomimer
right behind u شامل ہوئے Mayıs 2008
184 فالونگ96 فالوورز

@marklevinshow take your pennies and shove them up your ass. We are separated by an ocean. Not our fight. My generation will never fight your wars in the future. Your anti-american ideology will not survive "great one"
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The fastest way to end the war with Iran is to actually defeat the regime or make a deal that doesn't defeat the regime but attempts to contain it. The truth is that it cannot be permanently contained for several reasons, including that if a Democrat becomes president, or even an isolationist or establishment Republican, the necessary military force will not be used to ensure compliance because the regime itself is fundamentally and ultimately incapable of honoring a deal given its fundamentalist Islamist ideology. Also, the public will tire of it over a course of years (a forever war) and there will be other enemies that will require some form of attention, thereby requiring our military resources to also deal with them in some form -- perhaps an even bigger foe, like Red China.
To defeat the regime requires: 1. continued military operations aimed at obliterating the IRGC and perhaps key dual use infrastructure; 2. continued maximum economic pressure, especially continuation of the blockade; AND 3. arming the people in Iran, a very important and necessary resource (we've done this before during the Reagan administration and I presume the CIA is still up to the task).
The president will be criticized regardless of how he proceeds, as the Democrats and their media are rooting for the enemy and hope to gain advantage in the midterms. So, they must be ignored. But a real victory will not only ensure our security from a nuclear-obsessed terrorist regime beyond the Trump presidency (as it won't exist any longer), but the American people will ultimately praise it as victory has a way of focusing the mind and the heart (which should have political benefits as well). I am concerned that waiting for the enemy to come forward with some kind of an offer, which might be framed as a victory, could be problematic.
I must caution, however, as I have before, that I am not privy to all the information. And I also underscore that President Trump is never to be underestimated. He is a truly gutsy and great leader. Indeed, he has done more than all previous seven presidents who preceded him combined to deal with the Iranian regime's grave threat. And for this alone he will be remembered long after most of us are gone.
That's my 2 cents worth, again.
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SleekMouse ری ٹویٹ کیا

@Parodyjeffx Form of projection. They divide us along race, class, and gender lines. Thus they are very sensitive to it being done back to them.
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@reallyjimmay @defense_civil25 feckless? theyve been opposing the U.S. and it's sanctions for 50 years. They overthrew the shah we put there. they are blocking the strait causing much grief since being attacked first. You are a delusional clown. A mental midget.
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@defense_civil25 Virtually the entire proposal is dead on arrival. Six weeks from now, when the blockade is in full force and the regime is exposed as the feckless thugs they are, let’s see the proposal. Or a year from now. We couldn’t care less.
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🚨Update: Iran sent the U.S. a new offer 10 minutes after Pakistan talks were canceled:
Here is there proposal -
1. U.S. guarantee of non-aggression — A binding commitment from the U.S. (and allies) against future attacks on Iran, confirmed by the UN Security Council!
2. Iranian control of the Strait of Hormuz — Iran retains full control, including possibly regulating passage and charging fees on shipping (a major economic and strategic demand).
3. Restrictions on Iranian nuclear activities for 10 years, but also Acceptance of Iran’s right to uranium enrichment — Formal recognition of Iran’s nuclear enrichment activities (for civilian purposes, per Iran), with Iran committing not to build nuclear weapons.
4–5. Lifting of all primary and secondary sanctions — Removal of direct U.S. sanctions on Iran and sanctions on third parties doing business with Iran.
6–7. Termination of UN Security Council and IAEA resolutions against Iran (related to its nuclear program and other issues).
8. Reparations/compensation for war damages to Iran (infrastructure, military, etc.).
9. U.S. military withdrawal from the region (combat forces from bases in the Middle East).
10. Cessation of hostilities on all fronts — End to regional wars, including against Iran’s allies/proxies like Hezbollah in Lebanon, and broader “Axis of Resistance” groups.

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SleekMouse ری ٹویٹ کیا

@TheRoyalSerf Yes but they took all those parts and made them part of their culture. What stupid propaganda. You replace the GENETICS and you won't be SCANDINAVIAN ANYMORE. THAT IS THE CLAIM THIS IS TRYING TO MAKE AND FAILS AT. FALSE ARGUMENT. FALSE EQUIVALENCY.
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🇺🇸 The Iran war is handing America a level of energy dominance it couldn't have achieved any other way.
U.S. crude exports hit a record 5.2 million barrels a day last week.
Europe now gets over a third of its jet fuel from U.S. refineries.
Countries across Asia are signing long-term LNG contracts with American suppliers because they have nowhere else to turn.
Europe and Asia are getting the message, and they don't love it.
Both regions are wary of swapping dependence on Middle East energy for dependence on Washington, especially after U.S. officials used energy as a weapon in trade talks last month.
The war didn't just reshape global oil flows, it also handed the U.S. a chokehold over who gets energy and on what terms.
Source: Financial Times
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@techmudder @MarioNawfal If i wanted ai's take id open chatgpt you clown.
"Chatgpt write me a cutting insightful retort 😭"
Youre a clown.
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Mario Nawfal, the X panic merchant who turns every Iranian tweet into end-of-the-world clickbait, is at it again with this cartoonish fear porn.
Iran “dropping the hammer” by charging a toll in the Strait of Hormuz while banning half the planet and demanding the world call it the “Strait of Persia”? That’s not power, that’s a broke, sanctions-strangled regime throwing a tantrum after Israel humiliated them. They can’t even control their own waters without getting turned into fish food by the U.S. Navy.
Trump doesn’t want war because he doesn’t need one. Real strength keeps these mullah clowns in check. Your “global economy can’t afford it” cope is the same weak sauce that invited chaos under previous administrations.
Iran is desperate, isolated, and lashing out. The only thing “felt for generations” is how fast their regime is circling the drain while you hype their empty threats for engagement.
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Iran just dropped the hammer!
They just announced they are now charging a toll for all ships that go through the Straight of Hormuz
The fee has to be paid in their local currency, and any country that participated in the war has to pay an ADDITIONAL fee. Oh and Israel is banned
On top of this, they are banning ships from countries that are sanctioning Iran: 🇺🇸 🇪🇺 🇬🇧 🇨🇦 🇦🇺 🇯🇵 🇰🇷
And to make things worse, as a middle finger to Trump, they are asking all countries to call it the Strait of Persia 😂
Iran know Trump does not want to return to war, the global economy cannot afford it, and they are making the most out of the situation
The effects of this war will be felt for generations to come. We're just starting to see the consequences unfold
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@KobeissiLetter You got 2 years and then youre gone. If you arent impeached after the midterms i mean.
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SleekMouse ری ٹویٹ کیا

@marklevinshow Im certain those weapons wont fall into irgc hands, be sold on the black market, or be used by terrorists later.
I think ive seen this one before
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My 2 cents on the fastest way to defeat the Iranian regime on our terms
Resume overwhelming military action (especially targeting the IRGC and key dual-use infrastructure), along with continued maximum economic pressure AND arm the Iranian people (Reagan Doctrine). I believe this will bring the war to its fastest conclusion, one way or another (that is, either militarily or by negotiation) and to our country's and the world's benefit. It will either result in a military victory or a negotiated victory on our terms. We must NOT fear a conclusive victory. And, if the regime is eliminated or removed, replaced with a friendly government, we can encourage investment and commerce with Iran that will help rebuild it. History is my guide.
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@glennbeck This clown just figured this out? Wait til he finds out about the shadow market iran has been developing for 5 decades 😂😂
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Time is NOT on Iran's side. Trump is using this peace deal to remind Iran that if the Strait of Hormuz isn’t opened fully, they will be sitting on more oil than they can produce. Their stockpiles will be capped, they'll be forced to stop production, and if they can’t move their oil, it could ruin them. Trump knew exactly how to choke Iran the moment the peace talks started. This is huge.
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@Kubik339 @TRobinsonNewEra Not true. Usa is 15% foreign born. China could only dream of such a percentage. Noone else is being flooded like this.
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SleekMouse ری ٹویٹ کیا

@scrowder Claim: if iran had nukes theyd use them!
Truth: no they wouldnt, it would just be a detterent. Using them first is guaranteed extinction.
Claim: all this bs you wrote
Truth: my 1 point nullifies all of yours.
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CLAIM: “60% enriched uranium doesn’t mean anything.”
TRUTH: No country has ever passed 30% and not built a bomb.
CLAIM: “Iran wasn’t close to getting a weapon. It’s all a lie!”
TRUTH: According to nuclear weapons experts, Iran was very close to a weapon. Give them 5–6 months, and the probability of success jumps to 84%.
CLAIM: “It’s all a political distraction.”
TRUTH: Trump has made Iran a focal point for 45 years.
CLAIM: “Trump is EVEN failing at immigration.”
TRUTH: Trump has MASSIVELY improved immigration deportations.
- Roughly 2.5M deportations total
- Border crossings down 97%
- Net migration negative for the first time in 50 years
- Asylum claims down 99%
- Refugees down 90%
Christopher C. Cuomo@ChrisCuomo
Find out why Iran was never weeks away from a nuclear weapon — and why that blows the entire case for this war apart. Join The Chris Cuomo Project on YouTube for ad-free episodes, early releases, exclusive access to Chris, and more: youtu.be/wFTUnrpHY0E
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SleekMouse ری ٹویٹ کیا
SleekMouse ری ٹویٹ کیا

I have three monitors on my desk. The left one shows the order book. The middle one shows Truth Social. The right one shows the investigation queue.
On April 21st, the left screen moved first.
I am a Senior Surveillance Analyst at a commodities exchange. I have held this position for nineteen years. My job is to monitor trading activity for suspicious patterns and generate compliance reports. I am employee of the quarter. I have a mug.
At 19:54 GMT on April 21st, someone placed 4,260 sell orders on Brent crude futures. They did this during post-settlement. The window after the market closes when daily volume is typically in the dozens. Sometimes single digits. Sometimes I watch the screen and nothing happens for forty minutes and I think about whether my daughter is happy.
On April 21st, someone placed $430 million in directional bets in 120 seconds during that window. One hundred and twenty seconds. I timed it on my watch because the system clock rounds to the nearest minute and I have found, in nineteen years, that precision matters to no one but me.
At 20:10 GMT, the President posted on Truth Social that he was extending the Iran ceasefire.
Brent dropped from $100.91 to $96.83.
I flagged the trade. I flag a lot of trades. I want to tell you what happens to my flags.
My flags go into a system called TRACE. Trade Review and Compliance Evaluation. I did not name it. The system generates a report. The report goes to a committee. The committee has a name I am not allowed to share but I can tell you it meets quarterly and the conference room has a credenza with bottled water that is sparkling because someone once put still water in the room and a managing director sent an email about it that was longer than most of my surveillance reports.
The committee reviews my flags. The committee has reviewed all of my flags. Here is the complete record of actions taken on my flags in 2026:
Reviewed.
That's it. "Reviewed" is a status. In compliance, a status is the absence of an action that has been given a name so it looks like one.
Let me show you my flags.
March 9th. Someone bet millions on oil falling at 18:29 GMT. Forty-seven minutes later, a CBS reporter posted that the President said the Iran war was "very complete, pretty much." Oil dropped 25%. Forty-seven minutes. I flagged it.
March 23rd. Someone sold 5,100 lots of Brent and WTI crude futures between 10:49 and 10:50 GMT. Fourteen minutes later, the President posted on Truth Social about a "COMPLETE AND TOTAL RESOLUTION" to hostilities. Oil dropped 11%. Over 13,000 contracts traded in sixty seconds after the post. Fourteen minutes. I flagged it.
April 7th. Someone established a $950 million short position in oil futures at 19:45 GMT. Three hours later, the President declared a two-week ceasefire. Nine hundred and fifty million dollars. I flagged it.
April 17th. Someone placed $760 million in bearish bets twenty minutes before Iran's foreign minister confirmed the Strait of Hormuz would reopen. Seven hundred and sixty million. I flagged it.
April 21st. The $430 million. Fifteen minutes. I flagged it.
That is $2.1 billion in directional oil bets in April alone. Every one of them landed on the correct side of a presidential announcement. Every one of them was placed in a window so narrow you could measure it in bathroom breaks. I flagged every single one.
The CFTC chair told a Congressional committee that his organization has "zero tolerance" for fraud and insider trading. I wrote that quote on a Post-it note and stuck it to my right monitor. The one that shows the investigation queue. The investigation queue has not moved since March.
Zero tolerance. Zero staff. Zero budget. Zero prosecutions under the STOCK Act since it was signed in 2012.
Fourteen years. The law has existed for fourteen years and has been enforced zero times. In compliance, we call that a compliance rate of one hundred percent. No cases filed means no cases lost. You cannot fail an audit you never conduct. We call that excellence.
Last month the White House sent an internal email to staff. I was not on the distribution list but I have read reporting on it and I need you to sit with what I am about to say. The email instructed White House staff not to use insider information to place bets on prediction markets.
The White House had to send a memo telling its own employees not to insider-trade.
I want you to read that sentence again. Not because the instruction was unclear. Because the instruction was necessary. Because someone in the building looked at the same pattern I have been flagging for months on my three monitors and decided the appropriate response was an email.
The President's son sits on the advisory board of Kalshi. He is an investor in Polymarket. Both are prediction markets. Both saw accounts created days before U.S. military action.
One account. I cannot stop thinking about this account. It was called "Burdensome-Mix." It was created in December. On January 2nd, it placed $32,500 on Venezuela's president being removed from power. On January 3rd, Maduro was seized by U.S. special forces. Burdensome-Mix collected $436,000. Then it changed its username. Then it disappeared.
One account is a coincidence. But there were six.
Six accounts were created on Polymarket in February. All bet on U.S. strikes on Iran by the 28th. When the President confirmed the strikes, the six accounts collected $1.2 million between them. Five of the six never placed another bet. The sixth went on to correctly predict the ceasefire date and made another $163,000.
My surveillance system logged all of this. My system logs everything. My system does not have opinions and neither do I. I generate reports. The reports go to committees. The committees meet quarterly. Between meetings, the windows get shorter and the bets get larger.
March 9th: 47 minutes. March 23rd: 14 minutes. April 17th: 20 minutes. April 21st: 15 minutes.
The window is compressing. In March, you had time to make coffee between the trade and the announcement. By April, you had time to send a text. By summer, at this rate, the trade and the announcement will be the same event.
The spokesman said any implication that administration officials are engaged in insider trading is "baseless and irresponsible reporting."
Then the White House sent the email again.
I have been in compliance for nineteen years. I have seen insider trading run out of strip mall offices by men who could not spell "derivative." I have seen pump-and-dump schemes coordinated over WhatsApp by people who used their real names. I have seen a man try to manipulate soybean futures from a Panera Bread.
I have never seen $2.1 billion in perfectly timed trades across five presidential announcements in a single month go uninvestigated.
But I have also never seen a compliance system work this beautifully. Every trade flagged. Every report filed. Every committee briefed. Every quarterly meeting attended. Bottled water: sparkling. Minutes: distributed.
Zero prosecutions.
As long as the flags go up and the cases don't, my performance review says I am meeting expectations.
I am meeting expectations. The system is meeting expectations. The $2.1 billion is meeting expectations. The fourteen-year-old law with zero prosecutions is meeting expectations.
The left screen moves. The middle screen moves. The right screen stays perfectly, immaculately still.
In my field, we call this price discovery.
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SleekMouse ری ٹویٹ کیا

Very smart decision to keep the blockade in place to put maximum pressure on the terrorist regime in Iran.
While I support a diplomatic solution as the preferred outcome to bring Iran to heel, we must remember Iran’s history of keeping their word and honoring deals. It is, at best, checkered.
Accomplishing these objectives is the only way to ensure stability in the region going forward and makes sure Tehran does not go back to its old ways:
- Doing whatever it takes to get the highly enriched uranium out of Iran so they cannot make a dirty bomb
- Ensuring the regime can never enrich uranium again — which is different than peaceful nuclear power
- Capping and monitoring the regime’s drone and missiles program
- Ending Iran’s support for terrorist proxies
I trust President Trump to make the right decision and pick the right method to achieve these results. For the sake of the world and the region, the sooner these results are achieved, the better.
Rapid Response 47@RapidResponse47
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