Ted

The approach vector [green] and an approximate trajectory [blue] of an aircraft [the second one] that had been doing a bombing run at the time of the 2023-10-17 Al-Ahli hospital explosion. 3 red pins - geolocated explosions, green pins - candidates for other 11 airstrikes.

@mandymonster13 @DoctorLemma youtube.com/watch?v=c17xyd…

In 1928, a Finnish man named Eino Kettunen wrote a folk song about a girl who sneaks out to dance all night. Decades later in 1995, a quartet named Loituma recorded an a cappella version of the track. It was largely forgotten by the mainstream. Then in 2006, an anonymous user took a tiny vocal loop from that recording and uploaded it to a Russian blogging website. They paired the audio with a simple flash animation of the character Orihime Inoue from the anime Bleach endlessly spinning a leek. The viral explosion was so intense that it forced the disbanded folk quartet to reunite. A 1928 acoustic folk song accidentally became a massive club hit and ringtone sensation, dominating European music charts nearly eighty years after it was written.

Don't mean to put Jean on blast, but I want to address a specific comment he made on Israeli settlements in Lebanon, since it represents a view shared by a segment of the Leb population: "There was never any attempt to establish settlements in the South before". The truth is more complicated. Yes, Israel never built any settlements in Lebanon when they occupied parts of it pre-2000, but it's not because they didn't have any ambitions to; they did early on after the June 1982 invasion, but one of the key reasons why Israel never succeeded in formally establishing settlements in South Lebanon (akin to those in the West Bank and the Golan), despite its long occupation, is because of fierce Lebanese armed resistance to its presence (by Jammoul and a number of Shia armed groups, including what later became Hizballah), which first forced them to retreat to the "Southern Security Strip" by 1985, and then forced them to withdraw from Lebanon in 2000, given the casualties they incurred and the long term cost of maintaining the occupation. It's not well-known (or well remembered) that the far-right Tehiya party (strongly connected with the Gush Emunim messianic settler movement) joined the Begin government on July 22 1982 (right after the invasion of Lebanon), with Tehiya's Yuval Ne'eman becoming a member of Begin's cabinet. A month prior, Ne'eman laid out his views on Southern Lebanon in an article in the Jerusalem Post. His conclusion was that "Israel will have an opportunity of reaching a stage of socio-economic development in the nearby region which, geographically and historically, is an integral part of Eretz Israel. Israel could possibly even reach an agreement on border rectification" [see comment section for source]. Meanwhile Gush Emunim was literally running paid advertisements in Maariv (widely read back then), about colonization of the South [see comment section for source]. Contemporaneous secret reports from the US State Departement and the National Intelligence Council also indicate Washington's suspicions that Israel planned on building settlements in Lebanon. For example, in a Washington Post article from Nov 27 1982, Jack Anderson [see comment section for source] reveals that: "Secret reports shown to my associates Dale Van Atta and Ron McCrae indicate why the White House is disturbed. One secret state department report, for example, had this to say on September 15, as the Israeli invasion of West Beirut was proceeding apace: "there is a danger that Israel's logistical operations will evolve into permanent administrative agencies". In other words, the suspicion is that Israel is in the process of building a military civilian government for Israeli occupied Lebanon. The same pattern of Israeli infiltration that has been seen in the West Bank territories seems to be evolving in Lebanon. The ultra-nationalist extremist group Gush Emunim, is planning to put Israeli settlements in Southern Lebanon, according to US reports". Another secret report from July 7 1983 [see comment section for source], declassified in 2007, from Charles Waterman, Vice Chairman of the US National Intelligence Council, to Stephen Bosworth, Director of Policy Planning for the State Department, reveals that: "Some ultra Zionists will push for annexing the South. Already some members of the Tehiya party have argued that the 1949 armistice line is artificial and does not represent the historic northern border of Palestine. Other ultra-nationalists have spoken about ancient Hebrew ties to Southern Lebanon. While these groups are clearly now on the extreme fringes of the Israeli body politic the past experience of changing Israeli attitudes toward the West Bank, Gaza, Golan and even Sinai indicates that a long occupation develops ideological justifications". So the truth is much more nuanced than "there was never any attempt to establish settlements in the South before". There were certainly ambitions to do exactly that, but they never materialized, in no small part because of Lebanese armed resistance.

@dlLambo Why not quote the source? The thread contains more info on every strike. x.com/_BvdM/status/2…

The IDF has now destroyed 7 bridges over the Litani river. Blatant war crimes to seize a massive chunk of Lebanon. And the world is talking about empty ambulances in high questionable circumstances... When will they be stopped - they're destroying the world.

The IDF has now struck seven bridges over the Litani river. Documenting them in this thread. @GeoConfirmed

When Mossad outsources their work to AI chatbots:

Israel just destroyed Al-Qasmiyeh bridge, the lifeline of southern Lebanon The Qasmiyeh Bridge is considered one of the most vital strategic crossings in south Lebanon, widely known as the “artery of the South” due to its central role in connecting southern districts, from Bint Jbeil and Tyre to Sidon and the capital Beirut. Located roughly 10 kilometers north of Tyre, the bridge serves as a primary junction on the coastal highway linking Beirut with Tyre and Lebanon’s southern border regions. The bridge represents the main connection between the northern and southern Litani, meaning its destruction effectively isolate vast areas of southern Lebanon from the capital and the rest of the country. During the July 2006 war, Israeli aircraft carried out repeated airstrikes on the Qasmiyeh Bridge, ultimately destroying it completely. The attacks began on the first day of the war, July 12, and continued with further strikes, including the bombing of a Lebanese Army position near the bridge on August 1, 2006, which resulted in the martyrdom of one soldier and injuries to three others.

On this day, two years ago, footage of one Israel’s horrific crimes was released by Al-Jazeera.

@JehadAbusalim x.com/TedNoNumbers/s…

@JoshuaPlinge @DrNeilStone Improved sanitation, establishment of the germ theory of disease, Scarlet fever serum, better supporting treatment, .. Note that that the chart does not show the decline of the scarlet fever, but of mortality from it.

@DrNeilStone Scarlet fever declined massively, well before antibiotics were introduced.

Antibiotics Because we have antibiotics for it

Breaking: ICC’s chief prosecutor has been cleared of all wrongdoing by a panel of judges appointed to review the findings of a UN investigation into sexual misconduct allegations against him, Middle East Eye can exclusively reveal 🧵 ⤵️

@rehsaonrat @MiddleEastBuka 😘

@TedNoNumbers @MiddleEastBuka oh wait, your account is full of retarded jihadi propaganda for morons. i yake my words back. it was empty, 350 tanks and 200 aircrafts were destroyed during last week only. together with million lebanese civilian victims, all in kindergartens. gfy.

Manipulated footage from Hezbollah is not new. 1. I slowed the impact segment - Trophy detection is visible. 2. Splited the moment into 100 ms frames. 3. Initial 3 frames (2 GIFs) show normal missile progression. 4. In the final 100 ms, the frame sequence jumps, probably zoom-in

@rehsaonrat @MiddleEastBuka you are likely right, thanks. the video of a reload I've used as a reference did not show clearly the frame/holder for the charge.

@TedNoNumbers @MiddleEastBuka it's not empty, you probably don't know what the empty one looks like. the fact it's painted grayish/blueish doesn't make it empty.

@rehsaonrat @MiddleEastBuka how so?

@TedNoNumbers @MiddleEastBuka it's not empty.

@geniusliberator @MichaelARothman Be more selective

@geniusliberator @MichaelARothman Not interested in watching this

𝗕𝗘𝗦𝗦𝗘𝗡𝗧 𝗝𝗨𝗦𝗧 𝗗𝗘𝗦𝗖𝗥𝗜𝗕𝗘𝗗 𝗧𝗛𝗘 𝗠𝗢𝗦𝗧 𝗕𝗥𝗜𝗟𝗟𝗜𝗔𝗡𝗧 𝗢𝗜𝗟 𝗪𝗔𝗥𝗙𝗔𝗥𝗘 𝗠𝗔𝗡𝗘𝗨𝗩𝗘𝗥 𝗬𝗢𝗨'𝗩𝗘 𝗘𝗩𝗘𝗥 𝗛𝗘𝗔𝗥𝗗. This is not improvisation. This is a plan that was built before the first strike was launched. Bessent called it a "break the glass" strategy — a coordinated administration-wide response to the energy disruption everyone knew was coming when Operation Epic Fury began. Here's what they did and what's coming: 𝗦𝘁𝗲𝗽 𝟭 — 𝗥𝘂𝘀𝘀𝗶𝗮𝗻 𝗼𝗶𝗹. Treasury unsanctioned Russian oil already on the water — approximately 130 million barrels of floating storage sitting beyond the Strait of Hormuz. Supply created. Price stabilized. Before the war started. 𝗦𝘁𝗲𝗽 𝟮 — 𝗜𝗿𝗮𝗻𝗶𝗮𝗻 𝗼𝗶𝗹. Here's where it gets breathtaking. Iran had been quietly pushing roughly 140 million barrels of sanctioned oil out onto the water — all of it headed to China. Bessent's move: unsanction it. Release it to the global market. That's 10 to 14 days of global supply — 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗶𝘁 𝗸𝗲𝗲𝗽𝘀 𝗼𝗶𝗹 𝗽𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗲𝘀 𝗱𝗼𝘄𝗻 𝘄𝗵𝗶𝗹𝗲 𝘄𝗲 𝗳𝗶𝗻𝗶𝘀𝗵 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗰𝗮𝗺𝗽𝗮𝗶𝗴𝗻. In his words: 𝘐𝘯 𝘦𝘴𝘴𝘦𝘯𝘤𝘦, 𝘸𝘦 𝘸𝘪𝘭𝘭 𝘣𝘦 𝘶𝘴𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘐𝘳𝘢𝘯𝘪𝘢𝘯 𝘣𝘢𝘳𝘳𝘦𝘭𝘴 𝘢𝘨𝘢𝘪𝘯𝘴𝘵 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘐𝘳𝘢𝘯𝘪𝘢𝘯𝘴. Oil that was supposed to fund the regime and go to China is instead being turned into a weapon against the regime's leverage over global energy prices. 𝗦𝘁𝗲𝗽 𝟯 — 𝗦𝗣𝗥. The largest coordinated Strategic Petroleum Reserve release in history — 400 million barrels — was approved last week by IEA member countries. More unilateral U.S. SPR releases are available if needed. 𝗧𝗵𝗲𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲𝗿𝗲'𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗹𝗮𝗿𝗴𝗲𝗿 𝗽𝗼𝗶𝗻𝘁. Brent crude and WTI — which had been trading in lockstep — have now substantially diverged. Why? Because the United States, thanks to Trump's energy independence push, is a net oil exporter. The Strait of Hormuz disruption 𝗵𝘂𝗿𝘁𝘀 𝗘𝘂𝗿𝗼𝗽𝗲 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗔𝘀𝗶𝗮. It does not hurt us the same way. When Trump tells European allies to send ships to patrol the Strait, his underlying message is blunt: 𝘺𝘰𝘶 𝘯𝘦𝘦𝘥 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘰𝘪𝘭. 𝘞𝘦 𝘥𝘰𝘯'𝘵. Every lever Bessent described was pre-planned. The Russian oil. The Iranian oil. The SPR. The energy independence baseline. None of this was improvised when the Strait of Hormuz got disrupted — it was engineered in advance so the disruption couldn't be used as a weapon against us. 𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗶𝘁 𝗹𝗼𝗼𝗸𝘀 𝗹𝗶𝗸𝗲 𝘄𝗵𝗲𝗻 𝗮𝗻 𝗮𝗱𝗺𝗶𝗻𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗽𝗹𝗮𝗻𝘀 𝗮𝗵𝗲𝗮𝗱.

@geniusliberator @LFriszt If Genghis Khan ...

@TedNoNumbers @LFriszt Other examples you think of prior to that?

He really did. If he hadn't come to power, Saddam wouldn't have invaded, the most pointlessly destructive war in history wouldn't have happened, and Iran would likely be a normal country by now.

@geniusliberator @LFriszt There are many "if this did not happen - things would be different".

@LFriszt @TedNoNumbers do you agree with this?

@geniusliberator @AdHaque110 yep

@AdHaque110 @TedNoNumbers

Correct. If the U.S. launches attacks on Iran from Gulf States, that may make them responsible for an act of aggression and permit Iran to use force against U.S. bases in self-defense. But Iran's attacks in civilian areas are clearly illegal under IHL.

The "failed rocket" is a staple of atrocity denial. Israel used it after the Qana massacre and the Al Ahli airstrike. It is now being revived for Minab. But regardless of how many times it is debunked, it will persist because it serves to resolve cognitive dissonance.

@Lowkey0nline @Easybakeovensz It appears that this is a bomb [not a mortar shell], it penetrated the bridge and exploded under it.

@Lowkey0nline @Easybakeovensz

The moment Israel targeted British journalist Steve Sweeney in southern Lebanon.